Serco Group Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Serco Group wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 8.1% bzw. 3.6% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 8.4% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 17.5% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
8.1%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
8.42%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Commercial Services Gewinnwachstum | 21.6% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 3.6% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 17.51% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 14 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrativ-Update • May 19
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Future Rerating
Analysts have nudged their average price outlook for Serco Group higher, into a £3.50 to £3.69 range, reflecting recent target increases and refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with price targets now clustering in the mid £3 range and views ranging from neutral to positive.Narrativ-Update • May 03
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Rerating
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Serco Group from £2.98 to £3.85. Recent target price increases from several banks, along with slightly revised assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, have all contributed to the updated view.
Narrativ-Update • Apr 18
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Likely Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price targets for Serco Group to a range that now spans about £350 to £369 per share, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, modestly higher revenue growth and slightly improved profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to higher price targets for Serco Group clustered between about £3.50 and £3.69 per share, with several firms reiterating positive stances alongside their revised numbers.Narrativ-Update • Apr 04
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Still Limit Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Serco Group by £0.45, with recent Street research citing refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins as key drivers behind the updated valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a cluster of upward price target revisions on Serco Group, with several firms recalibrating their models around updated assumptions for growth, margins and discount rates.Narrativ-Update • Mar 20
SRP: Higher Buybacks And Dividend Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have lifted Serco Group's price targets, with recent moves such as Citi's increase to £3.69 from £3.24 and Berenberg's to £3.50 from £3.30, while fine tuning assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the business. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group has centred on reassessing fair value, with several firms updating their price targets in light of revised assumptions on growth, profitability and risk.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Defence Visibility And CFO Transition
Serco Group's implied fair value has increased from £2.73 to £2.89 per share. This change reflects analysts' updated price targets and assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research updates from several banks.Narrativ-Update • Feb 20
SRP: Raised Guidance And Contract Wins Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have nudged up their implied fair value for Serco Group to £1.64 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with a series of recent price target increases to as high as £2.45 from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a gap between Serco Group’s trading price, the raised price targets and the updated implied fair value of £1.64 per share.Narrativ-Update • Feb 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Execution And New CFO Transition
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly higher to £2.73 per share, citing recent price target increases to £2.45 and £2.75 that reflect updated views on discount rates, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive stance on Serco Group, with fair value and price targets clustered in the mid £2 range and modestly above.Narrativ-Update • Jan 23
SRP: Execution And Margin Risks Will Limit Upside Despite Higher Guidance
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly lower to £1.64 from £1.66, as recent price target increases to £2.45 by several firms are balanced against updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a more mixed backdrop than headline price targets alone might suggest.Narrativ-Update • Jan 08
SRP: Discount Rate Assumptions Will Expose Limited Upside Risk Ahead
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Serco Group to £1.66 from £1.47, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside a higher £2.45 Street price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Serco Group points to a more cautious tone, even where headline price targets sit above the current fair value estimate.Narrativ-Update • Dec 25
SRP: Defense Contracts And New CFO Will Support Steady Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Serco Group from £2.54 to £2.71, citing a slightly lower discount rate, improved profit margin expectations, and a marginally higher future P E multiple that together more than offset a small reduction in projected revenue growth. What's in the News Serco appointed Mark Reid, currently Group CFO at Belgian telecoms group Proximus, as Chief Financial Officer effective 6 March 2026.Narrativ-Update • Dec 11
SRP: Defense Contracts Will Support Steady Outlook With Balanced Long Term Prospects
Analysts have nudged up their price target on Serco Group by approximately 1 percent in sterling terms, citing a slightly lower implied discount rate, marginally stronger long term revenue growth assumptions, and a modestly higher future P E multiple that more than offset a broadly unchanged profit margin outlook. What's in the News Serco secured a new contract worth around £500 million to continue managing HMP Dovegate in Staffordshire for 12 years, with options for three additional one-year extensions, following a competitive procurement process (Key Developments).Narrativ-Update • Nov 27
SRP: US Air Force Contract Will Support Measured Gains Amid Defense Sector Stability
Serco Group's analyst price target remains steady at £2.52. Analysts' outlook remains unchanged, as incremental shifts in underlying profit and revenue forecasts are viewed as broadly neutral to the company's value proposition.Narrativ-Update • Nov 06
SRP: Defense Contract Win Will Drive Measured Progress Amid Ongoing Sector Uncertainty
Narrative Update on Serco Group Analysts have raised their price target for Serco Group by £0.05 to £2.15 per share, citing a modest improvement in fair value estimates and a stable outlook on profitability. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have slightly increased their price targets, which suggests renewed confidence in Serco Group's valuation prospects.Narrativ-Update • Sep 13
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Analysts have raised Serco Group’s price target to £2.45, reflecting improved contract wins, stronger order book momentum, and enhanced margin guidance, despite ongoing caution around cyclical risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are revising price targets upwards, citing improved contract wins and stronger order book momentum.Narrativ-Update • Aug 27
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Serco Group's consensus price target has been raised to £2.40, reflecting upgrades driven by stronger recent results, robust contract momentum, margin expansion, and improved confidence in revenue growth and international diversification. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have increased price targets due to stronger-than-expected performance in recent results.
Neues Narrativ • Mar 10
International Expansion And Defense Focus Will Boost Future Prospects
Strategic growth initiatives in the defense sector and North America are expected to drive revenue and profit, boosted by key acquisitions.Analyseartikel • Jun 10
There's No Escaping Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) Muted Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analyseartikel • May 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Serco Group plc (LON:SRP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Serco Group fair value estimate is UK£2.05 Serco Group's...Analyseartikel • Feb 23
With EPS Growth And More, Serco Group (LON:SRP) Makes An Interesting Case
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analyseartikel • Dec 13
Is Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Worth UK£1.6 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Serco Group's estimated fair value is UK£1.25 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analyseartikel • Nov 10
Here's Why Serco Group (LON:SRP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analyseartikel • Sep 04
Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...Analyseartikel • Aug 20
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0114
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...Analyseartikel • Aug 06
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 21% on the 6th of...Analyseartikel • Mar 21
These 4 Measures Indicate That Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analyseartikel • Mar 03
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0192
Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 9th of June to...Analyseartikel • Jan 30
Is There An Opportunity With Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) 24% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Serco Group's estimated fair value is UK£2.0 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,454 | 191 | 196 | 366 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,242 | 178 | 171 | 358 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,038 | 168 | 169 | 344 | 9 |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,877 | 146 | 414 | 447 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,862 | 97 | 402 | 436 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,847 | 49 | 391 | 425 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,817 | 46 | 388 | 422 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,787 | 44 | 385 | 419 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,774 | 92 | 363 | 396 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,761 | 139 | 341 | 373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,817 | 171 | 356 | 383 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,874 | 202 | 370 | 393 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,851 | 207 | 351 | 373 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,828 | 212 | 333 | 352 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,681 | 184 | 320 | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,534 | 155 | 308 | 327 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 4,485 | 158 | 299 | 321 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 4,436 | 160 | 290 | 315 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 4,430 | 232 | 304 | 333 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,425 | 304 | 318 | 350 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,327 | 301 | 305 | 344 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,230 | 299 | 293 | 337 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,057 | 216 | 256 | 303 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,885 | 134 | 218 | 269 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,740 | 128 | 209 | 251 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,595 | 123 | 201 | 234 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,422 | 86 | 140 | 168 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,248 | 50 | 79 | 103 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,097 | 51 | N/A | 83 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,946 | 51 | N/A | 63 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,891 | 59 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,837 | 67 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,823 | 46 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,810 | 26 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,880 | 9 | N/A | -23 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,951 | -8 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,988 | -33 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,025 | -57 | N/A | -49 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,018 | -20 | N/A | -56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,011 | 17 | N/A | -62 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,034 | 5 | N/A | -24 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,058 | -7 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,117 | -47 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,177 | -86 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,182 | -1,024 | N/A | -78 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: SRPDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (8.1% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.4%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: SRPDie Erträge des Unternehmens (8.1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt UK (11.5% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: SRPDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: SRPDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (3.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt UK (4.5% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: SRPDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (3.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: SRPDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (17.5%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/22 15:45 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2025/12/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Serco Group plc wird von 26 Analysten beobachtet. 10 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| James Rosenthal | Barclays |
| Paul Daniel Sullivan | Barclays |
| Alex Smith | Berenberg |