Recent Insider Transactions • Oct 23
Independent Director recently sold kr1.8m worth of stock On the 18th of October, Claes Akesson sold around 8k shares on-market at roughly kr230 per share. This transaction amounted to 100% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of kr3.3m more than they bought in the last 12 months. Ankündigung • Oct 23
Concentric AB (publ)(OM:COIC) dropped from OMX Nordic All-Share Index Concentric AB has been droppred from the OMX Nordic All-Share Index . Ankündigung • Oct 01
Concentric AB Announces Resignation of Roger Ingemey as Senior Vice President of the Hydraulics Division Concentric AB announced that Dr. Roger Ingemey will, effective immediately, be leaving his position as Senior Vice President of the Hydraulics division. His responsibilities will be assumed on an interim basis by existing members of the Senior Leadership team. Ankündigung • Sep 19
Concentric AB (publ) (OM:COIC) agreed to acquire G.O. Engineering Gesellschaft Zur Entwicklung Von Hard- Und Software Mbh for an enterprise value at approximately SEK 270 million. Concentric AB (publ) (OM:COIC) agreed to acquire G.O. Engineering Gesellschaft Zur Entwicklung Von Hard- Und Software Mbh for an enterprise value at approximately SEK 270 million on September 18, 2024. This is subject to any closing conditions being met. Concentric will finance the Acquisition using cash reserves and existing debt facilities. Helmut Gerstner and Ralf Wörner, the current owners of GO Engineering, will remain involved in the business to ensure a smooth transition, with Gerstner providing support for a three-month period, while Wörner will contribute to the company's operations on an ongoing basis. With the acquisition, Concentric AB will welcome more than 120 GO Engineering employees to the Concentric Group. For the period ending June 30, 2024, G.O. Engineering Gesellschaft Zur Entwicklung Von Hard- Und Software Mbh reported total revenue of SEK 332 million and EBITDA of SEK 27 million. The expected completion of the transaction is October 1, 2024. New Risk • Aug 29
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of British stocks, typically moving 18% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (18% average weekly change). Minor Risk Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (7.2% net profit margin). Ankündigung • Aug 29
A.P. Møller Holding A/S proposed to acquire Concentric AB (publ) (OM:COIC) from Forsta AP-fonden and Cliens Kapitalförvaltning AB and others for SEK 8.6 billion. A.P. Møller Holding A/S proposed to acquire Concentric AB (publ) (OM:COIC) from Forsta AP-fonden and Cliens Kapitalförvaltning AB and others for SEK 8.6 billion on August 29, 2024. A cash consideration of SEK 8.59 billion valued at SEK 230 per share will be paid by A.P. Møller Holding A/S. As part of consideration, SEK 8.59 billion is paid towards common equity of Concentric AB (publ). The consideration payable in respect of the Offer is financed in full by funds available to the Offeror by way of an equity commitment letter issued by APMH Invest A/S. The Company's shareholders Första AP-fonden and Cliens Kapitalförvaltning AB, controlling 16.7 per cent of the outstanding shares and votes in Concentric, have entered into undertakings to accept the offer. Completion of the Offer is conditional upon, among other things, the Offer being accepted to such extent that A.P. Møller Holding becomes the owner of more than 90% of the shares in Concentric AB, as well as the receipt of all regulatory, governmental or similar clearances, approvals and decisions and other actions that are necessary for the Offer and Circle. If the Offeror, whether in connection with the Offer or otherwise, acquires shares representing more than 90% of the total number of outstanding shares in Concentric, the Offeror intends to commence compulsory redemption proceedings under the Swedish Companies Act. The deal has been unanimously approved by the Concentric AB board.
The acceptance period of the Offer is expected to commence on or around September 23, 2024, and expire on or around November 1, 2024, subject to any extensions. Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB acted as financial advisor, Advokatfirman Lindahl KB acted as legal advisor, Ernst & Young Corporate Finance AB acted as fairness opinion provider to Concentric AB. Citigroup Global Markets Europe AG, Danske Bank A/S, Danmark,Sverige Filial acted as financial advisors to A.P. Møller Holding A/S. White & Case LLP acted as legal advisor to A.P. Møller Holding A/S. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 07
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18% After last week's 18% share price decline to kr149, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Total loss to shareholders of 19% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Aug 02
Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: kr0.24 (vs kr3.16 in 2Q 2023) Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: kr0.24 (down from kr3.16 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: kr955.0m (down 13% from 2Q 2023). Net income: kr9.00m (down 93% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 0.9% (down from 11% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 5% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Reported Earnings • May 09
First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: kr2.69 (vs kr3.19 in 1Q 2023) First quarter 2024 results: EPS: kr2.69 (down from kr3.19 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: kr1.00b (down 11% from 1Q 2023). Net income: kr100.0m (down 17% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 10.0% (in line with 1Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 1.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.6% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 15% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Ankündigung • May 09
Concentric AB (publ) Provides Sales Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2024 Concentric AB (publ) provided sales guidance for the second quarter of 2024. The company expects net sales in the second quarter of 2024 to be broadly similar to the net sales achieved in the first quarter of 2024. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 12
Upcoming dividend of kr4.25 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 19 April 2024. Payment date: 25 April 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 39% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.2%. Lower than top quartile of British dividend payers (6.0%). In line with average of industry peers (2.1%). Reported Earnings • Mar 28
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: kr11.01 (vs kr13.20 in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: kr11.01 (down from kr13.20 in FY 2022). Revenue: kr4.21b (up 3.7% from FY 2022). Net income: kr417.0m (down 17% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 9.9% (down from 12% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 4.6% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 23% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Ankündigung • Feb 15
Concentric AB (Publ) Announces Retirement of Susanna Schneeberger as Board Member Concentric AB (publ) announced that the current board member Susanna Schneeberger has informed the nomination committee that she declines re-election. Declared Dividend • Feb 11
Dividend increased to kr4.25 Dividend of kr4.25 is 6.3% higher than last year. Ex-date: 19th April 2024 Payment date: 25th April 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.6%, which is about the same as the industry average. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (39% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (30% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 13% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 28% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Reported Earnings • Feb 08
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: kr11.01 (vs kr13.20 in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: kr11.01 (down from kr13.20 in FY 2022). Revenue: kr4.21b (up 3.7% from FY 2022). Net income: kr417.0m (down 17% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 9.9% (down from 12% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 4.2% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 23% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 5% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Ankündigung • Jan 10
Concentric AB Appoints Dr. Roger Ingemey as Senior Vice President Hydraulics Division, Effective on February 1, 2024 Concentric AB has appointed Dr. Roger Ingemey as Senior Vice President Hydraulics Division. The appointment of Roger from 1 February 2024 will be pivotal in executing the Group strategic plan, to deliver profitable growth in the hydraulics division aligned to electrification strategy, and driving productivity improvements through the Concentric Business Excellence program. Roger holds a PhD in Physical Chemistry from the University of Duisburg-Essen. Reported Earnings • Nov 09
Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: kr2.35 (vs kr3.32 in 3Q 2022) Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: kr2.35 (down from kr3.32 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: kr1.04b (down 3.1% from 3Q 2022). Net income: kr89.0m (down 29% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 8.6% (down from 12% in 3Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 4.8% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Ankündigung • Oct 11
Concentric AB (Publ) Announces Appointment of Nomination Committee The AGM 2019 has resolved that Concentric's Nomination Committee shall have five members which consist of the Chairman of the Board and one representative of each of the four shareholders. The members of the Nomination Committee shall, in accordance with the resolution of the AGM 2019, be appointed based on the ownership structure as of 31st of August 2023. The members are: Monica Åsmyr, Swedbank Robur Fonder, Chairman of the Nomination Committee Maria Rengefors, Nordea Fonder, Anette Dahlberg, Första AP-fonden, Carl Sundblad, Cliens Fonder, the Nomination Committee also includes the Chairman of the Board, Anders Nielsen. Buying Opportunity • Jun 09
Now 21% undervalued The stock has been flat over the last 90 days. The fair value is estimated to be kr271, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 38% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 5.5% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 14% in the next 2 years. Buying Opportunity • Jun 09
Now 21% undervalued The stock has been flat over the last 90 days. The fair value is estimated to be kr271, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 38% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 5.5% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 14% in the next 2 years. Buying Opportunity • May 24
Now 20% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 1.4%. The fair value is estimated to be kr277, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 38% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 5.5% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 14% in the next 2 years. Ankündigung • May 04
Concentric AB (Publ) Provides Sales Guidance for the Year 2023 Concentric AB (publ) provided sales guidance for the year 2023. The company currently estimate sales in the second quarter of 2023 to be similar to the sales performance achieved during the first quarter of 2023. Reported Earnings • May 03
First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: kr3.19 (vs kr3.43 in 1Q 2022) First quarter 2023 results: EPS: kr3.19 (down from kr3.43 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: kr1.13b (up 21% from 1Q 2022). Net income: kr121.0m (down 6.9% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 11% (down from 14% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.4% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 32% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 25% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 12
Upcoming dividend of kr4.00 per share at 1.9% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 19 April 2023. Payment date: 25 April 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 30% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.9%. Lower than top quartile of British dividend payers (5.9%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.6%). Reported Earnings • Mar 27
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: kr13.20 (vs kr8.92 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: kr13.20 (up from kr8.92 in FY 2021). Revenue: kr4.06b (up 92% from FY 2021). Net income: kr501.0m (up 48% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 12% (down from 16% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.5% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 27% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 28% per year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 15
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to kr191, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Total returns to shareholders of 121% over the past three years. Buying Opportunity • Feb 10
Now 23% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 9.2%. The fair value is estimated to be kr283, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 21% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 18%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 3.8% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 5.3% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • Feb 09
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: kr13.20 (vs kr8.92 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: kr13.20 (up from kr8.92 in FY 2021). Revenue: kr4.06b (up 92% from FY 2021). Net income: kr501.0m (up 48% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 12% (down from 16% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 27% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 10% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Nov 04
Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: kr3.32 (vs kr2.40 in 3Q 2021) Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: kr3.32 (up from kr2.40 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: kr1.07b (up 107% from 3Q 2021). Net income: kr126.0m (up 39% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 12% (down from 18% in 3Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.4% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 18% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 13% per year. Reported Earnings • Jul 27
Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: kr3.53 (vs kr2.24 in 2Q 2021) Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: kr3.53 (up from kr2.24 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: kr1.02b (up 116% from 2Q 2021). Net income: kr134.0m (up 58% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 13% (down from 18% in 2Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 18%, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 20% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Recent Insider Transactions • May 12
Independent Director recently bought kr197k worth of stock On the 5th of May, Joachim Rosenberg bought around 1k shares on-market at roughly kr197 per share. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger purchase from another insider worth kr245k. Insiders have collectively bought kr855k more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • May 05
First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: kr3.43 (vs kr1.90 in 1Q 2021) First quarter 2022 results: EPS: kr3.43 (up from kr1.90 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: kr934.0m (up 116% from 1Q 2021). Net income: kr130.0m (up 81% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 14% (down from 17% in 1Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 29%, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the industry in the United Kingdom. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 5% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 9% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 15
Upcoming dividend of kr3.75 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 22 April 2022. Payment date: 28 April 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 42% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.9%. Lower than top quartile of British dividend payers (4.6%). In line with average of industry peers (1.9%). Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 03
Independent Chairman of the Board recently bought kr413k worth of stock On the 1st of November, Anders Nielsen bought around 2k shares on-market at roughly kr258 per share. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Anders' only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 01
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 25% share price gain to kr257, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29x. Average forward P/E is 22x in the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Total returns to shareholders of 109% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 18
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 23% share price gain to kr213, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 22x in the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Total returns to shareholders of 75% over the past three years. Executive Departure • Oct 01
Senior VP and Head of Europe & Rest of the World David Bessant has left the company On the 29th of September, David Bessant's tenure as Senior VP and Head of Europe & Rest of the World ended after 3.9 years in the role. As of June 2021, David still personally held 27.60k shares (kr4.9m worth at the time). A total of 4 executives have left over the last 12 months. The current median tenure of the management team is 2.92 years. Reported Earnings • Jul 22
Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS kr2.24 (vs kr0.45 in 2Q 2020) The company reported a strong second quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: kr473.0m (up 38% from 2Q 2020). Net income: kr85.0m (up 400% from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 18% (up from 5.0% in 2Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 20% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 12% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Reported Earnings • May 06
First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS kr1.90 (vs kr1.59 in 1Q 2020) The company reported a decent first quarter result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: kr432.0m (down 5.3% from 1Q 2020). Net income: kr72.0m (up 20% from 1Q 2020). Profit margin: 17% (up from 13% in 1Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 19% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 6% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Executive Departure • Apr 30
Independent Director has left the company On the 22nd of April, Martin Lundstedt's tenure as Independent Director ended after 9.0 years in the role. We don't have any record of a personal shareholding under Martin's name. A total of 3 executives have left over the last 12 months. Executive Departure • Apr 30
Independent Director has left the company On the 22nd of April, Marianne Brismar's tenure in the role of Independent Director ended. We don't have any record of a personal shareholding under Marianne's name. A total of 3 executives have left over the last 12 months. Executive Departure • Apr 30
Independent Chairman of the Board Kenth Eriksson has left the company On the 22nd of April, Kenth Eriksson's tenure in the role of Independent Chairman of the Board ended. As of December 2020, Kenth personally held 50.18k shares (kr9.5m worth at the time). A total of 3 executives have left over the last 12 months. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 16
Upcoming dividend of kr3.50 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 23 April 2021. Payment date: 29 April 2021. Trailing yield: 1.9%. Lower than top quartile of British dividend payers (4.1%). In line with average of industry peers (1.9%). Reported Earnings • Apr 04
Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS kr5.42 (vs kr8.37 in FY 2019) The company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: kr1.50b (down 25% from FY 2019). Net income: kr205.0m (down 36% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 14% (down from 16% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 5% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 03
New 90-day high: kr196 The company is up 16% from its price of kr169 on 03 December 2020. The British market is up 4.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Machinery industry, which is up 9.0% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Feb 10
Full year 2020 earnings released The company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: kr1.50b (down 25% from FY 2019). Net income: kr205.0m (down 36% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 14% (down from 16% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 6% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Feb 10
Revenue beats expectations Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.2%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 6.7% compared to a 4.0% decline forecast for the Machinery industry in the United Kingdom. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 19
New 90-day high: kr196 The company is up 24% from its price of kr158 on 21 October 2020. The British market is up 16% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Machinery industry, which is up 12% over the same period.