Gerdau Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 3/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Gerdau de 31.4% y 4% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 27.2% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 10% en 3 años.
Información clave
31.4%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
27.19%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Metals and Mining | 20.9% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 4.0% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 10.05% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 07 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • May 13
GGBR4: Share Repurchases And Higher Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Gerdau higher to R$29.95 from R$29.52, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, following a series of recent upgrades and target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned more constructive on Gerdau, with several bullish analysts adjusting their views and price targets in quick succession.
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 28
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher P/E Framework Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have inched their average price target on Gerdau higher to about R$24.64 from roughly R$24.57, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. These changes reflect the latest rounds of target increases and rating changes across the Street.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 14
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Refined Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Gerdau's updated R$29.52 analyst price target edges slightly below the prior R$29.66, with analysts citing refined assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E following a mix of recent upgrades and downgrades across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Gerdau shows a mix of upgrades, downgrades and price target tweaks, with several bullish analysts focusing on refined expectations for execution and earnings power rather than wholesale changes to the underlying story.
Actualización de narrativa • Mar 31
GGBR4: Buyback Plan And Firmer Margins Will Likely Unlock Upside
Analysts raised the fair value estimate for Gerdau to R$21.00 from R$20.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that reflect the latest mix of upgrades and downgrades in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Gerdau presents a mixed picture, with some firms turning more constructive while others are taking a step back and reassessing risk.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 17
GGBR4: Share Buybacks Will Shape More Optimistic Future Earnings Profile
Analysts have trimmed their stance on Gerdau and now see fair value at about R$24.57 per share, a change of roughly R$0.44. This reflects expectations for lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 03
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have made only a slight upward adjustment to their R$ price target for Gerdau, reflecting more cautious views following recent downgrades that point to tempered expectations, despite updated assumptions for profit margins and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research has turned more cautious on Gerdau, with downgrades reflecting a preference to wait for clearer visibility on earnings and valuation.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 17
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on Gerdau to R$29.60 from R$27.96, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple, even as some recent research, such as BTG Pactual turning more cautious, reflects a more mixed stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated price target of R$29.60 as a sign that they see room for the shares to better reflect their assumptions on revenue, margins and a higher future P/E multiple.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 03
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Refined Earnings Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Gerdau at US$24.13 per share, up from US$23.08. This reflects updated views on discount rates, long term profit margins and future P/E assumptions, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the stock.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 20
GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Rich P/E Will Likely Restrain Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on Gerdau from US$17.00 to US$20.00, citing revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and the future P/E they apply to the shares. What's in the News Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, Gerdau repurchased 293,000 shares for BRL 4.59 million under its buyback program announced on January 20, 2025, bringing total repurchases under the program to 1,033,500 shares for BRL 16.17 million (company filing).Actualización de narrativa • Jan 05
GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Dividend Payout Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Gerdau higher from US$22.61 to about US$23.08, reflecting updated views that factor in slightly adjusted forecasts for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 19, 2025, Gerdau repurchased 466,500 shares for BRL 7.3 million, completing the 1,500,000 share buyback program announced on January 20, 2025 for a total of BRL 23.48 million (company filing).Actualización de narrativa • Dec 14
GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Gerdau to approximately $27.96 from $28.00, citing a combination of slower expected revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, and improved profit margin and future valuation assumptions. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for October 30, 2025, to evaluate the cancellation of 283,900 common shares (GGBR3) and 12,650,000 preferred shares (GGBR4) without reducing capital stock (company filing).Actualización de narrativa • Nov 25
GGBR4: Upcoming Dividend Payment and Share Buybacks Will Drive Market Optimism
Analysts have raised Gerdau's fair value estimate from $22.19 to $22.61, citing recent adjustments to growth and profitability expectations as key factors in the revised price target. What's in the News The Board of Directors approved the cancellation of 283,900 common shares (GGBR3) and 12,650,000 preferred shares (GGBR4) with no reduction in capital stock (Key Developments).
Nueva narrativa • Nov 30
Strategic Shifts And Efficiency Enhancements Set The Stage For Growth Amid Global Challenges
Cost reduction efforts and a strategic product mix are set to improve margins and efficiency, enhancing Gerdau's financial performance.Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 75,943 | 5,505 | 4,603 | 8,641 | 11 |
| 12/31/2027 | 73,071 | 5,397 | 4,495 | 7,886 | 13 |
| 12/31/2026 | 70,276 | 5,360 | 3,901 | 7,849 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 69,199 | 1,640 | 2,410 | 8,596 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 69,859 | 1,387 | 1,135 | 7,987 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 69,707 | 3,001 | 380 | 7,627 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 69,102 | 3,269 | 3,346 | 10,530 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 68,192 | 3,272 | 4,742 | 11,451 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 67,027 | 4,566 | 5,435 | 11,381 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 64,920 | 4,828 | 6,596 | 12,208 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 64,605 | 5,063 | 3,296 | 8,725 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 66,254 | 6,339 | 4,542 | 10,006 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 68,916 | 7,502 | 5,802 | 11,139 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 72,165 | 8,131 | 3,745 | 9,250 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 76,251 | 9,560 | 5,056 | 10,153 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 80,954 | 11,707 | 5,960 | 10,794 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 82,412 | 11,426 | 6,669 | 11,150 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 86,003 | 13,713 | 13,238 | 17,248 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 86,171 | 16,296 | 12,840 | 16,575 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 82,333 | 15,968 | 9,919 | 13,268 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 78,345 | 15,494 | 9,325 | 12,517 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 70,410 | 13,047 | 4,751 | 7,290 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 61,315 | 8,239 | 5,116 | 7,199 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 50,930 | 4,600 | 5,047 | 6,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 43,815 | 2,366 | 4,603 | 6,408 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 39,728 | 1,417 | 1,946 | 3,653 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 37,437 | 917 | 895 | 2,783 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 38,846 | 971 | 1,118 | 3,161 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 39,644 | 1,204 | N/A | 1,643 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 41,010 | 1,488 | N/A | 3,520 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 43,915 | 1,987 | N/A | 1,938 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 45,796 | 2,312 | N/A | 1,847 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 46,159 | 2,304 | N/A | 2,000 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 45,077 | 536 | N/A | 2,573 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 41,717 | -114 | N/A | 2,308 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 38,848 | -734 | N/A | 1,836 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 36,918 | -359 | N/A | 2,076 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 35,720 | -2,039 | N/A | 1,465 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 34,943 | -2,082 | N/A | 2,060 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 36,026 | -2,084 | N/A | 2,624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 37,652 | -2,891 | N/A | 3,516 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 39,481 | -2,984 | N/A | 3,791 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 42,708 | -5,018 | N/A | 6,409 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 43,218 | -4,836 | N/A | 7,147 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 43,581 | -4,551 | N/A | 7,162 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 43,976 | -997 | N/A | 5,827 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 42,757 | 1,198 | N/A | 3,515 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (31.4% al año) de GGBR4 es superior a la tasa de ahorro (12.4%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (31.4% al año) de GGBR4 crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado BR (12.6% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que los beneficios de GGBR4 crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (4% al año) de GGBR4 crezcan más despacio que el mercado de BR (6.5% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 4% al año) de GGBR4 crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de GGBR4 sea baja dentro de 3 años (10%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/21 23:54 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
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| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
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| Propiedad | 10 años |
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| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Gerdau S.A. está cubierta por 22 analistas. 13 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Correa | Barclays |
| Mary Cleia da Silva | BB Banco de Investimento S.A. |
| Caio Ribeiro | BofA Global Research |