Moody's Corporation

Informe acción NYSE:MCO

Capitalización de mercado: US$83.3b

Moody's Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 2/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Moody's de 8.1% y 6.2% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 10.3% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 86.4% en 3 años.

Información clave

8.1%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

10.31%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Capital Markets12.3%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos6.2%
Rentabilidad financiera futura86.44%
Cobertura de analistas

Good

Última actualización05 Sep 2026

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 03

Moody's: AAA Business, Highly Valued

Summary Moody’s maintains robust growth, margin expansion, and resilient business fundamentals, but its current valuation leaves limited upside and warrants a Hold rating. MCO’s growth is fueled by strong capital market issuance and a durable, recurring-revenue analytics segment, with management optimistic about a multi-year tech capex cycle. AI disruption risk appears minimal, as Moody’s proprietary data, established methodologies, and integration partnerships reinforce its competitive moat. Despite high profitability and capital-light operations, MCO’s premium valuation suggest little margin of safety. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nueva narrativa • Aug 09

MCO — Fair Value $529

The toll booth on global debt. Any bond sold to regulated buyers needs a rating from a recognized agency, and Moody's is half of a duopoly whose position comes from a regulatory licence rather than product quality — which is why no third entrant has emerged in decades.
Actualización de narrativa • Aug 04

MCO: Issuance Strength And Expanding AI Workflows Should Support Durable Earnings Power

The analyst fair value estimate for Moody's has been adjusted higher by about $11 to $560.48, as analysts factor in recent Street target hikes following strong Q2 results, slightly firmer profit margin assumptions, and a modestly lower discount rate despite more measured revenue growth and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moody's has become more constructive, with several firms lifting price targets after Q2 results and ahead of future issuance trends.
Actualización de narrativa • Jul 21

MCO: Issuance Strength And AI Data Integration Will Support Durable Earnings Power

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Moody's higher to about $549 from $536, highlighting a series of recent price target increases that cite stronger than expected Q2 debt issuance trends, improving corporate activity, and ongoing benefits from AI and efficiency programs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moody's clusters around a constructive view on issuance trends, AI driven efficiency, and the durability of its data assets, with a few firms taking a more balanced stance on valuation and near term execution risks.
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 22

MCO: Proprietary Ratings Data And AI Partnerships Will Support Durable Upside

The analyst price target for Moody's edges higher to $536.50 from $536.00, with analysts pointing to the resilience of the company's proprietary ratings and risk datasets in an AI driven information services market as the key support for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Moody's centers on how its ratings and risk datasets might hold up as AI reshapes information services, with analysts splitting their focus between the durability of the business model and the price being paid for that resilience.
Artículo de análisis • Jun 19

Moody's (MCO) Stock Could Be 4.8% Undervalued After Its AI Skills Launch

Moody's (MCO) is drawing fresh attention after launching its first suite of AI skills and extending its connected intelligence into Amazon Quick, moves that plug the company’s data and frameworks directly into major cloud platforms. See our latest analysis for Moody's. The recent AI skills launch and the Amazon Quick integration come as Moody's trades at US$450.67, with the share price up 3.7% over 30 days but down 9.7% year to date, while the 3-year total shareholder return of 37.5%...
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 02

MCO: Dual Engine Model And AI Integration Will Support Durable Upside

Moody's updated analyst price target edges up by $1 to $536, as analysts factor in a slightly higher assumed P/E multiple alongside relatively stable revenue growth, profit margin and discount rate inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moody's shows a mix of optimism and caution around valuation and execution, with several firms adjusting price targets both higher and lower by wide dollar ranges.
Nueva narrativa • May 22

Moody's future looks bright with a 31.18x PE growth in the next 5 years

Moody’s is not just a credit rating agency — it is one of the foundational infrastructure providers of the global financial system. Every year, governments, corporations, banks, and structured finance issuers collectively raise trillions of dollars in debt, and most of that debt requires a Moody’s rating to access institutional capital markets.
Actualización de narrativa • May 01

MCO: AI Data Moats And Q4 Execution Will Support Durable Upside

Analysts have trimmed Moody's fair value estimate by $2.85 to $535.00. This reflects slightly lower modeled revenue growth, a modestly higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple, partly offset by a small uplift to long-term profit margin assumptions, in line with recent mixed shifts in Street price targets.
Nueva narrativa • Apr 20

MCO 04-2026

Moody's Corporation is a regulatory-moated oligopoly wrapped in a compounding software business. The MIS ratings franchise holds the most durable structural position in financial services: NRSRO designation is a legal prerequisite for capital adequacy calculations in virtually every major financial market globally, the duopoly with S&P has been unbroken for over four decades, and the proprietary century-old default database cannot be replicated at any cost.
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 15

MCO: AI Productivity And Data Moats Will Sustain Ratings Strength Into 2026

Moody's updated Analyst Price Target moves lower by about $38 to $537.85, as analysts temper assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while still highlighting solid recent results and competitive strengths in ratings and data. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed but generally constructive tone around Moody's, with most firms trimming price targets while still recognizing strengths in its ratings and data businesses.
Actualización de narrativa • Feb 09

MCO: Issuance And Private Credit Demand Will Drive Rating Strength Into 2026

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Moody's has been adjusted to reflect a mix of lower and higher Street targets, including cuts such as the recent reduction at Goldman Sachs and increases from firms citing stronger issuance trends, a favorable environment for Moody's Investors Service, and a more constructive outlook for rating agencies into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Moody's reflects a mix of optimism around issuance trends and earnings potential, alongside some restraint on valuation and expectations.
Actualización de narrativa • Jan 25

MCO: Fair Outlook Sees Issuance Strength Balancing Private Credit Ratings Uncertainty

The analyst price target for Moody's has been raised from US$561.68 to US$575.53, as analysts point to solid recent issuance trends, a more favorable earnings outlook for the Moody's Investors Service segment, and sustained interest in the stock from multiple research houses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moody's reflects a generally positive tone, with several firms lifting price targets and one upgrade in rating, all tied closely to issuance trends and expectations for the Moody's Investors Service segment.
Actualización de narrativa • Jan 10

MCO: Fair Outlook Balances Issuance Strength With Data And Analytics Uncertainty

The analyst price target for Moody's has been raised from about US$545.50 to roughly US$561.68, with analysts pointing to stronger assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate. This is supported by recent research that highlights a constructive outlook for rating agencies, improving issuance trends and Moody's expanding role in data and analytics.
Actualización de narrativa • Sep 21

Private Credit Evolution And AI Integration Will Shape Market Success

Moody's saw only marginal improvements in both revenue growth and net profit margin forecasts, resulting in the consensus analyst price target rising slightly from $543.40 to $545.50. What's in the News Moody's launched Agentic Solutions, an AI-powered product suite automating and optimizing complex decision-making workflows for regulated industries, enhancing productivity, transparency, and workflow efficiency across finance, risk, and strategy.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Moody's: Q1, Analytics Strength Offsets Weaker Debt Issuance Outlook (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Moody's Corporation reported strong Q1 2025 earnings, with revenue and EPS exceeding expectations, driven by robust performance in ratings. Despite trimming FY 2025 guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainties, Moody's valuation has become more attractive at a price-to-cash flow of 31.2x. Risks include potential declines in credit issuances and slower up-sells from new AI products, but Moody's strong market position and recurrent revenue provide resilience. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 28

Moody's: A Long Term Compounder At A Hefty Price

Summary Moody's, a pioneer in bond credit ratings, has grown into a financial services giant with two main segments: Moody's Investors Service (MIS) and Moody's Analytics (MA). MIS, generating $3.8 billion in 2024, provides essential credit ratings that influence companies' borrowing costs, while MA offers SaaS-based decision solutions, contributing $3.3 billion. Moody's boasts strong financials with $7.1 billion in 2024 revenue, 20% growth, and high margins, driven by its competitive edge in the credit rating market. Despite a higher valuation than historical averages, Moody's shares offer potential returns of 4.7%-9.8% annually over the next five years, depending on EBITDA growth and multiples. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 08

Moody's Q4: Expect A Beat And Raise

Summary Moody's Corporation (MCO) has a robust business model, and over 100 years of industry presence, making it a reliable investment even in volatile markets. MCO has a 5-year total return of 96.1%, stellar Q3 '24 results with revenue up 23% and earnings up 39%, and raised its Q4 guidance. Risks are primarily macroeconomic, such as potential market volatility due to changes in government policies, but long-term prospects remain strong. I rate MCO a Buy for long-term, capital appreciation-focused investors due to its consistent dividend growth and strong financial performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 29

Moody's And The Stargate Project: A Potential Catalyst No One Is Talking About

Summary Moody's Corporation is widely known for its unbeatable moat that has made it one of Warren Buffett's long-term picks. The most recent data on global debt suggest that Moody's will report a strong Q4 and that 2025 will be a favorable year. The Stargate Project and the AI wars could constitute yet another (hidden) catalyst for Moody's. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 06

Moody's: Overvalued But Still A Hold

Summary Moody's has had a strong year-to-date return of 30%, but its current valuation at a 37.2 P/E ratio suggests it is overvalued. Moody's operates through two main segments: Moody's Investor Services and Moody's Analytics, both critical to the financial sector. Despite Moody's impressive growth, S&P Global offers better value with a lower P/E ratio and faster cash flow growth, making it a more attractive investment. I will hold my Moody's shares long-term due to its high-quality business, despite expecting lower short-term returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

NYSE:MCO - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (USD Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
12/31/20289,5733,3623,8334,12114
12/31/20278,8893,0213,3873,69721
12/31/20268,2892,8282,9693,35321
6/30/20268,1602,7952,9673,319N/A
3/31/20267,8732,4952,7473,083N/A
12/31/20257,7182,4592,5752,901N/A
9/30/20257,5012,2442,3982,717N/A
6/30/20257,3072,1322,3712,677N/A
3/31/20257,2262,1062,4962,820N/A
12/31/20247,0882,0582,5212,838N/A
9/30/20246,8962,0032,3252,641N/A
6/30/20246,5551,8582,0852,400N/A
3/31/20246,2321,6832,0422,318N/A
12/31/20235,9161,6071,8802,151N/A
9/30/20235,7261,5131,7742,051N/A
6/30/20235,5291,4271,6481,925N/A
3/31/20235,4161,3771,3151,612N/A
12/31/20225,4681,3741,1911,474N/A
9/30/20225,7171,5551,1301,396N/A
6/30/20225,9681,7261,2681,496N/A
3/31/20226,1401,9761,6151,799N/A
12/31/20216,2182,2141,8662,005N/A
9/30/20215,9692,1012,2672,364N/A
6/30/20215,7992,0942,3542,439N/A
3/31/20215,6812,0262,3812,477N/A
12/31/20205,3711,7782,0432,146N/A
9/30/20205,3141,8241,8761,967N/A
6/30/20205,1981,7361,8051,897N/A
3/31/20204,9771,537N/A1,653N/A
12/31/20194,8291,422N/A1,675N/A
9/30/20194,6561,313N/A1,572N/A
6/30/20194,4971,244N/A1,439N/A
3/31/20194,4581,310N/A1,437N/A
12/31/20184,4431,310N/A1,461N/A
9/30/20184,5481,085N/A1,489N/A
6/30/20184,5301,092N/A1,573N/A
3/31/20184,3561,028N/A1,659N/A
12/31/20174,2041,001N/A755N/A
9/30/20173,981547N/A720N/A
6/30/20173,835485N/A672N/A
3/31/20173,763428N/A493N/A
12/31/20163,604267N/A1,259N/A
9/30/20163,528913N/A1,149N/A
6/30/20163,446889N/A1,106N/A
3/31/20163,435896N/A1,145N/A
12/31/20153,485941N/A1,198N/A
9/30/20153,496960N/A1,202N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (8.1% al año) de MCO es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.7%).

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (8.1% al año) de MCO crezcan menos que el mercado US (17.4% al año).

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de MCO crezcan, pero no significativamente.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (6.2% al año) de MCO crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (13.5% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 6.2% al año) de MCO crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.

Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción

Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de MCO sea muy elevada dentro de 3 años (86.4%).

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Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/09/09 04:26
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/09/09 00:00
Beneficios2026/06/30
Ingresos anuales2025/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

Moody's Corporation está cubierta por 33 analistas. 21 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
John EadeArgus Research Company
Jeffrey MeulerBaird
Manav PatnaikBarclays