Vail Resorts Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 4/6
Vail Resorts wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 24.7% bzw. 4.3% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 25.3% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 86.6% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
24.7%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
25.26%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Hospitality Gewinnwachstum | 18.4% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 4.3% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 86.65% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 18 Jun 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrativ-Update • Jun 18
MTN: Weather Volatility And Reinvestment Plans Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vail Resorts from $135 to $119, citing updated assumptions that combine slightly higher projected revenue growth with a lower estimated profit margin, along with a higher future P/E multiple and discount rate. What’s in the News for Vail Resorts Vail Resorts reported weak Q3 2026 results, with resort revenue down 7%, EBITDA down 14%, and skier visits down 17%, as record low snowfall in the Rockies and adverse weather across the Western U.S. weighed on performance.Seeking Alpha • Jun 12
Vail Resorts: Still Need More Proof That Demand Is Not Impaired
Summary I maintain a hold rating on Vail Resorts as proof of demand recovery remains insufficient. MTN's Q3 results were weak, with resort revenue down 7% and early pass units for next season down 10%. Weather was the primary headwind, but the pass model, cost actions, and potential normalization still offer a credible recovery path. Valuation is undemanding at 9.5x forward EBITDA, but I need clearer evidence of pass sales inflection before upgrading. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrativ-Update • Jun 04
MTN: Rental Expansion And Oasis Support Will Shape Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their Vail Resorts price target slightly to about $155.17 from $155.42, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, modest revenue growth and profit margin, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Oasis Management Co. Ltd.Narrativ-Update • May 15
MTN: Rental Expansion And Bundling Risks Will Shape Long Term Upside
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts at approximately $155.42. They have fine tuned assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a more updated view of the stock's risk and earnings profile.Narrativ-Update • Apr 29
MTN: Rental Expansion And Gear Rollout Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts now see fair value for Vail Resorts at about $155 per share, down from roughly $164, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News A federal antitrust class action was filed against Vail Resorts and Alterra Mountain Company, alleging that ski pass bundling practices and single-day lift-ticket pricing have inflated costs and restricted competition for skiers and snowboarders across North America (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).Narrativ-Update • Apr 15
MTN: Rental Expansion And Gear Program Rollout Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vail Resorts to $163.92 from $174.18, reflecting updated views on the balance between slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a small shift in the future P/E multiple. What's in the News A federal antitrust class action has been filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Colorado, alleging that Vail Resorts and Alterra Mountain Company used ski pass bundling and high single-day lift-ticket prices to restrain competition and inflate costs for skiers and snowboarders across North America (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).
Narrativ-Update • Apr 01
MTN: Legal Overhang And Premium Experiences Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Vail Resorts to $210 from about $223, citing updated fair value estimates that reflect revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News A federal antitrust class action has been filed against Vail Resorts and Alterra Mountain Company, alleging inflated prices and suppressed competition tied to Epic Pass and Ikon Pass products, as well as high single-day lift-ticket pricing (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).Narrativ-Update • Mar 18
MTN: Rental Rollout And Reinvestment Plans Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Vail Resorts from $146.00 to $135.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, expected revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Vail Resorts plans a multi year rollout that brings key features from its My Epic Gear program into traditional rental outlets, including the ability to choose specific gear models online or in app and access premium technologies such as BOA ski boots and Step On snowboard boots and bindings (Client Announcements).Narrativ-Update • Mar 04
MTN: Share Buybacks And Expanded Mountain Dining Experiences Will Support Future Upside
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts steady at about $174.18 while slightly adjusting the discount rate and future P/E inputs. This signals a refined rather than directional shift in their price target framework.Narrativ-Update • Feb 17
MTN: Share Buybacks And New Guest Experiences Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have made a small trim to their price target for Vail Resorts to $174.18 from $174.64. This reflects slightly adjusted views on fair value, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions.Narrativ-Update • Feb 03
MTN: Share Repurchases And New Experiences Will Support Future Value Creation
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts by about $0.64 to $174.64. This adjustment reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a minor change to expected revenue growth, and a small increase in projected profit margins and future P/E levels.Narrativ-Update • Jan 20
MTN: Buybacks And Premium On Mountain Experiences Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Vail Resorts slightly to about US$223 from roughly US$224, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the overall outlook broadly consistent. What's in the News Vail Resorts is rolling out new food and beverage concepts across its Colorado resorts this winter, including Breckenridge, Vail Mountain, Beaver Creek, Keystone and Crested Butte, with a focus on higher end offerings and social media friendly experiences (Product-Related Announcement).Narrativ-Update • Jan 06
MTN: Expanded Buybacks And New On Mountain Experiences Will Support Value Creation
Analysts have nudged their price target on Vail Resorts higher to about US$175 from roughly US$174, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Vail Resorts is rolling out new food and beverage concepts across its Colorado resorts this winter, including Breckenridge, Vail Mountain, Beaver Creek, Keystone and Crested Butte, with a focus on themed dining experiences and social media friendly offerings (Product-Related Announcements).Narrativ-Update • Dec 15
MTN Will Benefit From Robust Buybacks And Confident Earnings Outlook
Narrative Update on Vail Resorts Analysts have reduced their price target for Vail Resorts by approximately $11 to around $224. This reflects slightly lower expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples, while only modestly adjusting the discount rate.Analyseartikel • Dec 14
Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Will Pay A Dividend Of $2.22
The board of Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $2.22 per share on the 12th...Analyseartikel • Dec 13
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Shareholders of Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to...Narrativ-Update • Dec 01
MTN: Expanded Share Repurchase Will Support Long-Term Value Creation
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Vail Resorts, maintaining the fair value estimate at $173.73 per share after reviewing minor shifts in the discount rate and projected valuation metrics. What's in the News Vail Resorts remains focused on disciplined capital allocation, planning to spend $198 million to $203 million in core capital and an additional $51 million in European and real estate-related investments in 2025.Narrativ-Update • Nov 17
MTN: Share Buyback Momentum Will Drive Future Gains
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Vail Resorts to $173.73. This reflects nuanced changes in discount rate, expected revenue growth, and profit margin projections.Narrativ-Update • Oct 31
MTN: Share Repurchases And Focus On Experiences Will Drive Future Upside
Vail Resorts Price Target Raised Slightly as Analysts Reaffirm Growth Outlook Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Vail Resorts from $173.09 to $173.73 per share, citing stable revenue growth and profit margin projections as underlying support for the new valuation. What's in the News Vail Resorts provided earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2026, with expected net income between $201 million and $276 million.Narrativ-Update • Oct 17
Epic Day Pass Programs And Guest Experience Investments Will Attract More Visitors
Narrative Update on Vail Resorts: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts at $173.09. They cite consistent profit margins and revenue growth despite a slight uptick in the discount rate and future price-to-earnings expectations.Narrativ-Update • Oct 03
Epic Day Pass Programs And Guest Experience Investments Will Attract More Visitors
Vail Resorts’ analyst price target has been revised downward from $181.09 to $173.09, as analysts cite incremental changes to revenue growth outlook and updated discount rates as the primary reasons for the adjustment. What's in the News Vail Resorts completed a share repurchase of 1,286,620 shares for $200.01 million, totaling 28.96% of shares repurchased under the buyback program begun in 2006 (Key Developments) The company signaled a continued focus on acquisitions and investments, aiming to spend $198 to $203 million on core capital and an additional $51 million on European and real estate projects in 2025 (Key Developments) Vail Resorts projects net income of $201 to $276 million for fiscal year 2026 (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased, moving from $181.09 to $173.09.Analyseartikel • Oct 02
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Investors in Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.5% to close at US$154 following the...Analyseartikel • Sep 08
Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • Jul 30
Is It Time To Consider Buying Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN)?
While Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price...Analyseartikel • Jun 27
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Shares Could Be 44% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Vail Resorts fair value estimate is US$282 Current share price...Seeking Alpha • Mar 11
Vail Resorts: Q2 Results Better Than Feared
Summary Vail Resorts' stock has dropped 30% over the past year, but Q2 results showed a 4% after-hours increase due to solid earnings. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Vail's focus on annual passes provides stable revenue; Q2 saw a 6% revenue rise and 8% EBITDA growth. Vail cut earnings guidance slightly due to FX headwinds but maintains a healthy balance sheet with $488 million cash and a 5.6% dividend yield. With a 7% free cash flow yield and expected 3-5% growth, Vail shares are attractive for income investors, poised to reach $170-175. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 07
Vail Resorts: Bull Outlooks Premature, Post Strike-Related Headwinds Far From Resolved
Summary The new Vail Resorts, Inc. CEO is untested, raising concerns about leadership effectiveness. Early snow arrival is positive, but social media backlash over service and prices persists. Waiting times have surged to up to three hours, indicating severe operational issues. Ski resorts' global duopoly risks self-destruction if service bottlenecks continue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 10
Vail Resorts: Shares Are Worth Considering On Better Results, Higher Guidance
Summary Vail Resorts, Inc.'s Q1 2025 results exceeded analyst expectations, prompting management to raise full-year guidance, signaling a positive outlook despite mixed financial performance. The Mountain segment saw revenue growth despite declines in lift, ski school, and retail/rental revenues, offset by increased dining and 'other' revenues. The Lodging segment experienced the strongest growth, driven by higher demand for summer lodging, while the Real Estate segment remained volatile and non-core. Despite seasonal losses, Vail Resorts' improved cash flow and raised guidance justify a soft 'buy' rating, with MTN shares appearing attractively valued on cash flow multiples. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 27
Vail Resorts: Bet On This Turnaround Plan And Collect A 5%+ Yield While Waiting
Summary Vail Resorts is undervalued after a 20% YTD drop, despite maintaining dividends and a new plan to grow adjusted EBITDA. The company recently unveiled a two-year transformation plan aiming for $100M in annual savings by FY26, with significant corporate job cuts to boost efficiency. Vail is also enjoying an increase in season pass sales in dollar terms, despite a sharp price increase. The stock is trading at a reasonable ~10x adjusted EBITDA valuation, and sports a generous 5% dividend ($2.22 quarterly) while we wait for a rebound. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Neues Narrativ • Sep 29
Decisive Moves And Seasonal Recoveries Poised To Boost Growth And Margins In Hospitality Sector
Strategic cost-efficiency measures and global expansion efforts aim to significantly reduce operational costs and improve net margins.Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/31/2028 | 3,095 | 256 | 521 | 632 | 7 |
| 7/31/2027 | 2,993 | 228 | 448 | 567 | 11 |
| 7/31/2026 | 2,837 | 157 | 376 | 583 | 11 |
| 4/30/2026 | 2,831 | 157 | 175 | 413 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 2,922 | 232 | 286 | 522 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 2,975 | 267 | 352 | 588 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 2,964 | 280 | 320 | 555 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 2,958 | 286 | 397 | 633 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 2,946 | 258 | 400 | 627 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 2,887 | 233 | 314 | 543 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 2,885 | 231 | 378 | 589 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 2,890 | 277 | 385 | 594 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 2,845 | 240 | 367 | 605 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 2,868 | 230 | 391 | 635 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 2,889 | 266 | 323 | 638 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 2,887 | 288 | 372 | 664 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 2,825 | 336 | 434 | 705 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 2,630 | 350 | 428 | 694 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 2,526 | 348 | 518 | 710 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 2,463 | 316 | 556 | 747 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 2,175 | 218 | 501 | 678 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 1,954 | 142 | 627 | 762 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 1,910 | 128 | 410 | 525 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 1,783 | 115 | 367 | 479 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 1,588 | -7 | 198 | 316 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 1,828 | 52 | 148 | 298 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 1,964 | 99 | 223 | 395 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 2,131 | 163 | 245 | 436 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 2,394 | 303 | N/A | 666 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 2,319 | 302 | N/A | 666 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 2,272 | 301 | N/A | 634 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 2,239 | 307 | N/A | 633 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 2,126 | 271 | N/A | 621 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 2,011 | 300 | N/A | 570 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 2,012 | 380 | N/A | 548 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 2,009 | 406 | N/A | 560 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 1,959 | 331 | N/A | 577 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 1,950 | 245 | N/A | 572 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 1,907 | 211 | N/A | 471 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 1,878 | 202 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 1,731 | 179 | N/A | 447 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 1,605 | 147 | N/A | 409 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 1,601 | 150 | N/A | 437 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 1,583 | 145 | N/A | 365 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 1,515 | 121 | N/A | 339 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 1,446 | 119 | N/A | 354 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 1,400 | 115 | N/A | 304 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: MTNDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (24.7% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: MTNDie Erträge des Unternehmens (24.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt US (18.9% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: MTNEs wird erwartet, dass die Erträge des Unternehmens in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: MTNDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.3% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (13% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: MTNDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.3% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: MTNDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich sehr hoch sein (86.6%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/06/21 07:25 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/06/18 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/04/30 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/07/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details des Analysemodells, das zur Erstellung dieses Berichts verwendet wurde, sind auf unserer GitHub-Seite verfügbar. Außerdem haben wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Vail Resorts, Inc. wird von 26 Analysten beobachtet. 11 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Felicia Kantor Hendrix | Barclays |
| Brandt Montour | Barclays |
| Brennan Matthews | Berenberg |