Guinness Nigeria Plc

NGSE:GUINNESS Stock Report

Market Cap: ₦108.6b

Guinness Nigeria Valuation

Is GUINNESS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Por debajo del valor justo

  • Muy por debajo del valor justo

  • Price-To-Sales vs. similares

  • Price-To-Sales vs. Industria

  • PM vs. Ratio Justo

  • Pronóstico de los analistas

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GUINNESS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Por debajo del valor justo: GUINNESS (NGN44) cotiza por encima de nuestra estimación de valor razonable (NGN42.73)

Muy por debajo del valor justo: GUINNESS cotiza por encima de nuestra estimación del valor razonable.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GUINNESS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GUINNESS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA1.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GUINNESS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GUINNESS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
INTBREW International Breweries
0.5x16.3%₦120.9b
NB Nigerian Breweries
0.5x11.4%₦298.5b
CHAMPION Champion Breweries
2.7xn/a₦29.1b
FLOURMILL Flour Mills of Nigeria
0.08x13.7%₦160.9b
GUINNESS Guinness Nigeria
0.4x12.9%₦108.6b

Price-To-Sales vs. similares: GUINNESS es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Sales (0.6x) comparado con la media de sus homólogos (1.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GUINNESS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs. Industria: GUINNESS es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Sales (0.6x) comparado con la media del sector African Beverage (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GUINNESS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GUINNESS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

PM vs. Ratio Justo: GUINNESS es caro en función de su Ratio Price-To-Sales (0.4x) comparado con el Ratio Price-To-Sales estimado (0.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GUINNESS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₦49.60
₦75.74
+52.7%
14.5%₦95.41₦65.98n/a5
Mar ’25₦51.00
₦78.18
+53.3%
14.1%₦95.41₦67.21n/a4
Feb ’25₦63.70
₦78.00
+22.5%
14.4%₦95.41₦66.50n/a4
Jan ’25₦66.00
₦77.40
+17.3%
11.9%₦93.01₦66.50n/a5
Dec ’24₦67.90
₦77.40
+14.0%
11.9%₦93.01₦66.50n/a5
Nov ’24₦65.00
₦80.16
+23.3%
10.4%₦93.13₦70.10n/a4
Oct ’24₦65.00
₦80.78
+24.3%
11.5%₦95.60₦70.10n/a4
Sep ’24₦62.20
₦84.33
+35.6%
9.5%₦95.60₦77.40n/a3
Aug ’24₦55.00
₦81.63
+48.4%
7.0%₦93.00₦77.40n/a5
Jul ’24₦80.00
₦79.25
-0.9%
0.7%₦80.00₦78.52n/a4
Jun ’24₦70.00
₦79.25
+13.2%
0.7%₦80.00₦78.52n/a4
May ’24₦70.00
₦79.25
+13.2%
0.7%₦80.00₦78.52n/a4
Apr ’24₦70.00
₦79.25
+13.2%
0.7%₦80.00₦78.52₦49.604
Mar ’24₦70.00
₦77.50
+10.7%
4.6%₦80.00₦70.50₦51.005
Feb ’24₦63.00
₦81.44
+29.3%
5.4%₦90.20₦78.52₦63.705
Jan ’24₦69.30
₦85.04
+22.7%
4.5%₦90.20₦80.00₦66.004
Dec ’23₦63.00
₦94.13
+49.4%
19.6%₦130.49₦80.00₦67.905
Nov ’23₦82.90
₦95.31
+15.0%
19.3%₦130.49₦80.00₦65.005
Oct ’23₦82.90
₦89.72
+8.2%
20.2%₦130.49₦70.31₦65.007
Sep ’23₦87.90
₦92.17
+4.9%
21.6%₦130.49₦70.31₦62.207
Aug ’23₦90.50
₦87.75
-3.0%
26.7%₦130.49₦60.00₦55.007
Jul ’23₦90.50
₦87.75
-3.0%
26.7%₦130.49₦60.00₦80.007
Jun ’23₦90.50
₦87.75
-3.0%
26.7%₦130.49₦60.00₦70.007
May ’23₦93.00
₦73.34
-21.1%
13.7%₦88.54₦57.70₦70.008
Apr ’23₦71.00
₦73.48
+3.5%
14.6%₦88.54₦57.70₦70.007

Pronóstico de los analistas: El precio objetivo es más de un 20% superior al precio actual de la acción y los analistas están dentro de un rango de acuerdo estadísticamente seguro.


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