FAT Brands Valuation

Is FAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Por debajo del valor justo

  • Muy por debajo del valor justo

  • Price-To-Sales vs. similares

  • Price-To-Sales vs. Industria

  • PM vs. Ratio Justo

  • Pronóstico de los analistas

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Por debajo del valor justo: FAT ($7.98) cotiza por debajo de nuestra estimación de valor razonable ($8.42)

Muy por debajo del valor justo: FAT se negocia por debajo de su valor razonable, pero no por un importe significativo.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FAT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FAT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA42.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FAT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
THCH TH International
0.8xn/aUS$170.1m
SCGY Scientific Energy
4.9xn/aUS$193.6m
STKS ONE Group Hospitality
0.5x9.5%US$178.8m
RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers
0.08x-0.8%US$98.9m
FAT FAT Brands
0.3x20.3%US$126.1m

Price-To-Sales vs. similares: FAT es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Sales (0.3x) comparado con la media de sus homólogos (0.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FAT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs. Industria: FAT es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Sales (0.2x) comparado con la media del sector US Hospitality (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FAT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FAT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

PM vs. Ratio Justo: FAT es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Sales (0.3x) comparado con el Ratio estimado Fair Price-To-Sales (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FAT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.50
US$20.00
+166.7%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$7.47
US$20.00
+167.7%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$8.72
US$20.00
+129.4%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$8.36
US$20.00
+139.2%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$6.06
US$20.00
+230.0%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$5.95
US$20.00
+236.1%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$6.05
US$20.00
+230.6%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Oct ’24US$6.56
US$20.00
+204.8%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Sep ’24US$7.22
US$20.00
+177.0%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Aug ’24US$7.34
US$20.00
+172.7%
25.0%US$25.00US$15.00n/a2
Mar ’24US$7.37
US$22.50
+205.3%
11.1%US$25.00US$20.00US$8.722
Feb ’24US$6.95
US$22.50
+223.7%
11.1%US$25.00US$20.00US$8.362
Jan ’24US$4.95
US$22.50
+354.8%
11.1%US$25.00US$20.00US$6.062
Dec ’23US$6.85
US$22.50
+228.5%
11.1%US$25.00US$20.00US$5.952
Nov ’23US$8.07
US$22.50
+178.8%
11.1%US$25.00US$20.00US$6.052
Oct ’23US$7.41
US$22.50
+203.6%
11.1%US$25.00US$20.00US$6.562

Pronóstico de los analistas: El precio objetivo es más de 20% superior al precio actual de la acción, pero no hay suficientes analistas que cubran el valor para determinar confianza estadística en el acuerdo.


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