Orica Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 3/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Orica de 27.6% y 2.4% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 24.2% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 17.5% en 3 años.
Información clave
27.6%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
24.24%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Chemicals | 27.8% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 2.4% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 17.48% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 20 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • May 02
ORI: Refined Forecast Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Outlook
Analysts have made a marginal adjustment to Orica's price target, with fair value moving slightly from A$25.44 to A$25.42, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from A$25.44 to A$25.42, a very small downward adjustment in the modelled fair value.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 17
ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly lower to A$25.44 from A$25.64. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 03
ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Orica slightly to A$25.64 from A$25.75. This reflects small adjustments to assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 19
ORI: Slightly Higher Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Orica from A$26.50 to A$25.75 as small adjustments to key inputs, including discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, filter through their valuation models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.50 to A$25.75, a small downward adjustment to the modelled valuation.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 04
ORI: Slightly Lower Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orica slightly lower to A$26.50 from A$26.58, reflecting modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions while keeping the future P/E view broadly stable. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to A$26.50 from A$26.58.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 18
ORI: Slightly Higher Return Assumptions Will Support A Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts now set their price target for Orica at about A$26.58, up slightly from around A$26.44, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.44 to A$26.58, a slight upward adjustment in the modelled estimate.Artículo de análisis • Feb 16
Is Orica (ASX:ORI) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Actualización de narrativa • Feb 04
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Stable Assumptions Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to A$26.44 from A$26.10, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback authorization by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million on November 13, 2025, expanding the size of its existing program (Key Developments).Artículo de análisis • Jan 26
Why We're Not Concerned About Orica Limited's (ASX:ORI) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 74.3x Orica Limited ( ASX:ORI ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...Actualización de narrativa • Jan 20
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts now keep their fair value estimate for Orica steady at A$26.10, with only marginal adjustments to model inputs such as the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions resulting in an unchanged price target. What's in the News On November 13, 2025, Orica increased its equity buyback authority by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million, signaling continued use of capital for share repurchases (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Jan 06
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have reaffirmed their price target on Orica at A$26.10, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, long run revenue growth, profit margin and assumed future P/E. This keeps their valuation view broadly unchanged.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 22
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Higher Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have raised their price target on Orica to approximately A$26.10 from A$23.68, reflecting slightly lower perceived risk, stronger expected revenue growth, and a higher future earnings multiple that more than offset a modest downward revision to profit margins. What's in the News Expanded equity buyback authorization by AUD 100 million, lifting the total program to AUD 500 million as of November 13, 2025 (company announcement) Declared an increased ordinary dividend of AUD 0.32 per share for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with ex date November 21, record date November 24, and payment date December 22, 2025 (company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen moderately to approximately A$26.10 from about A$23.68.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 08
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to reflect a modest improvement in the company’s risk profile and earnings sustainability, with the updated valuation now implying a fair value of approximately $23.68 per share. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback plan by AUD 100 million on November 13, 2025, lifting the total authorization to AUD 500 million (company announcement).Actualización de narrativa • Nov 24
ORI: Buyback Expansion And Dividend Actions Will Shape Balanced Market Sentiment
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Orica upward from $23.38 to $23.68. This change reflects updated forecasts and supportive changes in core financial metrics.Artículo de análisis • Nov 17
Orica (ASX:ORI) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Orica Limited ( ASX:ORI ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on...Actualización de narrativa • Nov 07
ORI: Revenue Forecasts Will Drive Modest Shifts In Future Market Expectations
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica, increasing the estimated fair value from $22.95 to $23.38. This change reflects slightly improved revenue growth forecasts and updated discount rates.Artículo de análisis • Nov 03
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orica is AU$24.40 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Orica's AU$22.14...Actualización de narrativa • Oct 24
Sustained Earnings Expected From Recent Acquisitions And Technology Improvements
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica from $22.56 to $22.95. They cite a slight improvement in projected revenue growth, while discount rates remain stable and profit margin expectations have been adjusted only slightly.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 23
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Orica's fair value has been revised marginally higher as analysts factor in slightly improved revenue growth expectations, with the consensus price target moving from A$22.17 to A$22.56. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from A$22.17 to A$22.56.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 08
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Despite lower consensus revenue growth forecasts, a higher future P/E multiple has supported a moderate increase in Orica’s analyst price target to A$22.17. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from A$21.56 to A$22.17.Artículo de análisis • Aug 08
Does Orica (ASX:ORI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
ASX:ORI 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Orica's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Some say...Artículo de análisis • Jul 08
An Intrinsic Calculation For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI) Suggests It's 41% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orica is AU$33.84 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Orica's AU$19.82...Artículo de análisis • Jun 20
The Price Is Right For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
It's not a stretch to say that Orica Limited's ( ASX:ORI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems...
Nueva narrativa • Dec 06
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Strategic acquisitions and focus on advanced technology are expected to drive revenue growth and enhance earnings through integration and cross-selling opportunities.Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 8,651 | 706 | 902 | 1,234 | 14 |
| 9/30/2027 | 8,414 | 646 | 751 | 1,109 | 14 |
| 9/30/2026 | 8,124 | 269 | 303 | 642 | 14 |
| 3/31/2026 | 8,116 | 251 | 465 | 935 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 8,149 | 207 | 500 | 942 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 8,183 | 162 | 535 | 949 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 8,104 | 130 | 495 | 906 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,999 | 98 | 456 | 862 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,845 | 311 | 403 | 835 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,691 | 525 | 351 | 808 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,647 | 518 | 468 | 948 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,604 | 511 | 585 | 1,088 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,775 | 403 | 522 | 993 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,945 | 296 | 460 | 899 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,997 | 282 | 314 | 710 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 8,049 | 267 | 169 | 521 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 7,573 | 206 | 91 | 441 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 7,096 | 145 | 13 | 362 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,870 | -262 | -19 | 323 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,556 | -225 | 138 | 471 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,242 | -188 | 296 | 619 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,690 | -21 | -70 | 176 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,926 | 25 | -158 | 161 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,161 | 71 | -247 | 145 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 5,789 | 273 | -44 | 474 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,948 | 377 | 158 | 671 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,922 | 311 | N/A | 708 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,896 | 245 | N/A | 746 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,794 | 230 | N/A | 758 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,691 | 214 | N/A | 770 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 5,547 | 83 | N/A | 692 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 5,402 | -48 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 5,282 | -43 | N/A | 478 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 5,162 | -38 | N/A | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,116 | 174 | N/A | 403 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,070 | 386 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,035 | 388 | N/A | 633 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,999 | 389 | N/A | 800 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,055 | 366 | N/A | 789 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,111 | 343 | N/A | 778 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,431 | -1,336 | N/A | 593 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,552 | -1,306 | N/A | 666 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,673 | -1,275 | N/A | 739 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (27.6% al año) de ORI es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.6%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (27.6% al año) de ORI crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado Australian (11.9% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que los beneficios de ORI crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (2.4% al año) de ORI crezcan más despacio que el mercado de Australian (6.1% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 2.4% al año) de ORI crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de ORI sea baja dentro de 3 años (17.5%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/22 22:12 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/09/30 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
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| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Orica Limited está cubierta por 33 analistas. 14 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Brook Campbell-Crawford | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Joseph House | Bell Potter |