Tortilla Mexican Grill plc

AIM:MEX Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£19.1m

Tortilla Mexican Grill Valuation

Is MEX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Por debajo del valor justo

  • Muy por debajo del valor justo

  • Price-To-Sales vs. similares

  • Price-To-Sales vs. Industria

  • PM vs. Ratio Justo

  • Pronóstico de los analistas

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MEX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Por debajo del valor justo: MEX (£0.39) cotiza por encima de nuestra estimación de valor razonable (£0.1)

Muy por debajo del valor justo: MEX cotiza por encima de nuestra estimación del valor razonable.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MEX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MEX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MEX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MEX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
PIER Brighton Pier Group
0.4x2.2%UK£17.0m
MORE Hostmore
0.1x2.3%UK£22.7m
HVTA Heavitree Brewery
1xn/aUK£9.6m
NGHT Nightcap
0.2xn/aUK£9.0m
MEX Tortilla Mexican Grill
0.3x11.6%UK£19.1m

Price-To-Sales vs. similares: MEX es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Sales (0.2x) comparado con la media de sus homólogos (0.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MEX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a32.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a32.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs. Industria: MEX es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Sales (0.2x) comparado con la media del sector UK Hospitality (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MEX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MEX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

PM vs. Ratio Justo: MEX es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Sales (0.2x) comparado con el Ratio estimado Fair Price-To-Sales (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MEX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.49
UK£1.05
+112.1%
9.5%UK£1.15UK£0.95n/a2
Mar ’25UK£0.48
UK£1.05
+118.8%
9.5%UK£1.15UK£0.95n/a2
Feb ’25UK£0.41
UK£1.05
+153.0%
9.5%UK£1.15UK£0.95n/a2
Jan ’25UK£0.49
UK£1.05
+112.1%
9.5%UK£1.15UK£0.95n/a2
Dec ’24UK£0.56
UK£1.23
+118.8%
14.3%UK£1.40UK£1.05n/a2
Nov ’24UK£0.60
UK£1.23
+104.2%
14.3%UK£1.40UK£1.05n/a2
Oct ’24UK£0.70
UK£1.38
+95.3%
23.6%UK£1.70UK£1.05n/a2
Sep ’24UK£0.77
UK£1.38
+78.6%
23.6%UK£1.70UK£1.05n/a2
Aug ’24UK£0.82
UK£1.38
+67.7%
23.6%UK£1.70UK£1.05n/a2
Jul ’24UK£0.85
UK£1.38
+61.8%
23.6%UK£1.70UK£1.05n/a2
Jun ’24UK£0.96
UK£1.38
+43.2%
23.6%UK£1.70UK£1.05n/a2
May ’24UK£1.08
UK£1.38
+27.9%
23.6%UK£1.70UK£1.05n/a2
Apr ’24UK£1.20
UK£1.28
+6.3%
33.3%UK£1.70UK£0.85UK£0.462
Mar ’24UK£1.24
UK£1.28
+2.8%
33.3%UK£1.70UK£0.85UK£0.482
Feb ’24UK£1.13
UK£1.28
+13.3%
33.3%UK£1.70UK£0.85UK£0.412
Jan ’24UK£0.85
UK£1.28
+50.0%
33.3%UK£1.70UK£0.85UK£0.492
Dec ’23UK£0.88
UK£1.28
+45.7%
33.3%UK£1.70UK£0.85UK£0.562
Nov ’23UK£0.88
UK£1.28
+44.9%
33.3%UK£1.70UK£0.85UK£0.602

Pronóstico de los analistas: El precio objetivo es más de 20% superior al precio actual de la acción, pero no hay suficientes analistas que cubran el valor para determinar confianza estadística en el acuerdo.


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