Deutsche Post Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 1/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Deutsche Post de 5.8% y 3.4% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 6.2% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 16.8% en 3 años.
Información clave
5.8%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
6.21%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Logistics | 16.0% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 3.4% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 16.77% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 07 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización del análisis • May 10
DHL: Tighter Airfreight Conditions And Guidance Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Deutsche Post to €58.00, citing a slightly higher discount rate, updated assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. This comes even as recent Street research shows a mix of higher price targets and a downgrade in rating.
Actualización del análisis • Apr 22
DHL: Airfreight Tailwinds And Capital Returns Will Support Fairly Valued Shares
Narrative Update: Deutsche Post (DHL Group) Analysts have lifted the price target for Deutsche Post by €2.48, with updates citing a higher fair value estimate, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and margin assumptions, and Street research pointing to a more supportive airfreight environment and upgraded ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Deutsche Post focuses on how changes in airfreight conditions and updated price targets feed into expectations for valuation, growth and execution over the next few years.
Actualización del análisis • Apr 08
DHL: Airfreight Support Will Later Expose Fragile Earnings Assumptions
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Deutsche Post, with recent moves such as a €1.50 increase at one major firm and a shift to an Overweight rating from another, citing a supportive airfreight supply and demand setup and potential upside to fiscal 2026 assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Deutsche Post, trading as DHL Group, reflect a mix of optimism around specific business drivers and caution around execution and growth risks.Actualización del análisis • Mar 24
DHL: Airfreight Tailwind Will Mask Fragile Earnings And Rich Pricing
Narrative Update on Deutsche Post (DHL Group) Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Deutsche Post from €34.00 to €38.00, citing a more supportive airfreight supply and demand backdrop and potential upside to medium term earnings that has also fed through to a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a split view on DHL Group, with some analysts highlighting supportive airfreight conditions and others dialing back expectations and ratings.Actualización del análisis • Mar 10
DHL: Tighter Airfreight Conditions Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Analysts have lifted their price target for Deutsche Post to €59.09 from €56.22, citing updated views on fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E assumptions, as well as recent research highlighting potential benefits from tighter airfreight supply and demand conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research has sharpened the bullish case around Deutsche Post, with some price targets moving higher and pointing to what bullish analysts see as a more supportive backdrop for execution and earnings quality.Actualización del análisis • Feb 23
DHL: Cost Execution And Seasonal Trends Will Support Fairly Valued Shares
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post slightly higher from about €45.24 to roughly €45.79. This reflects updated views on discount rates, modest revenue growth assumptions, and a broadly steady profit margin outlook, informed in part by recent mixed research that includes cost execution improvements and peak season trends.Actualización del análisis • Feb 09
DHL: Cost Execution And Defensive Segments Will Steady Rerated Share Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post higher to €45.24 from €44.84, reflecting recent price target increases from several firms and a shift in focus toward cost execution, steadying peak season trends, and a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple despite mixed rating changes. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight better cost execution, which they see as supporting earnings resilience and justifying higher price targets such as €42.50 and €47.Actualización del análisis • Jan 25
DHL: Cost Discipline And Defensive Divisions Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post slightly lower to €56.22 from €56.65, reflecting a modest reset in price targets after mixed research moves that highlight better cost execution and seasonal improvement on one hand, and concerns about limited incremental upside after strong rerating on the other. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Deutsche Post, which operates as DHL Group, shows a split tape, with some firms trimming ratings after a strong rerating and others highlighting improving execution and seasonal trends.Actualización del análisis • Jan 09
DHL: Cost Execution And Peak Season Recovery Will Support Earnings Quality
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post to €56.65 from €55.18, reflecting updated views on cost execution, sequential peak season trends, and revised revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions following recent research moves on DHL Group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on DHL Group points to a more balanced but still constructive stance on Deutsche Post, with several bullish analysts highlighting improved execution and refined expectations around earnings quality and valuation.Artículo de análisis • Jan 05
Deutsche Post's (ETR:DHL) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...Actualización del análisis • Dec 26
DHL: Cost Execution And Defensive Segments Will Support Balanced Near-Term Outlook
The analyst price target for Deutsche Post has edged higher to EUR 44.84 from EUR 44.66, as analysts point to improving cost execution, sequentially better peak season trends and resilient earnings from more defensive segments, even as some see limited incremental upside after the recent rerating. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Deutsche Post highlight a mixed but generally constructive view, with price targets edging higher and ratings converging towards a more balanced stance after a period of strong share price performance.Actualización del análisis • Dec 12
DHL: Cost Discipline And Defensive Segments Will Support Balanced Earnings Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post DHL Group slightly higher to EUR 44.66 from EUR 43.81. This reflects a modest rerating as they point to improving cost execution, resilient defensive segments and early signs of peak season strength despite cautious views on incremental upside.Artículo de análisis • Dec 10
Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.5x Deutsche Post AG ( ETR:DHL ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Actualización del análisis • Nov 27
DHL: Operational Efficiencies And Balance Sheet Strength Will Support Earnings Resilience
Deutsche Post’s analyst fair value target increased modestly from €43.25 to €43.81, as analysts cited improved cost efficiency and incremental earnings resilience in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have increased fair value targets for Deutsche Post, with several raising their estimates due to demonstrated progress in cost control and execution.Artículo de análisis • Nov 27
Are Investors Undervaluing Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL) By 47%?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Deutsche Post fair value estimate is €85.04 Deutsche Post's...Artículo de análisis • Nov 14
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Deutsche Post (ETR:DHL)
The market for Deutsche Post AG's ( ETR:DHL ) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week...Actualización del análisis • Nov 12
DHL: Revenue Gains And Margin Outlook Will Balance Competitive Risks Ahead
Deutsche Post's analyst price target has slightly increased to €43.25, with analysts citing strengthened revenue growth expectations and a modest improvement in profit margin outlook, even as some peer price targets have been reduced. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity regarding Deutsche Post reflects a mix of positive expectations and caution, influencing the latest price targets and recommendations.Actualización del análisis • Sep 23
E-commerce And Global Trade Trends Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Deutsche Post's consensus price target was modestly reduced to €42.82 as analysts grew more cautious on near-term earnings and shipping volatility, particularly after soft Q2 trends, though longer-term confidence remains from some bullish voices. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have lowered price targets due to concerns that DHL Group will struggle to achieve its fiscal 2025 outlook.Artículo de análisis • Aug 24
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Deutsche Post AG's (ETR:DHL) Earnings Yet
When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider...Artículo de análisis • Jun 25
Is There Now An Opportunity In Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL)?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Deutsche Post AG ( ETR:DHL ). The company's stock saw a...Artículo de análisis • Jun 12
Is Deutsche Post (ETR:DHL) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Artículo de análisis • May 30
Are Investors Undervaluing Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL) By 47%?
Key Insights Deutsche Post's estimated fair value is €73.22 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Deutsche Post's...Artículo de análisis • May 16
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Deutsche Post's (ETR:DHL) Returns On Capital
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Nuevo análisis • Nov 07
E-commerce Expansion And Innovative Strategies Propel Growth Amidst Global Challenges
Deutsche Post anticipates growth in e-commerce and parcel segments, driven by last-mile delivery volume increases and effective yield management strategies.Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 90,738 | 4,207 | 3,815 | 9,895 | 12 |
| 12/31/2027 | 87,834 | 3,967 | 3,547 | 9,642 | 16 |
| 12/31/2026 | 84,868 | 3,672 | 3,346 | 9,002 | 16 |
| 3/31/2026 | 83,044 | 3,527 | 6,840 | 9,620 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 83,433 | 3,501 | 6,324 | 9,119 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 83,769 | 3,538 | 6,721 | 9,567 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 84,233 | 3,449 | 6,136 | 8,998 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 85,051 | 3,378 | 6,031 | 8,899 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 84,771 | 3,332 | 5,786 | 8,722 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 83,363 | 3,214 | 5,264 | 8,135 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 82,169 | 3,270 | 5,550 | 8,626 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 81,640 | 3,504 | 5,575 | 8,864 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 82,291 | 3,675 | 5,877 | 9,258 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 84,526 | 4,031 | 5,913 | 9,868 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 89,166 | 4,444 | 6,772 | 10,799 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 93,133 | 4,919 | 6,952 | 10,934 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 94,776 | 5,359 | 7,053 | 10,965 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 94,339 | 5,508 | 6,630 | 10,491 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 90,337 | 5,375 | 5,881 | 9,675 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 85,817 | 5,214 | 6,158 | 9,929 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 82,048 | 5,053 | 6,257 | 9,993 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 77,840 | 4,871 | 6,756 | 10,295 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 74,026 | 4,635 | 6,736 | 10,031 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 70,499 | 3,868 | 6,410 | 9,439 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 67,094 | 2,979 | 4,777 | 7,699 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 64,826 | 2,535 | 4,848 | 7,444 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 64,156 | 2,245 | 4,123 | 6,928 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 63,706 | 2,178 | 2,972 | 6,547 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 63,588 | 2,623 | N/A | 6,049 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 63,272 | 2,578 | N/A | 6,038 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 62,569 | 2,163 | N/A | 5,590 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 62,442 | 2,221 | N/A | 5,680 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 61,769 | 2,075 | N/A | 5,796 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 60,814 | 2,099 | N/A | 4,671 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 60,604 | 2,594 | N/A | 4,204 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 60,391 | 2,680 | N/A | 3,575 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 60,652 | 2,713 | N/A | 3,297 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 60,302 | 2,717 | N/A | 3,695 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 59,525 | 2,694 | N/A | 3,628 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 58,859 | 2,633 | N/A | 2,741 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 57,804 | 2,639 | N/A | 2,439 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 57,685 | 2,468 | N/A | 2,821 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 58,247 | 1,899 | N/A | 2,726 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 58,758 | 1,684 | N/A | 3,153 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 59,681 | 1,540 | N/A | 3,444 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 59,726 | 1,510 | N/A | 2,796 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 59,303 | 1,929 | N/A | 2,818 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (5.8% al año) de DHL es superior a la tasa de ahorro (1.9%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (5.8% al año) de DHL crezcan menos que el mercado German (16.9% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de DHL crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (3.4% al año) de DHL crezcan más despacio que el mercado de German (6.5% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 3.4% al año) de DHL crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de DHL sea baja dentro de 3 años (16.8%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/11 12:52 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Deutsche Post AG está cubierta por 39 analistas. 16 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Arancha Piñeiro | Banco de Sabadell. S.A. |
| Susanna Invernizzi | Barclays |
| Marco Limite | Barclays |