FinVolution Group Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Der Umsatz von FinVolution Group wird voraussichtlich um 12% pro Jahr zurückgehen, während der Jahresgewinn um 7% pro Jahr wachsen soll. Der Gewinn je Aktie wird voraussichtlich um 8.5% pro Jahr steigen. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 9.9% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
7.0%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
8.54%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Consumer Finance Gewinnwachstum | 12.5% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | -12.0% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 9.86% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Low |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 09 Sep 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrative-Update • Sep 17
FINV: Share Buybacks And Stronger Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on FinVolution Group to reflect a fair value shift from about $7.29 to around $5.58. They point to lower revenue growth expectations alongside higher assumed discount rates, partially offset by firmer profit margin and P/E assumptions.Seeking Alpha • Sep 08
Why I've Added 'Trading Shares' To My FinVolution Holdings
Summary FinVolution Group has been sharply punished by the market due to recent Chinese lending sector turmoil, but I see this as an overreaction. FINV's robust balance sheet, with RMB 12.5 billion in liquidity, and consistent buybacks position the company well for recovery and shareholder value creation. Despite a 50% drop in China loan volume post-Juzi incident, FINV remains profit-focused, prioritizing asset quality and risk controls over scale. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative-Update • Sep 03
FINV: Solid Margins And Buybacks Will Support Future Recovery Potential
Analysts have reduced their price target on FinVolution Group from about $9.11 to roughly $7.66. This revision reflects updated views that include slower revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by expectations for a higher profit margin.Neues Narrative • Jun 17
FinVolution Stock Will Rely On Overseas Expansion And AI To Transform Future Earnings
Catalysts About FinVolution Group FinVolution Group operates a technology driven consumer finance platform serving borrowers in China and several overseas markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative-Update • Jun 16
FINV: Cash Returns And Overseas Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on FinVolution Group higher to reflect a fair value estimate of about $7.29, up from roughly $7.01. The revision is backed by modest tweaks to discount rate assumptions, slightly softer revenue growth expectations, a marginally stronger profit margin profile, and a lower projected future P/E multiple.
Neues Narrative • Jun 02
Overseas Expansion And AI Reliance Will Challenge Execution Yet Support Long Term Prospects
Catalysts About FinVolution Group FinVolution Group operates a technology driven consumer finance platform that connects borrowers with financial institution partners in China and select overseas markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative-Update • Jun 01
FINV: Capital Returns And Overseas Expansion Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for FinVolution Group to about $7.01 from roughly $7.61, reflecting slightly higher discount rates, more measured revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin, and a small reset in expected future P/E. What's in the News FinVolution reported unaudited Q1 2026 results, citing steady overall performance, improving credit trends in China, and growing contributions from overseas markets, with international operations accounting for 30% of group revenue.Narrative-Update • May 18
FINV: Share Buybacks And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Return Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on FinVolution Group higher to $7.61. This reflects slightly adjusted assumptions around the stock's discount rate, revenue growth outlook, and future P/E expectations.Narrative-Update • Apr 27
FINV: Share Buybacks And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for FinVolution Group broadly unchanged at about $7.61 per share, with only slight tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E contributing to a steady price target view. What's in the News FinVolution issued earnings guidance for 2026, with total revenue expected in a range of about RMB11.5b to RMB12.9b, which it described as a 5% to 15% year over year decline (company guidance).Narrative-Update • Apr 11
FINV: Buybacks And Dividend Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have made a small trim to their price target on FinVolution Group, reducing it by about $0.04 as they fine tune assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E levels. What's in the News FinVolution Group issued earnings guidance for 2026, with total revenue expected in a range of roughly RMB11.5b to RMB12.9b, which the company describes as a 5% to 15% year over year decline (company guidance).Narrative-Update • Mar 28
FINV: Share Buybacks And Dividends Will Support Further Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for FinVolution Group slightly to about $7.65, citing refreshed assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, which collectively point to a more balanced risk and return profile. What's in the News FinVolution issued earnings guidance for 2026, with total revenue expected in a range of about RMB11.5b to RMB12.9b, described by the company as representing a 5% to 15% year over year decline (Corporate guidance).Narrative-Update • Mar 13
FINV: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Further Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target for FinVolution Group higher to about $7.66 from about $7.55, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The updated estimate has edged up from $7.55 to about $7.66 per share, reflecting a minor adjustment in the model.Narrative-Update • Feb 26
FINV: Lower Discount Rate And P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lowered their price target on FinVolution Group to $6.91 from $7.00, reflecting slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value, revenue growth, and profit margin expectations essentially unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Modelled fair value remains unchanged at $7.55 per share.Narrative-Update • Feb 07
FINV: Share Repurchases And 2025 Revenue Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FinVolution Group slightly, reflecting small adjustments to the discount rate and forward P/E assumptions while keeping fair value and key operating metrics essentially unchanged. What's in the News FinVolution Group issued full year 2025 revenue guidance, targeting total revenue in a range of about RMB 13.1b to RMB 13.7b.Narrative-Update • Jan 23
FINV: Share Repurchases And 2025 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for FinVolution Group steady at US$7.55 per share, with small tweaks to inputs like the discount rate and future P/E, now at 7.04x, reflecting updated assumptions rather than a major shift in the investment case. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, FinVolution Group repurchased US$0.8 million of its shares, bringing total buybacks under the March 17, 2025 program to US$36.56 million (company announcement).Narrative-Update • Jan 09
FINV: Share Repurchases And 2025 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have held their fair value estimate for FinVolution Group steady at US$7.55 per share, while making only minor tweaks to discount rate and future P/E inputs. This reflects updated model assumptions rather than a shift in their overall view of the stock.Narrative-Update • Dec 21
FINV: Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside Despite Flat Revenue Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on FinVolution Group, citing a slightly higher assumed future price to earnings multiple that offsets softer expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. This has led to a small upward revision in estimated fair value toward approximately $7.55 per share.Narrative-Update • Dec 07
FINV: Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside Despite Softer Margins
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on FinVolution Group, citing tempered expectations for revenue growth and slightly lower profit margins. These factors outweigh a marginally higher assumed future P/E multiple.Narrative-Update • Nov 23
FINV: Share Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Upside Amid Margin Shifts
Analysts have lowered their price target for FinVolution Group from $11.34 to $8.61. They cite revised expectations for slower revenue growth and reduced profit margins as the reasons for this adjustment.Analyseartikel • Oct 30
Little Excitement Around FinVolution Group's (NYSE:FINV) Earnings As Shares Take 25% Pounding
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the FinVolution Group ( NYSE:FINV ) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty...Narrative-Update • Aug 27
Expansion Into International Markets And AI Investments Will Increase Costs But Strengthen Future Prospects
The downward revision in FinVolution Group's Analyst Price Target reflects sharp declines in both future P/E ratio and consensus revenue growth forecasts, with fair value dropping from $11.82 to $11.34. What's in the News Completed repurchase of 3,295,800 shares for $28.04 million, totaling 27,600,104 shares (10.5%) for $150 million under the buyback announced in August 2023.Seeking Alpha • Mar 31
FinVolution Group Is Undervalued With Catalysts (Rating Upgrade)
Summary I have lifted my rating for FinVolution to a 'Buy', as there are re-rating drivers that could allow the stock to command a higher valuation. My take is that FINV's shares are cheap based on the capital management yield and P/NAV valuation measures. The key catalysts for the Company are further growth in foreign markets and sustained positive momentum for its domestic operations. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Mar 28
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By FinVolution Group's (NYSE:FINV) Earnings Despite 27% Price Jump
FinVolution Group ( NYSE:FINV ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone...Analyseartikel • Mar 27
FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV) Is Increasing Its Dividend To CN¥0.257
The board of FinVolution Group ( NYSE:FINV ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of CN¥0.257 on the 7th...Analyseartikel • Mar 20
FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results
The investors in FinVolution Group 's ( NYSE:FINV ) will be rubbing their hands together with glee today, after the...Analyseartikel • Feb 08
Many Still Looking Away From FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7x FinVolution Group ( NYSE:FINV ) may be sending very bullish signals at...Seeking Alpha • Dec 13
FinVolution: Big Data, Proven FCF Growth, And Substantial Undervaluation
Summary FinVolution Group's internationalization efforts, big data analytics, and machine learning capabilities could drive significant free cash flow and operational efficiency, making the stock appear undervalued and a buy. The company focuses on young borrowers underserved by traditional institutions, generating revenue through transaction service fees from financial partners. FINV's automated platforms and stock repurchase programs enhance profit margins and stock price potential, supported by impressive cash flow and net income growth. Regulatory changes in China and potential credit market deterioration pose risks, but the current valuation and growth prospects make FINV an attractive investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 22
FinVolution: Strong Growth Trajectory Ahead Through LE-GO Strategy
Summary FinVolution Group's overseas expansion strategy, 'Local Excellence, Global Outlook' (LE-GO), aims for sustainable growth in emerging markets outside China, enhancing its international revenue contribution to 20% in 2024. Despite a saturated China market, FINV's risk management and funding cost optimizations support progressive profit and shareholder returns. The Company's international markets, particularly Indonesia and the Philippines, show promising profitability and growth, with significant collaborations and diversified financial products. FINV's current growth potential for transaction volume, net income, and sustainable capital return make it an attractive investment, especially given its lower PB ratio compared to peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Neues Narrative • Nov 21
International Expansion And Tech Partnerships Propel Innovative Growth Worldwide
Strategic international expansion and partnerships drive revenue growth and enhance market penetration, with a focus on technological innovation improving efficiency and margins.Analyseartikel • Oct 03
FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV) Soars 29% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
Despite an already strong run, FinVolution Group ( NYSE:FINV ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the...Seeking Alpha • Sep 19
FinVolution: Market Diversity And Risk Management Are Major Competitive Advantages
Summary I am bullish on FinVolution Group due to its diverse market reach, robust risk management strategies, and commitment to shareholder value through dividends and share buybacks. The stock is undervalued with a P/E ratio of 4.82x and a NAV/share of $7.64, presenting a good entry opportunity. FinVolution's expansion into emerging markets like the Philippines and Indonesia, coupled with its mature Chinese market, ensures both short- and long-term growth. The company employs advanced AI and big data for risk assessment, maintaining a delinquency ratio below 3%, and has a diverse funding base for financial stability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Jul 05
Investors Holding Back On FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.2x FinVolution Group ( NYSE:FINV ) may be sending very bullish signals...Seeking Alpha • Jun 18
FinVolution: Appealing Shareholder Yield Is Overshadowed By Downside Risks
Summary FinVolution Group is estimated to offer a potential shareholder yield in the teens for fiscal 2024, considering analyst consensus dividend projections and the company's annualized share repurchases. However, I am concerned that FinVolution Group's actual FY 2024 bottom-line performance could be weaker-than-expected due to asset quality issues and elevated marketing investments. I have decided to stick with a Hold rating for FinVolution after assessing its shareholder capital return and its earnings risk factors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 01
FinVolution Q4 2023: Striking A Balance Between Growth And Shareholder Returns
Summary Established in China in 2007, FinVolution Group has successfully transitioned from a P2P lending platform to a loan facilitation model, serving as an intermediary between borrowers and collaborated financial institutions. Despite the regulatory pressures and challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, FinVolution has demonstrated remarkable resilience in terms of its robust growth in transaction volume, outstanding loan balance across Pan-Asia. FinVolution has successfully replicated know-how in Indonesia and the Philippines. By the conclusion of 2023, approximately 17% of the total revenue will be derived from these international operations. The commitment of FINV to enhancing shareholder value is noteworthy, as evidenced by its consistent capital return program encompassing dividends and share repurchases. Their strategic approach focuses on achieving balanced growth across markets while concurrently maximizing shareholder returns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Mar 22
FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To CN¥0.217
FinVolution Group ( NYSE:FINV ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 7th of May to...Analyseartikel • Mar 21
Earnings Update: FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV) Just Reported Its Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Shareholders might have noticed that FinVolution Group ( NYSE:FINV ) filed its yearly result this time last week. The...Seeking Alpha • Feb 08
FinVolution Remains A Long-Term Bullish Play
Summary FinVolution Group's earnings fell in fiscal 2022, but the company is expected to return to growth in fiscal 2023. The company's earnings yield and return on capital point to a strong investment case. The technicals of FINV stock have not been responding, but improvements in operations and international markets could lead to significant gains. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 23
FinVolution: Mixed Read-Throughs From Recent Results
Summary FINV's actual 9M 2023 top line and bottom line were less than 75% of their respective full-year consensus forecasts, as the Chinese economy remained weak. But Indonesia was a bright spot for FinVolution in the most recent quarter, and there is the potential for FINV to grab a larger share of the Indonesian P2P market. I leave my Hold rating for FINV unchanged, as I have a mixed view of the insights drawn from the company's latest set of results. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 15
FinVolution: Eyes On Foreign Expansion And Capital Allocation
Summary FinVolution is growing its presence in international markets, which is positive for its top line, but its profit margins are impacted by higher provisions and investments associated with foreign expansion. FINV has been returning a significant amount of excess capital to shareholders in recent years, but the company should place a greater emphasis on capital investment going forward. I have a Hold rating for FinVolution Group, as I have a Neutral view of its capital allocation policies and growth strategy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 10,496 | 2,164 | 813 | 833 | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 9,373 | 1,688 | 734 | 1,205 | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 11,310 | 1,588 | 204 | 4,267 | 4 |
| 6/30/2026 | 13,161 | 1,906 | 438 | 531 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 13,335 | 2,211 | 1,478 | 1,571 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 13,606 | 2,542 | 1,774 | 1,868 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 14,022 | 2,798 | 1,795 | 1,822 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 13,811 | 2,798 | 2,205 | 2,233 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 13,401 | 2,602 | 3,174 | 3,202 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 13,085 | 2,383 | 2,865 | 2,893 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 12,886 | 2,227 | 1,939 | 2,477 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 12,807 | 2,169 | 856 | 1,394 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 12,715 | 2,173 | 364 | 902 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 12,601 | 2,341 | 823 | 1,361 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 12,520 | 2,368 | 1,606 | 1,659 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 12,294 | 2,401 | 1,753 | 1,806 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 11,884 | 2,428 | 923 | 976 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 11,281 | 2,266 | 184 | 237 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 10,606 | 2,371 | 131 | 186 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 10,160 | 2,408 | -58 | -3 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 9,878 | 2,453 | 247 | 302 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 9,544 | 2,509 | 575 | 630 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 9,103 | 2,347 | 1,128 | 1,160 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 8,372 | 2,313 | 1,782 | 1,814 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 7,798 | 2,144 | 3,051 | 3,083 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 7,791 | 1,973 | 2,175 | 2,207 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 7,179 | 1,890 | -1,415 | -1,366 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 6,978 | 1,885 | -690 | -642 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 6,809 | 2,089 | N/A | -1,274 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 6,198 | 2,373 | N/A | -216 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 6,193 | 2,736 | N/A | 3,127 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,604 | 2,787 | N/A | 2,738 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,144 | 2,733 | N/A | 2,272 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,604 | 2,469 | N/A | 1,885 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,100 | 391 | N/A | 1,339 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,204 | -537 | N/A | 1,760 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,229 | -1,266 | N/A | 3,166 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,943 | -1,990 | N/A | 3,409 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,533 | -669 | N/A | 3,666 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,650 | -329 | N/A | 2,295 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,762 | -148 | N/A | 813 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,269 | -61 | N/A | 1,088 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 800 | -143 | N/A | 271 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 202 | -181 | N/A | -192 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: FINVDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (7% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.7%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: FINVDie Erträge des Unternehmens (7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (17.4% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: FINVDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: FINVDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-12% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: FINVDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten drei Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-12% pro Jahr).
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: FINVDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (9.9%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/09/21 11:15 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/06/30 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das , das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
FinVolution Group wird von 13 Analysten beobachtet. 5 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Qingqing Mao | China International Capital Corporation Limited |
| Dongping Zhou | China International Capital Corporation Limited |
| You Fan | China International Capital Corporation Limited |