Greentown Management Holdings Valuation
Is 9979 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Unter dem Marktwert
Deutlich unter dem Marktwert
Price-To-Earnings gegen Gleichaltrige
Price-To-Earnings gegen Industrie
PM vs. Fair Ratio
Analysten-Prognose
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 9979 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Unter dem Marktwert: 9979 (HK$5.17) wird unter unserer Schätzung des Fair Value (HK$21.28) gehandelt.
Deutlich unter dem Marktwert: 9979 wird um mehr als 20 % unter dem Marktwert gehandelt.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9979?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 9979's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | CN¥12.30b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 9.1x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 9979's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 5.2x | ||
586 China Conch Venture Holdings | 3.7x | 10.5% | HK$10.0b |
1799 Xinte Energy | 3x | 6.4% | HK$14.1b |
2386 SINOPEC Engineering (Group) | 8x | 5.3% | HK$20.3b |
552 China Communications Services | 6.2x | 6.7% | HK$24.1b |
9979 Greentown Management Holdings | 12.6x | 21.3% | HK$13.3b |
Price-To-Earnings gegen Gleichaltrige: 9979 ist auf der Grundlage des Price-To-Earnings Verhältnisses (11.1x) im Vergleich zum Durchschnitt der Vergleichsgruppe (4.6x) teuer.
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 9979's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Construction Industry?
Price-To-Earnings gegen Industrie: 9979 ist teuer, wenn man sein Price-To-Earnings Verhältnis (11.1x) mit dem Hong Kong Construction Branchendurchschnitt (7.4x) vergleicht.
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 9979's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 12.6x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 8.9x |
PM vs. Fair Ratio: 9979 ist teuer auf der Grundlage des Verhältnisses Price-To-Earnings (11.1x) im Vergleich zum geschätzten fairen Verhältnis Price-To-Earnings (7.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | HK$6.62 | HK$8.67 +31.0% | 9.6% | HK$10.03 | HK$7.39 | n/a | 10 |
| Mar ’25 | HK$4.94 | HK$8.93 +80.8% | 11.1% | HK$10.16 | HK$7.39 | n/a | 8 |
| Feb ’25 | HK$4.79 | HK$9.06 +89.2% | 10.2% | HK$10.21 | HK$7.43 | n/a | 10 |
| Jan ’25 | HK$5.37 | HK$9.21 +71.4% | 8.3% | HK$10.23 | HK$7.74 | n/a | 10 |
| Dec ’24 | HK$5.58 | HK$9.24 +65.7% | 8.1% | HK$10.24 | HK$7.88 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’24 | HK$5.71 | HK$9.01 +57.9% | 8.2% | HK$9.98 | HK$7.68 | n/a | 10 |
| Oct ’24 | HK$5.67 | HK$9.22 +62.7% | 7.8% | HK$10.02 | HK$7.74 | n/a | 9 |
| Sep ’24 | HK$6.11 | HK$9.22 +51.0% | 7.8% | HK$10.02 | HK$7.74 | n/a | 9 |
| Aug ’24 | HK$6.47 | HK$9.42 +45.6% | 6.1% | HK$10.10 | HK$8.37 | n/a | 7 |
| Jul ’24 | HK$6.22 | HK$9.39 +51.0% | 5.8% | HK$10.00 | HK$8.53 | n/a | 7 |
| Jun ’24 | HK$6.33 | HK$9.39 +48.4% | 5.8% | HK$10.00 | HK$8.53 | n/a | 7 |
| May ’24 | HK$7.48 | HK$9.03 +20.7% | 7.0% | HK$10.01 | HK$7.89 | n/a | 7 |
| Apr ’24 | HK$7.36 | HK$8.90 +21.0% | 6.8% | HK$10.00 | HK$7.89 | HK$6.44 | 7 |
| Mar ’24 | HK$6.64 | HK$8.42 +26.8% | 4.3% | HK$8.91 | HK$7.86 | HK$4.94 | 7 |
| Feb ’24 | HK$6.68 | HK$8.24 +23.3% | 5.6% | HK$8.90 | HK$7.50 | HK$4.79 | 7 |
| Jan ’24 | HK$6.00 | HK$7.90 +31.7% | 6.0% | HK$8.60 | HK$7.25 | HK$5.37 | 6 |
| Dec ’23 | HK$6.53 | HK$7.57 +16.0% | 5.3% | HK$8.29 | HK$7.00 | HK$5.58 | 7 |
| Nov ’23 | HK$4.72 | HK$7.34 +55.5% | 5.3% | HK$7.75 | HK$6.54 | HK$5.71 | 7 |
| Oct ’23 | HK$6.70 | HK$7.40 +10.4% | 5.3% | HK$7.81 | HK$6.59 | HK$5.67 | 7 |
| Sep ’23 | HK$6.90 | HK$7.83 +13.5% | 5.0% | HK$8.25 | HK$6.96 | HK$6.11 | 8 |
| Aug ’23 | HK$6.67 | HK$7.87 +18.0% | 4.0% | HK$8.33 | HK$7.47 | HK$6.47 | 8 |
| Jul ’23 | HK$6.06 | HK$7.84 +29.3% | 4.1% | HK$8.12 | HK$7.15 | HK$6.22 | 7 |
| Jun ’23 | HK$5.43 | HK$7.80 +43.6% | 4.1% | HK$8.09 | HK$7.15 | HK$6.33 | 6 |
| May ’23 | HK$5.97 | HK$7.83 +31.1% | 3.8% | HK$8.09 | HK$7.25 | HK$7.48 | 6 |
| Apr ’23 | HK$6.68 | HK$8.06 +20.6% | 3.8% | HK$8.36 | HK$7.51 | HK$7.36 | 5 |
Analysten-Prognose: Das Kursziel liegt mehr als 20% über dem aktuellen Aktienkurs, und die Analysten liegen in einem statistisch sicheren Bereich der Übereinstimmung.