Toll Brothers, Inc.

NYSE:TOL Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: US$13.7b

Toll Brothers Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6

Toll Brothers wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 7.7% bzw. 6.1% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 11.5% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 15.4% betragen.

Wichtige Informationen

7.7%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

11.53%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Consumer Durables Gewinnwachstum10.6%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen6.1%
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite15.38%
Analystenabdeckung

Good

Zuletzt aktualisiert20 Aug 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Analyseartikel May 23

Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Aug 19

Toll Brothers: Relatively Resilient To Rate Pressures

Summary Toll Brothers remains resilient in a challenging housing market, benefiting from its focus on higher-end buyers and a strong balance sheet. Despite macro headwinds, TOL's Q3 EPS of $2.97 beat estimates, but margins and backlog are under pressure amid weak orders and elevated rates. Management maintains a conservative approach to land inventory, prioritizing financial flexibility and shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends. With shares trading at 10.5x 2027 EPS, I maintain a 'hold' rating, awaiting a pullback to $135 for a more attractive entry. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Neues Narrative Aug 19

Toll Brothers: Q3 Shows Resilient Demand, But Margins Remain Under Pressure

Disclosure: I do not hold shares in Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' latest quarter presents a mixed picture.
Narrative-Update Aug 11

TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience Will Likely Be Constrained By Peer Multiple Compression

Analysts have nudged the Toll Brothers fair value estimate higher, with the implied target moving about $3 to $134.86 as they point to resilient luxury housing demand, margin defense and a more favorable view of future price-to-earnings and revenue growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street views on Toll Brothers show a mixed picture.
Narrative-Update Jul 28

TOL: Resilient Luxury Demand And New Communities Will Shape Future Returns

The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest fair value adjustment to $168.20, supported by slightly lower discount rate assumptions, marginally higher revenue growth and profit margin estimates, and a small upward revision to the assumed future P/E multiple, as analysts highlight the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Toll Brothers points to a mix of optimism and caution.
Narrative-Update Jul 14

TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Likely Struggle Against Ongoing Peer Multiple Pressure

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised higher, reflecting a fair value estimate increase from about $126.90 to $131.73. This revision is supported by updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which are aligned with recent Street research highlighting the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand.
Narrative-Update Jun 30

TOL: Luxury Expansion And Resilient Affluent Demand Will Shape Future Returns

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised in a tight range, with recent moves such as Keefe Bruyette lifting its target to $161 from $158 and Argus raising its target to $170 from $165. Analysts point to resilient luxury demand, margin support from affluent buyer segments, and company specific factors like long land positions and post earnings fundamentals in a challenging housing market.
Analyseartikel Jun 18

Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Earnings And Raised Guidance

Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has been in focus after a strong earnings report, raised guidance, and a series of upbeat analyst updates that coincided with a shift away from high profile technology stocks. See our latest analysis for Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' share price has pulled back by 2.36% over the last day to $149.66, but that comes after a strong run, with a 30 day share price return of 17.87% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.02%. This suggests momentum has recently been...
Narrative-Update Jun 16

TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Face Pressure From Sector Multiple Compression

Toll Brothers' analyst price target has shifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving about $3 lower to roughly $126.90 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, higher expected revenue growth and margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple, supported by recent research highlighting resilient luxury demand, margin defense, and mixed but generally constructive updates to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Toll Brothers centers on how the luxury focus, order trends, and peer comparisons feed into valuation and execution risks.
Narrative-Update Jun 02

TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.
Analyseartikel May 23

Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...
Narrative-Update May 16

TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.
Narrative-Update Apr 29

TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Shape Balanced Outlook

The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest trim of fair value to about $130, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still recognizing differentiated positioning in higher end housing and a range of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers over the past few months has centered on how much earnings power to ascribe to the higher end housing segment and what valuation multiple is appropriate after a strong run in homebuilder shares.
Narrative-Update Apr 15

TOL: Luxury Buyer Strength And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside

The analyst fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased to $198 from $181. Analysts are balancing slightly softer growth and margin assumptions with a higher future P/E and a series of recent target increases tied to Q1 results, relative valuation, and expectations for the luxury buyer.

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

NYSE:TOL - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (USD Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
10/31/202811,9231,3871,460N/A6
10/31/202711,0141,2821,574N/A14
10/31/202610,8201,2121,635N/A14
7/31/202610,7591,198N/AN/AN/A
4/30/202611,0451,2881,2151,312N/A
1/31/202611,2531,3801,4531,540N/A
10/31/202510,9671,3461,0261,112N/A
7/31/202510,8771,375918995N/A
4/30/202510,6601,380723800N/A
1/31/202510,7581,509819896N/A
10/31/202410,8471,5719371,010N/A
7/31/202410,5331,541845919N/A
4/30/202410,4931,5821,2101,273N/A
1/31/202410,1631,4201,2501,317N/A
10/31/20239,9951,3721,1931,266N/A
7/31/202310,6871,5671,8391,908N/A
4/30/202310,4941,4261,2651,337N/A
1/31/202310,2651,326837910N/A
10/31/202210,2761,287915987N/A
7/31/20229,6051,020530608N/A
4/30/20229,3659829941,071N/A
1/31/20229,018889896967N/A
10/31/20218,7908341,2361,303N/A
7/31/20218,2956591,2351,315N/A
4/30/20217,6915381,1381,227N/A
1/31/20217,3104861,3331,430N/A
10/31/20207,0784478991,008N/A
7/31/20206,911450456557N/A
4/30/20207,025481N/A332N/A
1/31/20207,192535N/A256N/A
10/31/20197,224590N/A438N/A
7/31/20197,300699N/A685N/A
4/30/20197,448746N/A829N/A
1/31/20197,331728N/A733N/A
10/31/20187,143748N/A588N/A
7/31/20186,716629N/A483N/A
4/30/20186,305584N/A396N/A
1/31/20186,070597N/A611N/A
10/31/20175,815535N/A862N/A
7/31/20175,643458N/A882N/A
4/30/20175,410415N/A408N/A
1/31/20175,162379N/A196N/A
10/31/20165,170382N/A151N/A
7/31/20164,751415N/A-154N/A
4/30/20164,509376N/A82N/A
1/31/20164,246355N/A70N/A
10/31/20154,171363N/A60N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: TOLDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (7.7% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.7%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: TOLDie Erträge des Unternehmens (7.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (16.9% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumserträge: TOLDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: TOLDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (6.1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (12.9% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: TOLDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (6.1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.


Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie


Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: TOLDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (15.4%).


Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/08/20 05:52
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/08/20 00:00
Gewinne2026/07/31
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/10/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

Toll Brothers, Inc. wird von 34 Analysten beobachtet. 14 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Matthew BouleyBarclays
Stephen KimBarclays