MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A.

BME:MRL Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.5b

MERLIN Properties SOCIMI Valuation

Is MRL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Unter dem Marktwert

  • Deutlich unter dem Marktwert

  • Price-To-Sales gegen Gleichaltrige

  • Price-To-Sales gegen Industrie

  • PM vs. Fair Ratio

  • Analysten-Prognose

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MRL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Unter dem Marktwert: MRL (€8.76) wird über unserer Schätzung des Fair Value (€8.14) gehandelt.

Deutlich unter dem Marktwert: MRL über unserer Schätzung des beizulegenden Zeitwerts gehandelt wird.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MRL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MRL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue17x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MRL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MRL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
YGMP GMP Property SOCIMI
12.4xn/a€1.3b
YSIL Silicius Real Estate SOCIMI
9.7xn/a€342.0m
YVIT Vitruvio Real Estate SOCIMI
14.8x4.8%€125.0m
YSRR Serrano 61 Desarrollo SOCIMI
24.2xn/a€106.7m
MRL MERLIN Properties SOCIMI
8.9x5.7%€4.5b

Price-To-Sales gegen Gleichaltrige: MRL ist ein guter Wert, wenn man sein Price-To-Sales Verhältnis (8.5x) mit dem Durchschnitt der anderen Unternehmen (10.5x) vergleicht.


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MRL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the ES REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a97.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a97.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales gegen Industrie: MRL ist teuer, wenn man sein Price-To-Sales Verhältnis (8.3x) mit dem European REITs Branchendurchschnitt (8.2x) vergleicht.


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MRL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MRL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.9x
Fair PS Ratio22.8x

PM vs. Fair Ratio: MRL ist ein guter Wert auf der Grundlage des Verhältnisses Price-To-Sales (8.5x) im Vergleich zum geschätzten fairen Verhältnis Price-To-Sales (31x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MRL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.60
€10.77
+12.2%
12.9%€12.70€6.40n/a20
Mar ’25€8.91
€10.73
+20.5%
12.8%€12.70€6.40n/a20
Feb ’25€9.33
€10.66
+14.3%
12.5%€12.50€6.40n/a20
Jan ’25€10.06
€10.17
+1.1%
12.7%€12.50€6.40n/a20
Dec ’24€9.37
€10.11
+7.9%
13.0%€12.50€6.40n/a20
Nov ’24€7.87
€9.96
+26.6%
14.7%€12.50€6.40n/a17
Oct ’24€7.99
€10.09
+26.4%
15.6%€13.00€6.40n/a17
Sep ’24€8.15
€10.24
+25.7%
13.4%€13.00€7.90n/a17
Aug ’24€8.42
€10.24
+21.6%
13.4%€13.00€7.90n/a17
Jul ’24€7.84
€10.20
+30.1%
13.0%€13.00€7.90n/a17
Jun ’24€7.74
€10.41
+34.5%
14.2%€13.33€7.90n/a17
May ’24€8.01
€10.56
+31.8%
13.5%€13.33€7.90n/a17
Apr ’24€8.06
€10.59
+31.4%
13.5%€13.33€7.90€9.9817
Mar ’24€8.77
€10.60
+20.9%
13.5%€13.33€7.90€8.9117
Feb ’24€8.88
€10.72
+20.7%
14.3%€13.33€7.90€9.3317
Jan ’24€8.78
€10.74
+22.4%
14.3%€13.33€7.80€10.0617
Dec ’23€8.91
€10.82
+21.5%
13.9%€13.33€7.90€9.3717
Nov ’23€8.70
€11.10
+27.6%
13.1%€13.33€7.90€7.8718
Oct ’23€7.91
€11.35
+43.5%
13.4%€13.50€7.90€7.9917
Sep ’23€8.89
€11.62
+30.8%
12.4%€13.50€7.90€8.1516
Aug ’23€10.26
€11.57
+12.8%
14.2%€13.50€6.80€8.4216
Jul ’23€9.26
€11.76
+27.1%
13.7%€13.50€6.80€7.8415
Jun ’23€10.55
€11.79
+11.8%
13.5%€13.50€6.80€7.7416
May ’23€10.41
€11.65
+11.9%
14.6%€13.50€6.80€8.0116
Apr ’23€10.62
€11.13
+4.8%
14.1%€13.33€6.80€8.0617

Analysten-Prognose: Das Kursziel liegt weniger als 20% über dem aktuellen Aktienkurs.


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