Challenger Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Der Umsatz von Challenger wird voraussichtlich um 15% pro Jahr zurückgehen, während der Jahresgewinn um 5.9% pro Jahr wachsen soll. Der Gewinn je Aktie wird voraussichtlich um 7.4% pro Jahr steigen. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 12.4% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
5.9%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
7.37%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Diversified Financial Gewinnwachstum | -22.8% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | -15.0% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 12.35% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 30 Jul 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Neues Narrative • Jul 28
Aging Population And APRA Reforms Will Support Long-Term Retirement Income Upside
Catalysts About Challenger Challenger focuses on guaranteed retirement income products and related investment and reinsurance solutions. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative-Update • Jul 17
CGF: Retirement Tailwinds And Breakout Pattern Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Analysts have lifted their price target for Challenger to A$10.32 from A$9.75, citing slightly lower required returns, a modestly improved profit margin outlook and updated assumptions for long term P/E multiples across asset managers. Analyst Commentary Recent valuation work on Challenger is being shaped by broader views on listed asset managers, where research on peers highlights both supportive and challenging factors for the sector.
Neues Narrative • Jul 14
Offshore Reinsurance And Private Credit Dependence Will Strain Future Retirement Income Margins
Catalysts About Challenger Challenger focuses on retirement income products, annuities and funds management, with a core presence in the Australian market and an expanding offshore reinsurance business. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative-Update • Jul 03
CGF: Retirement Tailwinds And Chart Breakout Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Challenger up from A$9.43 to A$9.75. This reflects slightly lower discount rate assumptions, a marginally weaker revenue outlook, and a modestly higher projected profit margin and future P/E multiple.Narrative-Update • Jun 18
CGF: Retirement Tailwinds And Risk Recalibration Will Guide Future Share Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their Challenger price target to A$9.43. This reflects slightly lower assumed risk in the discount rate while keeping fair value and earnings expectations broadly unchanged.Narrative-Update • Jun 03
CGF: Earnings Delivery And P E Calibration Will Shape Future Repricing Path
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Challenger slightly higher to A$9.43 from A$9.38, reflecting small adjustments to discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations and projected profit margins, while keeping future P/E assumptions broadly in line with recent sector research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research around global alternative asset managers, including several price target cuts for Carlyle from large brokers such as JPMorgan and others, highlights how quickly sentiment can swing when earnings quality is under scrutiny.Narrative-Update • May 14
CGF: Capital Returns And P E Calibration Will Shape Future Repricing Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger by A$0.09 to reflect slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value estimates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research on alternative asset managers has focused on resetting valuation assumptions, adjusting earnings expectations for fee based businesses and reassessing how much multiple investors may be willing to pay for forward earnings.Narrative-Update • Apr 27
CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger to A$9.38 from A$9.50, citing slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the discount rate broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research across the broader asset management sector shows a mix of optimism and caution on valuation, execution and growth, which offers useful context for Challenger investors assessing the latest price target trim.Narrative-Update • Apr 09
CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target for Challenger slightly higher to A$9.50 from A$9.44, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate and future P/E that are broadly consistent with recent adjustments seen across alternative asset managers. Analyst Commentary The recent tweak to Challenger's A$9.50 price target fits into a broader pattern that research desks have been applying across global alternative asset managers, including the Carlyle updates referenced here.Narrative-Update • Mar 25
CGF: Capital Returns And Fee Margins Will Drive Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have adjusted Challenger's price target slightly lower to A$9.44, citing updated sector-wide assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and future P/E multiples, while still reflecting the same fair value estimate in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent changes to Challenger's valuation echo broader adjustments seen across the alternative asset manager space, where analysts have been fine tuning targets in response to updated assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and P/E multiples.Narrative-Update • Mar 11
CGF: Capital Returns And Fee Margins Will Drive Forward Market Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their A$ price target on Challenger, citing slightly more cautious assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends and margins, while still applying a modestly higher future P/E multiple in line with recent sector research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on global alternative asset managers provides some context for how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth and execution risks that can be relevant when assessing Challenger.Narrative-Update • Feb 23
CGF: Capital Returns And Margin Execution Will Shape Forward Market Sentiment
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger to A$9.44 from A$9.63. This reflects slightly softer revenue growth expectations, a modestly lower discount rate, improved profit margin assumptions and a lower future P/E multiple.Narrative-Update • Feb 09
CGF: Sector Sentiment And Fee-Based Opportunities Will Shape Forward Returns
Analysts have nudged up their price target on Challenger, citing slightly higher fair value estimates, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to future P/E assumptions as the key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts around the sector are using higher price targets and slightly richer P/E assumptions to signal confidence in execution and earnings quality for similar asset managers, and that tone is feeding into how some investors read the recent Challenger target move.Narrative-Update • Jan 24
CGF: Sector Sentiment Swings And Credit Risks Will Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update on Challenger Analysts have nudged their price targets on Challenger slightly higher, reflecting a modest uplift in their fair value estimate to 9.58, a small change in the discount rate, and only marginal adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around comparable alternative asset managers gives some useful context for how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth, and execution risk for names like Challenger.Narrative-Update • Jan 06
CGF: Capital Markets Recovery And Credit Risks Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have made a modest trim to their price target on Challenger to about A$9.47 from roughly A$9.47. This reflects slight adjustments to fair value, discount rate assumptions and expected P/E, while still seeing support from a recovering capital markets backdrop cited in recent research on alternative asset managers.Narrative-Update • Dec 15
CGF: Capital Markets Rebound And Credit Concerns Will Shape Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on Challenger modestly higher to reflect a slightly lower perceived risk profile and stable long term earnings multiples, even as they continue to factor in cautious assumptions around capital markets activity and muted near term returns across alternative asset managers. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research on alternative asset managers highlights a mixed but generally constructive backdrop that informs views on Challenger.Narrative-Update • Nov 28
CGF: Capital Markets Activity And Credit Conditions Will Drive Sentiment This Year
Challenger's analyst price target has increased slightly, rising from $9.38 to $9.47. Analysts cite broader market stabilization and modest improvements in sector valuation expectations.Narrative-Update • Nov 13
CGF: Capital Market Activity And Discount Rates Will Influence Market Sentiment This Year
Challenger's analyst price target has increased modestly, rising by $0.18 to $9.38. Analysts are factoring in stable revenue growth, a slightly improved discount rate, and supportive updates from recent sector research, despite ongoing concerns over valuations and expected returns.Narrative-Update • Oct 30
CGF: Future Market Conditions Will Guide Earnings Momentum And Balance Near-Term Risks
Analysts have increased their price target for Challenger from $9.03 to $9.19 per share, citing expectations for improved capital markets conditions and positive momentum in fundamentals. This comes despite modest adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin forecasts.Narrative-Update • Oct 16
APRA Reforms And Digital Integration Will Uplift Retirement Income Sectors
Challenger's analyst price target has been modestly increased to $9.03 from $8.83, as analysts cite improving fundamentals and expectations of stronger future performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a range of perspectives on Challenger's outlook, shedding light on both optimism and reservations among analysts.Narrative-Update • Sep 04
APRA Reforms And Digital Integration Will Uplift Retirement Income Sectors
Despite improved business momentum, sector tailwinds, and greater earnings diversification supporting a positive outlook, the Challenger consensus Analyst Price Target remained unchanged at A$8.83. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong Q2 results and accelerating business momentum as key drivers for upward price target revisions.Analyseartikel • Jul 24
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Price
When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider...Analyseartikel • Mar 28
Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Price In Tune With Earnings
When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider...
Neues Narrative • Feb 23
Focus On Longer-Duration Annuities And Technology Will Improve Future Efficiency
Strategic sales shift to longer-duration annuities boosts book quality, earnings, and ROE, with a focus on lifetime and Japanese annuities.Analyseartikel • Dec 10
Earnings Tell The Story For Challenger Limited (ASX:CGF)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.9x Challenger Limited ( ASX:CGF ) may be sending bearish signals at the...Analyseartikel • Aug 16
Challenger's (ASX:CGF) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Challenger Limited's ( ASX:CGF ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to A$0.135 on...Analyseartikel • Aug 14
Challenger Limited (ASX:CGF) Not Flying Under The Radar
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.7x Challenger Limited ( ASX:CGF ) may be sending very bearish signals...Analyseartikel • Dec 19
Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider...Analyseartikel • Aug 19
Challenger's (ASX:CGF) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Challenger Limited's ( ASX:CGF ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 20th of September to A$0.12, with...Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2029 | 1,170 | 586 | N/A | 452 | 4 |
| 6/30/2028 | 1,086 | 534 | 537 | 429 | 8 |
| 6/30/2027 | 1,028 | 509 | 503 | 409 | 9 |
| 6/30/2026 | 992 | 555 | 312 | 277 | 9 |
| 12/31/2025 | 2,800 | 459 | 1,884 | 1,884 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 2,945 | 326 | 1,142 | 1,142 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,090 | 192 | 399 | 400 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,017 | 170 | 370 | 371 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,003 | 147 | 341 | 342 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 2,896 | 141 | 695 | 697 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,789 | 135 | 1,050 | 1,051 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,993 | 168 | 789 | 793 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,196 | 202 | 529 | 535 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,886 | 191 | 906 | 913 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,575 | 179 | 1,283 | 1,291 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 418 | 109 | 1,711 | 1,717 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | -917 | 15 | 2,157 | 2,161 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | -624 | 140 | 2,321 | 2,324 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | -330 | 264 | 2,484 | 2,487 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,592 | 460 | 2,777 | 2,784 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,515 | 656 | 3,069 | 3,081 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,421 | 624 | 2,817 | 2,829 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,326 | 592 | 2,564 | 2,577 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,604 | 89 | 1,476 | 1,486 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,883 | -414 | 388 | 394 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,848 | -415 | 432 | 440 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,814 | -416 | 476 | 485 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,694 | 53 | 695 | 712 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,575 | 522 | 914 | 939 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,428 | 415 | N/A | 796 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,280 | 308 | N/A | 652 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,968 | 221 | N/A | 1,159 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,655 | 133 | N/A | 1,665 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,760 | 228 | N/A | 1,821 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,865 | 323 | N/A | 1,977 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,997 | 357 | N/A | 1,801 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,128 | 392 | N/A | 1,624 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,035 | 395 | N/A | 1,611 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,941 | 398 | N/A | 1,597 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,490 | 346 | N/A | 1,676 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,040 | 295 | N/A | 1,755 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,039 | 311 | N/A | 1,519 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,038 | 328 | N/A | 1,282 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,017 | 365 | N/A | 1,049 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,996 | 403 | N/A | 815 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,950 | 351 | N/A | 815 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: CGFDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (5.9% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.6%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: CGFDie Erträge des Unternehmens (5.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt Australian (11.2% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: CGFDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: CGFDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-15% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: CGFDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten drei Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-15% pro Jahr).
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: CGFDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (12.4%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/08/01 10:31 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/07/31 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2025/12/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/06/30 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Challenger Limited wird von 21 Analysten beobachtet. 9 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Andrew Adams | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Marcus Barnard | Bell Potter |