Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.

NYSE:ESRT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

Empire State Realty Trust Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Empire State Realty Trust's earnings are forecast to decline at 21% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1.8% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 26.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 1.2% in 3 years.

Key information

-21.0%

Earnings growth rate

-26.39%

EPS growth rate

Office REITs earnings growth-9.3%
Revenue growth rate1.8%
Future return on equity1.22%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated28 Nov 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Empire State Realty Trust Might Be Overly Discounted

Nov 05

Earnings Beat: Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Feb 22
Earnings Beat: Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Empire State Realty Trust In An Empire State Of Mind, As NYC Office Demand Returns

Jan 20

Empire State Realty Trust Is A Way To Go Long New York City

Dec 15

Empire State Realty Trust: Expensive Valuation, Wait For A Better Entry Point

Sep 10
User avatar

Williamsburg Expansion And ESG Focus Risk Undermining ESRT's Financial Stability

Expansion into Williamsburg and an optimistic office leasing strategy amidst evolving work dynamics might increase operational risks and strain occupancy rates.

Shareholders May Not Be So Generous With Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.'s (NYSE:ESRT) CEO Compensation And Here's Why

May 03
Shareholders May Not Be So Generous With Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.'s (NYSE:ESRT) CEO Compensation And Here's Why

Empire State Realty Trust: A Bet On The Mean Reversion

Mar 05

Empire State Realty: Occupancy Gains, 2024 Fed Pivot, And Possible Dividend Hike

Dec 15

Empire State Realty: Fairly Valued Following YTD Outperformance

Sep 25

Office REIT Empire State Realty Trust Is A Way To Sell Short New York City

Jun 29

Empire State Realty: Outlook Positive Despite Haze Over The Observatory

Jun 08

Analysts Just Made A Sizeable Upgrade To Their Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:ESRT) Forecasts

Apr 30
Analysts Just Made A Sizeable Upgrade To Their Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:ESRT) Forecasts

Empire State Realty Trust FFO of $0.22 beats by $0.04, revenue of $181.27M beats by $43.5M

Feb 15

Empire State Realty: Better To Observe From The Sidelines

Jan 11

Empire State Realty Trust declares $0.035 dividend

Dec 09

Empire State Realty Trust FFO of $0.21 beats by $0.02, revenue of $183.71M beats by $34.65M

Oct 26

Empire State Realty Trust: Mispriced In Relation To Visitation Trends

Sep 26

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:ESRT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202777714N/AN/A3
12/31/202677222N/AN/A5
12/31/202575325N/AN/A5
9/30/202576635265265N/A
6/30/202576340263263N/A
3/31/202576251273273N/A
12/31/202476347261261N/A
9/30/202475845247247N/A
6/30/202475543235235N/A
3/31/202475648217217N/A
12/31/202374049232232N/A
9/30/202372853233233N/A
6/30/202372047233233N/A
3/31/202370954230230N/A
12/31/202270736211211N/A
9/30/202268621219219N/A
6/30/20226568212212N/A
3/31/2022627-19207207N/A
12/31/2021608-11212212N/A
9/30/2021591-8186186N/A
6/30/2021584-9192192N/A
3/31/2021574-24191191N/A
12/31/2020600-17182182N/A
9/30/20206500198198N/A
6/30/202069424218218N/A
3/31/202073048219219N/A
12/31/201972749233233N/A
9/30/201971455290290N/A
6/30/201970956N/A259N/A
3/31/201971161N/A288N/A
12/31/201870866N/A279N/A
9/30/201870560N/A207N/A
6/30/201870562N/A212N/A
3/31/201870262N/A202N/A
12/31/201769663N/A194N/A
9/30/201768862N/A231N/A
6/30/201767959N/A219N/A
3/31/201767054N/A220N/A
12/31/201667051N/A215N/A
9/30/201666443N/A206N/A
6/30/201666138N/A218N/A
3/31/201666038N/A215N/A
12/31/201565634N/A203N/A
9/30/201566030N/A197N/A
6/30/201565727N/A170N/A
3/31/201564725N/A162N/A
12/31/201463527N/A139N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ESRT's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-21% per year).

Earnings vs Market: ESRT's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-21% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ESRT's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ESRT's revenue (1.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ESRT's revenue (1.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ESRT's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (1.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/02 14:09
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/02 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. is covered by 20 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John KimBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Juan SanabriaBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jing Xian Tan BonnelBofA Global Research