Phillips 66 Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 1/6
Se prevé que los ingresos de Phillips 66 disminuyan en un 1.4% al año, mientras que se espera que sus beneficios anuales crezcan en un 5.6% al año. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 9% anual. Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 16.5% en 3 años.
Información clave
5.6%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
9.01%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Oil and Gas | 10.9% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | -1.4% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 16.52% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 10 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 10
Phillips 66: Markets Underappreciate The Durability Of Refining Profitability
Summary Phillips 66 is well-positioned for a significant windfall from elevated crack spreads driven by global supply disruptions and the Iran War. Refining margins surged to $10.11/barrel, with spreads near $60, potentially delivering $7B+ cumulative windfall through 2027, or ~$20/share. Operational improvements and cost reductions, alongside a 50% capital return policy, support robust shareholder returns and accelerated debt reduction. I maintain a Buy rating on PSX, raising my 2026 EPS estimate to at least $17.50 and setting a 12-month price target of $190. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Western Gateway Midstream Expansion
Analysts have nudged the Phillips 66 fair value estimate higher by about $2 to roughly $181 per share. This reflects updated price targets that take into account refined oil price assumptions, recent conversations with management, and refreshed earnings models across multiple research firms.
Nueva narrativa • Apr 20
Heavy Crude Exposure And Cost Targets Will Limit Long Term Earnings Potential
Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is a diversified energy company involved in refining, midstream logistics, chemicals, marketing and renewable fuels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Actualización de narrativa • Apr 09
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Delivery And Venezuela Crude Shift
Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $165.45 to $179.10, citing a series of higher Street price targets and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions and refreshed models across large banks and sector specialists.
Nueva narrativa • Apr 02
Midstream Expansion And Heavy Crude Optionality Will Define This Refining Leader’s Next Chapter
Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is an integrated energy company with operations in refining, midstream, chemicals and marketing across North America and Europe. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Actualización de narrativa • Mar 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Execution And Venezuela Crude Realignment
Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $160.15 to $165.45. The revision reflects a series of higher price targets that cite updated oil price assumptions, discussions with management on midstream growth, and refreshed models following recent commodity and geopolitical developments.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 12
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Projects And Venezuela Crude Shift
Our fair value estimate for Phillips 66 has moved modestly higher to $160.15 from $157.55, as analysts update models and price targets, including several recent increases toward the $158 level. They cite midstream growth expectations and refreshed assumptions following the latest Q4 updates and management commentary.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Expansion And Venezuela Crude Sourcing Shift
Our Phillips 66 fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $157.55 as analysts lift price targets toward $158, pointing to updated models after recent results and a constructive view on midstream growth prospects for FY25 and FY26. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Phillips 66 is clustered around updated models and revised price targets, with most activity tied to Q4 reporting and views on midstream fundamentals heading into FY25 and FY26.Artículo de análisis • Feb 11
Concerns Surrounding Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Performance
Following the solid earnings report from Phillips 66 ( NYSE:PSX ), the market responded by bidding up the stock price...Actualización de narrativa • Feb 10
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Pipeline Expansion And Refiner Sentiment Reset
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Phillips 66 higher to $155.70 from $151.45, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly revised P/E outlook informed by a recent wave of price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and updating their views ahead of upcoming quarters.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refiner Sentiment Reset
The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has shifted to US$151.45 from about US$149.30 as analysts incorporate updated commodity assumptions, modestly softer revenue and margin expectations, and slightly higher future P/E multiples into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Phillips 66 point to a mix of optimism around execution and margins, alongside fresh caution on sector risks and valuation after a strong share price move.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 12
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refining Margin Support
Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to their Phillips 66 fair value estimate, lifting it by about $0.45, as they weigh slightly softer revenue expectations against a small improvement in projected profit margin, a lower discount rate, and a marginally reduced future P/E multiple, all in the context of mixed recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Phillips 66 reflects a mix of optimism around cash returns and refining fundamentals, balanced against concerns about sector sentiment and crude price risks.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 23
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Robust Capital Returns Amid Refining Margin Support
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Phillips 66 slightly lower to approximately $149 from about $149.35, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and softer long term revenue expectations. This is partially offset by slightly improved profit margin and future earnings multiple assumptions informed by recent target increases and ratings changes across the Street.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 09
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Resilient Margins And Capital Returns Balancing Risks
Phillips 66's fair value estimate has edged up by about $2 to $149.35, as analysts factor in a wave of higher price targets across the Street. This shift is supported by expectations for resilient refining margins, supply tightness, and improved profitability, despite more cautious revenue growth assumptions.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 25
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Shifting Refining and Crude Trends Ahead
The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has edged higher from $146.10 to $147.65, as analysts cite sustained refining profitability, an improving revenue growth outlook, and supportive trends in crude markets despite ongoing margin debates. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides a comprehensive view of how analysts assess Phillips 66's near- and medium-term prospects.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 03
PSX: Rising Capital Returns And Refining Margins Will Support Sector Resilience Ahead
Phillips 66’s analyst price target has risen modestly to $146.10, reflecting analyst expectations for firmer profit margins and continued sector resilience as energy market dynamics evolve. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides insight into the factors driving both optimism and caution among analysts covering Phillips 66.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 20
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Phillips 66’s analyst price target has increased from $141.58 to $145.20, as analysts cite resilient refining margins and ongoing industry optimism despite softer demand indicators and modest growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Phillips 66 reflects both confidence in the company’s positioning and ongoing caution regarding sector dynamics.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 05
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Analysts have raised their price target for Phillips 66 by $1.74 to $141.58, citing stronger-than-expected refining margins and improved outlooks for profit and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reveals a mix of optimism and caution among analysts evaluating Phillips 66.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 20
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Consensus price targets for Phillips 66 have increased to $139.84, reflecting analyst confidence in persistent refining margin strength, strong recent results, and upside from chemicals, while near-term risks from potential activist exits and sector pullbacks are noted. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite persistent strength in refining margins, with global product markets remaining relatively tight and distillate tightness expected to continue into winter, supporting a higher margin risk well into 2026.Actualización de narrativa • Aug 27
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Analysts have slightly lowered Phillips 66’s price target to $136.00, reflecting near-term caution due to potential post-proxy battle selling pressure and high Q2 expectations, despite an improved medium-term refining outlook and a strong balance sheet. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite positive earnings revisions expected in the second half of the year, supported by distillate strength and tightening global product supply/demand balances forecasted for 2026 and 2027.Artículo de análisis • Aug 14
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
NYSE:PSX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Phillips 66's Fair Values from the Community and select yours There...Nueva narrativa • Apr 06
room for higher margins
Industry Position: Phillips 66 is a major player in the energy sector, particularly in refining, marketing, and transportation. Analysts often look at the company's ability to capitalize on operationaSeeking Alpha • Mar 26
Elliott Management Applies Pressure With Phillips 66 Board Fight
Summary Phillips 66 has underperformed compared to peers, with chronic issues in its Refining Segment and large investments in underperforming global pet-chem plants. Earlier this month, activist investor Elliott Management nominated seven directors to PSX's board and is lobbying to spin-off PSX's Midstream Segment to unlock shareholder value. PSX's Midstream Segment has shown strong growth and is its most consistent well-performing segment, enabling robust dividend growth since going public. I maintain a Hold rating for PSX due to limited downside, the attractive 3.64% dividend yield, and potential for continued strong dividend growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 134,198 | 7,126 | 7,006 | 7,596 | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 138,590 | 6,608 | 6,787 | 7,949 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 146,720 | 6,949 | 7,003 | 7,118 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 134,486 | 4,114 | 119 | 2,511 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 132,376 | 4,394 | 2,729 | 4,962 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 131,953 | 1,497 | 1,351 | 3,408 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 132,966 | 1,708 | 1,488 | 3,362 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 137,772 | 1,846 | 2,960 | 4,614 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 143,153 | 2,107 | 2,332 | 4,191 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 147,738 | 3,358 | 3,196 | 5,183 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 151,853 | 5,110 | 4,515 | 6,736 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 148,814 | 5,792 | 3,189 | 5,594 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 147,399 | 7,004 | 4,874 | 7,029 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 149,408 | 7,629 | 7,355 | 9,589 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 154,720 | 10,922 | 7,671 | 10,048 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 168,207 | 12,392 | 8,674 | 10,876 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 169,990 | 11,014 | 8,925 | 10,813 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 162,315 | 10,403 | 5,785 | 7,863 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 147,603 | 5,416 | 5,027 | 6,922 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 126,028 | 2,543 | 4,983 | 6,882 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 111,476 | 1,306 | 4,157 | 6,017 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 95,242 | -506 | 3,087 | 4,856 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 80,948 | -1,708 | 1,375 | 3,144 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 64,881 | -2,142 | -163 | 2,165 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 64,129 | -3,983 | -809 | 2,111 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 76,863 | -2,707 | -526 | 3,166 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 88,148 | -1,196 | 330 | 4,337 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 105,083 | 369 | 1,804 | 5,503 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 107,293 | 3,070 | N/A | 4,808 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 107,330 | 4,573 | N/A | 7,253 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 109,884 | 5,354 | N/A | 6,173 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 110,994 | 5,270 | N/A | 6,607 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 111,492 | 5,589 | N/A | 7,573 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 108,719 | 6,547 | N/A | 5,365 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 101,182 | 5,878 | N/A | 5,184 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 93,037 | 5,088 | N/A | 4,685 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 89,300 | 5,100 | N/A | 3,648 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 83,177 | 2,066 | N/A | 2,384 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 79,209 | 1,753 | N/A | 2,866 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 76,725 | 1,699 | N/A | 2,156 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 70,898 | 1,549 | N/A | 2,963 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 69,143 | 2,036 | N/A | 3,793 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 73,139 | 3,103 | N/A | 4,347 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 79,837 | 3,620 | N/A | 4,619 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 85,228 | 4,221 | N/A | 5,713 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 98,055 | 4,717 | N/A | 5,088 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 112,412 | 4,319 | N/A | 4,080 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (5.6% al año) de PSX es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (5.6% al año) de PSX crezcan menos que el mercado US (16.7% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de PSX crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos de PSX disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-1.4% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos de PSX disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-1.4% al año).
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de PSX sea baja dentro de 3 años (16.5%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/13 05:00 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/13 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Phillips 66 está cubierta por 32 analistas. 14 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
| Theresa Chen | Barclays |
| Phillip Jungwirth | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |