Mothercare plc

AIM:MTC Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£18.0m

Mothercare Valuation

Is MTC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

UK£0.0052
Fair Value
512.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MTC (£0.03) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTC?

Key metric: As MTC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MTC. This is calculated by dividing MTC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MTC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio2.9x
EarningsUK£6.20m
Market CapUK£18.04m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.5x
SHOE Shoe Zone
13.2x26.70%UK£33.5m
CFYN Caffyns
77.5xn/aUK£13.6m
WRKS TheWorks.co.uk
3.7xn/aUK£30.5m
PROC ProCook Group
39.7x39.18%UK£39.8m
MTC Mothercare
2.9x-87.50%UK£18.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.9x) compared to the peer average (33.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Specialty Retail Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.16.9x18.6%
MTC Mothercare
 2.9x-87.50%US$24.32m
WRKS TheWorks.co.uk
3.7xn/aUS$41.12m
No more companies available in this PE range
MTC 2.9xIndustry Avg. 16.9xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.16.9x18.6%
MTC Mothercare
 2.9x-87.50%US$24.32m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.9x) compared to the UK Specialty Retail industry average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.9x
Fair PE Ratio1.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.032
UK£0.098
+204.69%
53.85%UK£0.15UK£0.045n/a2
Sep ’26UK£0.03
UK£0.11
+258.33%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Aug ’26UK£0.033
UK£0.11
+223.80%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Jul ’26UK£0.03
UK£0.11
+252.46%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Jun ’26UK£0.027
UK£0.11
+302.62%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
May ’26UK£0.025
UK£0.11
+335.22%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Apr ’26UK£0.029
UK£0.11
+273.26%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Mar ’26UK£0.033
UK£0.11
+230.77%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Feb ’26UK£0.038
UK£0.11
+184.39%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Jan ’26UK£0.043
UK£0.11
+150.00%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Dec ’25UK£0.042
UK£0.11
+159.04%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Nov ’25UK£0.038
UK£0.11
+182.15%
39.53%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Oct ’25UK£0.036
UK£0.14
+279.21%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0322
Sep ’25UK£0.04
UK£0.14
+236.66%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.032
Aug ’25UK£0.041
UK£0.14
+231.70%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0332
Jul ’25UK£0.047
UK£0.14
+187.23%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.032
Jun ’25UK£0.045
UK£0.14
+196.70%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0272
May ’25UK£0.063
UK£0.14
+114.29%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0252
Apr ’25UK£0.064
UK£0.14
+112.60%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0292
Mar ’25UK£0.075
UK£0.14
+79.40%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0332
Feb ’25UK£0.078
UK£0.14
+72.52%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0382
Jan ’25UK£0.068
UK£0.14
+98.53%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0432
Dec ’24UK£0.057
UK£0.14
+138.94%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0422
Nov ’24UK£0.043
UK£0.14
+217.65%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0382
Oct ’24UK£0.045
UK£0.14
+202.69%
11.11%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0362
UK£0.098
Fair Value
67.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/05 01:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/03/29
Annual Earnings2025/03/29

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mothercare plc is covered by 23 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Louise RichardsonArden Partners Plc.
Robert ChantryBerenberg
Ian MacdougallBlue Oar Securities