Valens Semiconductor Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Valens Semiconductor is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.6% and 18.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -8.9% in 3 years.
Key information
10.6%
Earnings growth rate
13.12%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor earnings growth | 26.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 18.8% |
| Future return on equity | -8.87% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 13 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 07
VLN: Higher Margins And CFO Transition Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have raised their price target for Valens Semiconductor from $3.00 to $4.00, based on updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, slightly lower projected revenue growth, stronger expected profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Valens Semiconductor issued earnings guidance for the second quarter of 2026, expecting revenues between $17.2 million and $17.6 million, with a projected gross margin in the 60% to 62% range.
Narrative Update • May 23
VLN: Raised Fair Value Will Rely On 2026 Revenue Outlook
Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Valens Semiconductor to $4.33 from $4.00, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that together point to a slightly different risk and reward profile for the stock. What's in the News Valens Semiconductor issued earnings guidance for the first quarter of 2026, projecting revenues between US$16.3 million and US$16.7 million and a gross margin range of 57% to 59% (Key Developments).Seeking Alpha • Jan 12
Valens Semiconductor: A Rerating That Just Started
Summary A data error misreported roughly $82 million of inventory, but Valens actually held about $11 million, making the selloff unjustified. Valens ended Q3 2025 with $93.5 million in cash, no debt, and cash representing nearly 60% of market capitalization. The operating business was valued at roughly $60–70 million EV, implying a severe discount rather than fundamental distress. Around 75% of revenue now comes from cross-industry markets with ~69% gross margins, versus ~43% in automotive. Even after the rally, Valens trades near 1.1x forward EV-to-sales and about 1.5x book value, well below semiconductor peers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 05
Companies Like Valens Semiconductor (NYSE:VLN) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made...Analysis Article • Nov 15
Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (NYSE:VLN) Price Target To US$3.75
A week ago, Valens Semiconductor Ltd. ( NYSE:VLN ) came out with a strong set of quarterly numbers that could...Analysis Article • Aug 27
Investors Give Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (NYSE:VLN) Shares A 35% Hiding
Valens Semiconductor Ltd. ( NYSE:VLN ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 35% after a relatively good period...Analysis Article • Jul 11
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Valens Semiconductor Ltd.'s (NYSE:VLN) 28% Share Price Climb
The Valens Semiconductor Ltd. ( NYSE:VLN ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...Analysis Article • May 10
Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (NYSE:VLN) Just Released Its First-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
There's been a notable change in appetite for Valens Semiconductor Ltd. ( NYSE:VLN ) shares in the week since its...Analysis Article • Apr 28
Valens Semiconductor Ltd.'s (NYSE:VLN) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 29% Share Price Bounce
Valens Semiconductor Ltd. ( NYSE:VLN ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period...
New Narrative • Mar 30
2025 Turnaround Will Spark Expansion Into ADAS And New Markets
Strategic acquisitions and market expansion in automotive, industrial, and video conferencing sectors are anticipated to boost revenues and drive growth.Analysis Article • Jan 04
Valens Semiconductor Ltd.'s (NYSE:VLN) 38% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Valens Semiconductor Ltd. ( NYSE:VLN ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 38% share price jump in the...Analysis Article • Oct 04
There Is A Reason Valens Semiconductor Ltd.'s (NYSE:VLN) Price Is Undemanding
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.4x Valens Semiconductor Ltd. ( NYSE:VLN ) is a stock...Analysis Article • Jun 13
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (NYSE:VLN) With Shares Advancing 30%
Valens Semiconductor Ltd. ( NYSE:VLN ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month...Analysis Article • Mar 16
We're Hopeful That Valens Semiconductor (NYSE:VLN) Will Use Its Cash Wisely
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining...Seeking Alpha • Dec 29
Valens Semiconductor: Turning Cautious As Automotive Design Win Pushed Out (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Valens Semiconductor achieved positive cash flows in 3Q23, generating $6.1 million in cash from operating activities. Revenues, gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA in 3Q23 beat guidance, indicating improved financials for Valens Semiconductor. The company revised the full-year gross margin and adjusted EBITDA guidance upwards following the beat in 3Q23. While to VA7000 automotive OEM bids continued to progress in 3Q23, the decision process may take longer than originally anticipated and design win awards could be extended into 2024. The VS6320 chipset was launched, with a revenue ramp expected in 2H24. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 30
Valens Semiconductor: Growing Market Serves As Catalyst For Explosive Growth, 150%+ Upside Potential
Summary Valens has growth opportunities in the automotive industry with the introduction of new chips and in the audio-video industry with new applications and markets. As Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) prioritize efficiency, Valens' chips can handle increasing data loads with no latency issues. In high-stress conditions where gigabytes surge, Valens' technology demonstrates superiority, mitigating noise. Valens' Current Valuation is extremely cheap. Trading at just 1.9X 2026 EBITDA. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 13
Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (NYSE:VLN) Performing In The Near Term
The analysts covering Valens Semiconductor Ltd. ( NYSE:VLN ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...Analysis Article • Oct 26
We Think Valens Semiconductor (NYSE:VLN) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth
Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...Seeking Alpha • Sep 28
Valens: Don't Miss Out The New Potential Semiconductor Star
Summary Valens Semiconductor stock has experienced a significant decline this year due to weak second-half-of-the-year guidance, but the pessimism is already priced in. The company is committed to innovation and has a strong customer base, indicating the quality of its products. VLN is on track to achieve free cash flow profitability next year, and the valuation is ridiculously cheap. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 30
Valens Semiconductor: Design Win And Breakeven Key For The Investment Thesis
Summary I think the company's results came in-line with expectations, with revenues soft in the near-term and improved profitability due to cost initiatives. In addition, Valens reiterates its expectation to reach breakeven adjusted EBITDA by end 2023 and raised full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA guidance. The near-term market environment remains challenging but the new product ramp from Valens is expected to counter this. The win with LG Electronics Vehicle component Solutions Company is testament to its technology and revenues are expected to be recognized from 2026 onwards. Valens is focusing on efficiency improvements in its operations to reach its profitability goal. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 14
Valens Semiconductor: Slow Progress Is Progress Nonetheless
Summary The latest report from VLN came in mixed, with guidance calling for big declines, offset by an outlook calling for a recovery. VLN’s performance over the last two years as a listed company leaves something to be desired, especially its rather lackluster pace of growth. There are several reasons some may cite as to why the time has come for long VLN, although not everyone may agree. VLN could turn it around if it signs up more customers, but success is not guaranteed in a very competitive environment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 109 | -25 | -9 | -7 | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 90 | -23 | -14 | -12 | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 76 | -28 | -15 | -13 | 3 |
| 3/31/2026 | 71 | -32 | -11 | -10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 71 | -32 | -14 | -13 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 68 | -30 | -14 | -13 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 67 | -33 | -7 | -5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 63 | -35 | -7 | -5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 58 | -37 | -1 | 1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 63 | -26 | -4 | -3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 61 | -29 | 0 | 0 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 72 | -24 | 0 | 1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 84 | -20 | -8 | -6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 86 | -30 | -9 | -8 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 95 | -23 | -19 | -18 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 93 | -28 | -23 | -22 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 91 | -28 | -23 | -22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 88 | -28 | -29 | -28 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 84 | -35 | -26 | -25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 79 | -33 | -28 | -27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 71 | -38 | -23 | -22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 64 | -39 | -17 | -17 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 58 | -40 | -23 | -22 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 55 | -38 | -20 | -19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 57 | -34 | -20 | -20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 60 | -39 | N/A | -22 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: VLN is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: VLN is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: VLN is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: VLN's revenue (18.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: VLN's revenue (18.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: VLN is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/09 17:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Analyst Sources
Valens Semiconductor Ltd. is covered by 6 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Vivek Arya | BofA Global Research |
| Atif Malik | Citigroup Inc |
| Nathaniel Quinn Bolton | Needham & Company |