bpost/SA Valuation

Is 13B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Por debajo del valor justo

  • Muy por debajo del valor justo

  • Price-To-Earnings vs. similares

  • Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria

  • PM vs. Ratio Justo

  • Pronóstico de los analistas

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 13B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Por debajo del valor justo: 13B (€3.53) cotiza por debajo de nuestra estimación de valor razonable (€8.79)

Muy por debajo del valor justo: 13B cotiza por debajo de su valor razonable en más de un 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 13B?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

13B key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.1x
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 13B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 13B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.4x
TGHN Logwin
9.4x-13.7%€742.8m
DE1 Deufol
3.7xn/a€60.1m
DHL Deutsche Post
12.7x7.9%€46.7b
HHFA Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
63.9x54.1%€1.3b
13B bpost/SA
10.7x27.5%€705.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs. similares: 13B es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (10.5x) comparado con la media de sus homólogos (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 13B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria: 13B es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (6.4x) comparado con la media del sector European Logistics (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 13B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

13B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.7x
Fair PE Ratio15.7x

PM vs. Ratio Justo: 13B es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (6.4x) comparado con el Ratio estimado Fair Price-To-Earnings (13.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 13B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.48
€4.37
+25.6%
26.8%€6.90€3.20n/a7
Mar ’25€3.60
€4.63
+28.6%
21.5%€6.90€3.50n/a9
Feb ’25€3.75
€5.08
+35.6%
23.0%€7.00€3.50n/a9
Jan ’25€4.62
€5.32
+15.1%
17.9%€7.00€4.00n/a9
Dec ’24€4.63
€5.32
+14.8%
17.9%€7.00€4.00n/a9
Nov ’24€5.07
€5.22
+2.9%
19.1%€7.00€4.00n/a9
Oct ’24€5.17
€5.09
-1.5%
20.5%€7.00€4.00n/a9
Sep ’24€4.35
€4.61
+5.8%
18.8%€7.00€4.00n/a9
Aug ’24€4.31
€4.79
+11.2%
21.2%€7.00€4.00n/a7
Jul ’24€4.00
€4.81
+20.3%
20.9%€7.00€4.00n/a7
Jun ’24€3.93
€4.99
+27.0%
19.4%€7.00€4.00n/a7
May ’24€4.45
€5.47
+23.1%
18.2%€7.00€4.00n/a7
Apr ’24€5.30
€6.09
+14.8%
9.0%€7.00€5.30€3.447
Mar ’24€5.07
€6.09
+20.0%
9.0%€7.00€5.30€3.607
Feb ’24€5.03
€6.29
+25.0%
13.7%€8.00€5.30€3.757
Jan ’24€4.78
€7.03
+47.1%
14.7%€8.60€5.80€4.629
Dec ’23€5.49
€7.09
+29.1%
14.7%€8.60€5.80€4.639
Nov ’23€4.91
€7.18
+46.2%
17.1%€8.60€5.00€5.079
Oct ’23€5.45
€7.41
+35.9%
13.1%€8.60€5.80€5.179
Sep ’23€5.93
€7.41
+24.9%
13.1%€8.60€5.80€4.359
Aug ’23€6.12
€7.16
+16.9%
15.6%€8.70€5.80€4.319
Jul ’23€5.60
€7.14
+27.7%
15.6%€8.70€5.80€4.009
Jun ’23€5.90
€7.22
+22.4%
14.7%€8.70€5.80€3.939
May ’23€5.77
€7.90
+36.9%
19.3%€11.00€5.80€4.458
Apr ’23€6.00
€8.16
+36.1%
15.6%€11.00€6.70€5.309

Pronóstico de los analistas: El precio objetivo es más de un 20% superior al precio actual de la acción, pero los analistas no están de acuerdo en un rango estadísticamente seguro.


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