Major Estimate Revision • Jun 23
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 30% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2027 has deteriorated. 2027 revenue forecast decreased from €148.2m to €142.3m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.47 per share to €0.33 per share. Net income forecast to grow 83% next year vs 38% growth forecast for Luxury industry in Spain. Consensus price target of €6.05 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at €5.65 over the past week. Reported Earnings • May 05
Full year 2026 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Full year 2026 results: EPS: €0.18 (up from €0.098 in FY 2025). Revenue: €139.0m (up 1.8% from FY 2025). Net income: €1.64m (up 81% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 1.2% (up from 0.7% in FY 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 38%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.9% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 6.0% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 52% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Anuncio • May 02
Adolfo Domínguez, S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 02, 2026 Adolfo Domínguez, S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 02, 2026. Location: san cibrao das vinas, poligono industrial, calle 4, parcela 8, ourense., Spain New Risk • Feb 18
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Spanish stocks, typically moving 4.7% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.2x net interest cover). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (4.7% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.2% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€54.4m market cap, or US$64.3m). New Risk • Nov 27
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 1.2% Last year net profit margin: 2.6% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.2% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€44.3m market cap, or US$51.3m). New Risk • Nov 23
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended February 2025. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.8x net interest cover). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported February 2025 fiscal period end). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (€43.9m market cap, or US$50.6m). Anuncio • Jun 30
Adolfo Domínguez, S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jul 29, 2025 Adolfo Domínguez, S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jul 29, 2025. Location: san cibrao das vinas, poligono industrial, calle 4, parcela 8., ourense Spain New Risk • May 16
New major risk - Financial position The company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 0.8x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.8x net interest cover). Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (€43.4m market cap, or US$48.6m). Reported Earnings • May 12
Full year 2025 earnings released Full year 2025 results: Revenue: €136.5m (up 7.8% from FY 2024). Net income: €908.0k (up 24% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0.7% (up from 0.6% in FY 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Europe. Major Estimate Revision • May 06
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 37% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €142.6m to €140.2m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.35 per share to €0.22 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 11% next year vs 9.6% growth forecast for Luxury industry in Spain . Consensus price target down from €6.95 to €6.05. Share price was steady at €4.82 over the past week. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 06
Now 21% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 5.5% to €4.82. The fair value is estimated to be €3.99, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 15% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to grow by 22% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 41% in the next 2 years. Price Target Changed • May 02
Price target decreased by 13% to €6.05 Down from €6.95, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 27% above last closing price of €4.78. Stock is down 15% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.37 for next year compared to €0.079 last year. New Risk • Jan 02
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Spanish stocks, typically moving 4.3% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.2x net interest cover). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (4.3% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (€43.7m market cap, or US$45.2m). New Risk • Dec 03
New major risk - Financial position The company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 2.0x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.0x net interest cover). Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (€46.5m market cap, or US$48.9m). Board Change • Sep 01
Insufficient new directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 7 experienced directors. 1 highly experienced director. Independent Director Diana Feliciano was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment. Reported Earnings • Jul 22
First quarter 2025 earnings released: €0.20 loss per share (vs €0.18 loss in 1Q 2024) First quarter 2025 results: €0.20 loss per share (further deteriorated from €0.18 loss in 1Q 2024). Revenue: €24.1m (down 15% from 1Q 2024). Net loss: €1.88m (loss widened 11% from 1Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.2% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 125% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 5% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. New Risk • May 27
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended August 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (8.0% average weekly change). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported August 2023 fiscal period end). Market cap is less than US$100m (€49.8m market cap, or US$54.1m). New Risk • Mar 25
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Spanish stocks, typically moving 5.2% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.2% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€46.1m market cap, or US$50.0m). New Risk • Nov 13
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended February 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.0x net interest cover). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported February 2023 fiscal period end). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (€46.1m market cap, or US$49.3m). Reported Earnings • May 02
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.02 (vs €1.01 loss in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: €0.02 (up from €1.01 loss in FY 2022). Revenue: €114.2m (up 24% from FY 2022). Net income: €158.7k (up €9.43m from FY 2022). Profit margin: 0.1% (up from net loss in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 8.0% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 7.7% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 55% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Nov 27
First half 2023 earnings released: €0.29 loss per share (vs €1.17 loss in 1H 2022) First half 2023 results: €0.29 loss per share (improved from €1.17 loss in 1H 2022). Revenue: €49.6m (up 27% from 1H 2022). Net loss: €2.71m (loss narrowed 75% from 1H 2022). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 18% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Reported Earnings • Apr 29
Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Full year 2022 results: €1.00 loss per share (up from €2.10 loss in FY 2021). Revenue: €92.1m (up 40% from FY 2021). Net loss: €9.27m (loss narrowed 52% from FY 2021). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 100%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 100%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 18%, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the industry in Spain. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 45% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 23% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Breakeven Date Change • Apr 27
Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2024 The analyst covering Adolfo Domínguez previously expected the company to break even in 2023. New forecast suggests losses will reduce by 86% per year to 2023. The company is expected to make a profit of €2.00m in 2024. Average annual earnings growth of 108% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Reported Earnings • Dec 03
First half 2022 earnings released First half 2022 results: Revenue: (down 100% from 1H 2021). Net income: (up €10.4m from 1H 2021). Profit margin: (up from net loss in 1H 2021). The move to profitability was driven by lower expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 28%, compared to a 19% growth forecast for the industry in Spain. Breakeven Date Change • Jun 16
Forecast to breakeven in 2023 The 2 analysts covering Adolfo Domínguez expect the company to break even for the first time. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 78% to 2022. The company is expected to make a profit of €1.10m in 2023. Average annual earnings growth of 104% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Major Estimate Revision • Jun 15
Consensus EPS estimates increase to -€0.46 The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has improved. 2022 revenue forecast increased from €88.3m to €94.5m. EPS estimate increased from -€0.97 to -€0.46. Luxury industry in Spain expected to see average net income growth of 37% next year. Consensus price target of €4.95 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at €4.29 over the past week. Reported Earnings • May 04
Full year 2021 earnings released: €2.10 loss per share (vs €0.90 loss in FY 2020) The company reported a poor full year result with increased losses, weaker revenues and weaker control over costs. Full year 2021 results: Revenue: €66.0m (down 43% from FY 2020). Net loss: €19.3m (loss widened 133% from FY 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 59% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 8% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 23
New 90-day low: €4.21 The company is down 4.0% from its price of €4.38 on 25 November 2020. The Spanish market is flat over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 8.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €35.76 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 14
New 90-day high: €5.00 The company is up 39% from its price of €3.60 on 15 October 2020. The Spanish market is up 19% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 16% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 23
New 90-day high: €4.65 The company is up 33% from its price of €3.50 on 24 September 2020. The Spanish market is up 17% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 17% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 25
New 90-day high: €4.38 The company is up 2.0% from its price of €4.31 on 27 August 2020. The Spanish market is up 14% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 18% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 30
New 90-day low: €3.41 The company is down 22% from its price of €4.39 on 31 July 2020. The Spanish market is down 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 6.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Sep 22
New 90-day low: €3.71 The company is down 27% from its price of €5.10 on 24 June 2020. The Spanish market is down 4.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 5.0% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Sep 18
First quarter earnings released Over the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of €15.1m, with earnings decreasing by €15.2m from the prior year. Total revenue was €101.1m over the last 12 months, down 9.3% from the prior year.