Mercury General Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 1/6
Se prevé que los beneficios de Mercury General disminuyan en un 6.6% al año, mientras que se espera que sus ingresos anuales crezcan en un 4.3% al año. Se prevé que el BPA disminuya en un 6.6% por año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 21.6% en 3 años.
Información clave
-6.6%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
-6.58%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Insurance | 2.0% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 4.3% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 21.58% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Low |
| Última actualización | 18 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 09
Mercury General: From Wildfire Panic To Underwriting Recovery
Summary Mercury General has rebounded strongly after wildfire-driven turmoil, demonstrating resilience and improved underwriting discipline. MCY posted $203.9 million in pre-tax underwriting income in 2025, matching 2024 despite higher catastrophe losses, signaling portfolio remediation success. Recent underwriting gains and portfolio adjustments underpin a bullish outlook, with stability achieved even amid unpredictable catastrophe events. The dividend remains unchanged, reflecting a cautious but disciplined capital allocation approach as MCY rebuilds its financial strength. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 26
MCY: Stable Profitability And P/E Multiple Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts kept their price target for Mercury General steady at $110.00. This reflects broadly unchanged assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 11
MCY: Steady Profit Outlook And Discounted P/E Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts have kept their $110.00 price target on Mercury General unchanged, reflecting steady views on fair value as they continue to see the current discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations as consistent with prior estimates. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The model fair value remains at $110.00, indicating no change in the assessed share valuation level.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 28
MCY: Stable Assumptions And Undervalued P/E Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have kept their price target for Mercury General steady at $110.00, reflecting unchanged assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value stays at $110.00, indicating no change in the estimated intrinsic price per share.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 13
MCY: Steady Assumptions And Undervalued P/E Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have kept their $110.00 price target for Mercury General unchanged, reflecting largely consistent assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, with only minimal refinements to the model. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The model fair value remains at $110.00, with no change from the prior estimate.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 27
MCY: Higher Fair Value And P/E Assumptions Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have lifted their price target for Mercury General to $110 from $100, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and an expected future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated to $110 from $100, indicating a modest uplift in the assessed share value.Artículo de análisis • Nov 08
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.3175
Mercury General Corporation's ( NYSE:MCY ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.3175 per share on 24th of...Actualización de narrativa • Sep 24
Core Business Strength May Support Future Earnings Despite Wildfire Losses And Rising Reinsurance Costs
Mercury General's fair value estimate was raised primarily due to a higher future P/E multiple despite steady revenue growth projections, driving the consensus analyst price target up from $90 to $100. What's in the News Mercury Insurance released its annual list of the most affordable EVs to insure, aiming to guide budget-conscious consumers and highlight insurance-saving vehicle models.Artículo de análisis • Aug 27
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.3175
The board of Mercury General Corporation ( NYSE:MCY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of...Artículo de análisis • Aug 02
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.3175
The board of Mercury General Corporation ( NYSE:MCY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of...Artículo de análisis • Jul 23
Here's Why Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Artículo de análisis • Jun 11
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.3175
Mercury General Corporation's ( NYSE:MCY ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.3175 per share on 26th of June...
Nueva narrativa • Feb 16
Core Business Strength May Support Future Earnings Despite Wildfire Losses And Rising Reinsurance Costs
Strength in core business operations, excluding catastrophe losses, suggests improved future earnings stability and net margins through personal auto and homeowners lines.Seeking Alpha • Jan 16
California Wildfires, Mercury General's Opportunity Amid Crisis (Rating Upgrade)
Summary The Los Angeles wildfires, while tragic, may present an opportunity for Mercury General due to potential market exits by other insurers and possible price increases. Mercury General's exposure to auto insurance, along with its reinsurance coverage, suggests it can absorb the wildfire losses, estimated at $150 million pre-tax. Despite potential risks like increased reinsurance costs and regulatory changes, Mercury General is positioned for growth and higher premiums post-wildfires. I initiated a position in Mercury General, expecting a stock rebound to $56-$60, driven by positive FY 2024 results and subsiding wildfire fears. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 31
Mercury General: Turning Lead Into Gold
Summary Mercury General faced operational challenges and high loss ratios in 2022, compounded by a dividend reduction that resulted in the loss of its "dividend aristocrat" status. In response to these challenges, Mercury launched remediation efforts in 2023 focused on improving underwriting margins, especially in California, where adverse conditions significantly impacted profitability. By mid-2024, Mercury's combined ratio improved, achieving positive underwriting income and a combined ratio of 98.9% by Q2, reflecting the success of rate adjustments and underwriting improvements. Third-quarter results were particularly strong, leading to a year-to-date underwriting income of $88.7 million, reinforcing investor optimism and supporting a substantial stock price increase since early 2024. Mercury is on track for continued improvement, with anticipated FY 2024 combined ratios between 96.5% and 97.8%, driven by effective remediation and investment income growth, although it still trades at a premium relative to steadier competitors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 20
Mercury General: Very Cheap, And Expert Of Maximizing After-Tax Yield
Summary Mercury General Corporation is well-positioned for growth with significant cash reserves, enabling investment in advertising and agent network expansion to boost net sales. Recent rate increases approved by the Department of Insurance and impressive EPS forecasts for 2025 make MCY an attractive buy. The company's strong investment track record, focus on maximizing after-tax yield, and experienced leadership further support its potential for stable returns. Despite some risks, including market concentration in California and inflationary pressures, MCY's proven business model and undervaluation present a compelling investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 6,873 | 678 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 6,544 | 665 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2026 | 6,206 | 647 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 3/31/2026 | 6,136 | 840 | 1,419 | 1,482 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,990 | 541 | 1,029 | 1,087 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,800 | 440 | 991 | 1,048 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,745 | 390 | 818 | 869 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,581 | 286 | 727 | 776 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,461 | 468 | 991 | 1,037 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 5,489 | 558 | 970 | 1,014 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,024 | 319 | 779 | 818 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,797 | 215 | 589 | 627 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,630 | 96 | 416 | 453 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,407 | -102 | 258 | 295 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,242 | -192 | 226 | 263 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,944 | -361 | 228 | 264 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,643 | -513 | 317 | 353 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,541 | -475 | 321 | 358 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,573 | -376 | 339 | 379 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,806 | -56 | 392 | 434 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,993 | 248 | 460 | 502 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,016 | 384 | 551 | 590 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,082 | 502 | 625 | 663 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,069 | 621 | 645 | 683 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,785 | 375 | 566 | 606 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,701 | 240 | 511 | 549 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,689 | 190 | 475 | 514 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,663 | 45 | 400 | 442 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,973 | 320 | N/A | 520 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,801 | 207 | N/A | 472 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,709 | 196 | N/A | 465 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,615 | 173 | N/A | 480 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,380 | -6 | N/A | 383 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,421 | 96 | N/A | 390 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,381 | 84 | N/A | 351 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,348 | 75 | N/A | 346 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,413 | 145 | N/A | 341 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,293 | 99 | N/A | 354 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,246 | 79 | N/A | 361 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,251 | 77 | N/A | 316 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,228 | 73 | N/A | 292 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,276 | 123 | N/A | 255 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,221 | 111 | N/A | 223 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,089 | 72 | N/A | 229 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,009 | 74 | N/A | 190 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,945 | 30 | N/A | 196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,913 | 46 | N/A | 191 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que los beneficios de MCY disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-6.6% al año).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios de MCY disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-6.6% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de MCY disminuyan en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (4.3% al año) de MCY crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (11.7% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 4.3% al año) de MCY crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de MCY sea alta dentro de 3 años (21.6%)
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/26 09:07 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Mercury General Corporation está cubierta por 7 analistas. 1 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Alison Jacobowitz | BofA Global Research |
| Christopher Campbell | Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods |
| Raymond Iardella | Macquarie Research |