Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc.

Informe acción NYSE:EDR

Capitalización de mercado: US$13.8b

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Endeavor Group Holdings Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 4/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Endeavor Group Holdings de 32.5% y 4.8% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 99% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 23.7% en 3 años.

Información clave

32.5%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

99.01%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Entertainment22.1%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos4.8%
Rentabilidad financiera futura23.73%
Cobertura de analistas

Low

Última actualización05 Mar 2025

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jun 27

Endeavor Group: TKO Is A Fantastic Asset

Summary The market is pricing in a high probability of success for the going private, as the gap is relatively small at this point. Arbitrage opportunities may arise if the spread widens again in the coming months. Endeavor's crown jewel, the TKO Group, remains publicly traded. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 01

Endeavor Group: Private Deal A Buying Opportunity?

Summary Endeavor's management is unhappy with how undervalued its stock is. Silver Lake said it is working on taking the company private in a deal that delivers value to all shareholders. The highest trading price for the company was $35.28, and a deal that delivers value to all shareholders is likely at least at, if not higher, than this price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 31

Endeavor Group: Murky Outlook (Rating Downgrade)

Summary EDR's Q2 2023 results beat expectations, but the company's shares have been range-bound since then. The current strikes involving actors and writers have resulted in Endeavor Group withdrawing its prior full-year 2023 financial guidance. I downgrade my rating for Endeavor Group to a Hold, as there is substantial uncertainty over EDR's 2H 2023 performance in view of ongoing strikes. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 16

Endeavor Group: Spotlight On Capital Return And UFC-WWE Merger

Summary Endeavor Group has recently disclosed its intention to execute on a $300 million share buyback and initiate quarterly dividend payouts of $25 million. EDR has previously reached a deal with World Wrestling Entertainment to merge UFC and WWE, and the transaction is expected to have a favorable impact on Endeavor in many ways. I award a Buy rating to EDR; Endeavor Group's valuations are attractive and there are drivers like capital return and the UFC-WWE deal to push EDR's share price up. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 07

Endeavor Group Holdings: Struggling To Gain Momentum

Summary Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc.'s best move may be to moderate its growth-by-acquisition pace and focus more on paying down its huge debt load. The sale of its Endeavor Content business in early 2022 was the major reason for the decline in revenue, representing $334 million in revenue lost from that business. Endeavor's new Sports Data and Technology segment could be a profitable one from the start. If the economy does better than expected in 2023, Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. is well-positioned for a good year. Over the last year Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. (EDR) has engaged in a juggling game with its business, divesting of its Endeavor Content business in January 2022 while acquiring OpenBet, which will be combined with IMG Arena to form a new segment called "Sports Data and Technology," which is expected to be profitable from its launch in January 2023. Some of the numbers were down for EDR in the third quarter, but much of that was directly related to the divestiture of its Endeavor Content business. The company, for the most part, has generated growth via acquisitions, but with its growing debt load in a high interest rate environment, along with the strength of the U.S. dollar, it appears to me it may have to moderate the pace of its acquisitions while further paying down its debt, which it seems the company is now doing. For now, the company hasn't seen spend from its customer base coming down, but I think if the economy worsens in early 2023, resulting in an increase in layoffs or firings, that will result in consumers prioritizing spending, which would probably result in a decline in revenue at some of the venues. In this article we'll look at some of the latest earnings numbers, performance by segment, and how 2023 will probably be a challenging one for EDR. Some of the numbers Revenue in the third quarter was $1.22 million, down $170 million or 12 percent year-over-year. The decline in revenue was heavily impacted by the divestiture of its Endeavor Content business, which represented $334 million in revenue. Not including that revenue loss, revenue would have been up 15 percent in the reporting period. Revenue in the first nine months of 2022 was $4.01 billion, compared to revenue of $3.6 billion in the first nine months of 2021. Net loss in the reporting period was $(12.5) million, or negative $(0.04) per share, compared to net income of $63.6 million or $0.16 per share in the third quarter of 2021. The primary catalyst for the loss came from $85 million in losses from its affiliates, with the majority of that coming from its minority investment in Learfield. Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter was $303.1 million, up $19.8 million or seven percent from the third quarter of 2021. Its Endeavor Content business added another $26.5 million in adjusted EBITDA last year. The reason that's important on the revenue and adjusted EBITDA side of things is, while it makes the comps less attractive this quarter, going forward the comps will improve on a quarterly basis because of the sale of the business occurring in January 2022. Free cash flow ("FCF") remains strong for EDR, coming in at $153.2 million in the third quarter of 2022. At the end of the third quarter of 2022, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $970.8 million, compared to $1.56 billion at the end of calendar 2021. It had long-term debt of $5.34 billion at the end of the third quarter of 2022, compared to $5.63 billion at the end of calendar 2021. The company paid down $250 million in debt in the third quarter and had plans in place to pay down an additional $250 million in debt in the fourth quarter of 2022. After the debt reduction, the company expects annual interest costs to drop by about $30 million. With the company having approximately 40 percent conversion of free cash flow for full-year 2022, and expecting it to improve to 50 percent conversion in 2023, it expects to continue to de-lever going forward. Taking into account the lack of visibility in 2023 and the potential for the global economy to worsen, paying down debt may be one of the more important things the company does over the next 12 months or so. On the FX side of things, management sees it having an impact of approximately $120 million for full-year 2022. While a big headwind now, once the strength of the dollar rescinds, it's going to significantly improve the numbers for EDR. I don't see that happening anytime soon, but it should be part of the long-term model of investors when considering the future performance of the company. As for guidance, revenue is expected to be down for the fourth quarter based upon FX impact, divestiture of its Miss Universe Organization, and some of its non-scripted content deliveries being pushed forward to the first quarter of 2023. Segment Operating Results Representation segment Revenue and adjusted EBITDA was hit the hardest in the Representation segment, with revenue plunging to $388.3 million, down $276.4 million, or 42 percent from the third quarter of 2021. The majority of that came from the aforementioned sale of its Endeavor Content business. Not including revenue from Endeavor, revenue in the segment would have been up 17 percent, pointing to strong organic growth. Adjusted EBITDA in the segment was $132.9 million in the third quarter, down $8.9 million, or 6 percent, year-over-year. In the third quarter of 2021 it included $26.5 million in adjusted EBITDA from Endeavor. Taking into account revenue and adjusted EBITDA, this segment should show significant improvement in the quarters ahead based upon new baseline comps. That assumes organic growth in the segment continues momentum. Events, Experiences & Rights segment Revenue in the Events, Experiences & Rights segment was $440.6 million, dropping $5.7 million, or 1 percent from the third quarter of 2021. The weaker performance was attributed to a decline in specific media rights deals for events that don't occur on an annual basis, such as CONCACAF World Cup qualifying games, the Ryder Cup, and the UEFA Euro Championship. It was also affected by some events that were planned for earlier in 2022 than in the year before. Adjusted EBITDA in the segment was $49.7 million in the third quarter of 2022, down $35.3 million, or 42 percent from the third quarter of 2021. The hefty drop in adjusted EBITDA in this segment came from unfavorable comps from insurance recoveries recognized in third quarter of 2021, the timing of some events, increasing costs from its workforce, and its ongoing investment in the Olympics business at On Location. This segment will be important to watch concerning insurance recoveries and timing of events, in that they should show improvement in the quarters ahead. If they don't, it will be a significant headwind for the company in 2023. Owned Sports Properties Momentum from its fast-growing and highly profitable Owned Sports Properties continues to grow, as revenue jumped to $402.3 million in the third quarter of 2022, an increase of $113.8 million, or 39 percent from the third quarter of 2021. Revenue growth came primarily from live events and more events with live audiences, licensing revenues from UFC, and an increase in media rights fees. Adjusted EBITDA in the segment jumped to $195.7 million in the third quarter, up $61.1 million, or 45 percent from the third quarter of 2021. Sports Data and Technology We have no idea yet how its new Sports Data and Technology will do, as it has launched in January 2023, which will represent the combined performances of its newly acquired OpenBet business and IMG Arena. What we do know is management said this should be profitable from the start, so if revenue and earnings are significant, it will be a potentially strong tailwind for the company in 2023. I tend to think it'll make more of an impact in the second half of the year based upon macro-economic headwinds the company will probably face. Economic headwinds The company said it hasn't been seeing cutbacks in spend from media companies, even though they've asserted they're looking at cutting costs because of the lack of visibility concerning the economy in 2023. While I have no reason to doubt that assertion, I do think that could rapidly change as interest rates continue to climb, inflation remains stubbornly high, and companies continue to trim the size of their workforces as growth slows down. This could have a dramatic impact on the performance of EDR if consumers start to cut back on spending for entertainment and live events and prioritize spending on necessities. If the number of workers laid off or fired continues, and many companies freeze hiring, it's going to create an atmosphere of uncertainty and fear for people, and that almost always results in cutting back on spending until the economic picture gets clearer and companies start to hire again based upon an improved economic growth environment.

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

NYSE:EDR - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (USD Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
12/31/20278,058475N/AN/A1
12/31/20267,881543N/AN/A5
12/31/20257,083370765N/A5
12/31/20247,111-99157348N/A
9/30/20247,48288291537N/A
6/30/20246,66948230465N/A
3/31/20246,224256-85161N/A
12/31/20235,491351137336N/A
9/30/20235,282136148340N/A
6/30/20235,283196260446N/A
3/31/20235,290-180477658N/A
12/31/20225,008123-396-269N/A
9/30/20225,513320397551N/A
6/30/20225,683372540669N/A
3/31/20225,48224234346N/A
12/31/20215,078-298234334N/A
9/30/20214,533323191243N/A
6/30/20214,006201-221-163N/A
3/31/20213,358N/A-58-2N/A
12/31/20203,479-65590161N/A
9/30/20203,816-737112207N/A
6/30/20204,176-883232338N/A
3/31/20204,752-414422544N/A
12/31/20194,5715257393N/A
6/30/20194,161-235190373N/A
3/31/20193,903-426-38161N/A
12/31/20183,613-378-30158N/A
12/31/20173,020-88N/A265N/A
12/31/20162,367-71N/A6N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que EDR sea rentable en los próximos 3 años, lo que se considera un crecimiento más rápido que la tasa de ahorro (2.8%).

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que EDR sea rentable en los próximos 3 años, lo que se considera un crecimiento del mercado superior a la media.

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que EDR sea rentable en los próximos 3 años.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (4.8% al año) de EDR crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (12.7% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 4.8% al año) de EDR crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.

Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción

Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de EDR sea alta dentro de 3 años (23.7%)

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Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2025/03/24 17:39
Precio de las acciones al final del día2025/03/21 00:00
Beneficios2024/12/31
Ingresos anuales2024/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. está cubierta por 9 analistas. 5 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
David JoyceBarclays
Bryan KraftDeutsche Bank
Benjamin BlackEvercore ISI