Excelerate Energy Valuation

Is EE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EE ($23.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($27.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EE is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.5x
PEG Ratio4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.6x
HEP Holly Energy Partners
10.8x10.1%US$2.6b
NS NuStar Energy
78.9x66.9%US$2.8b
GLNG Golar LNG
28.6x9.7%US$4.0b
DKL Delek Logistics Partners
16x17.5%US$2.1b
EE Excelerate Energy
18.9x4.7%US$2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x) compared to the peer average (33.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.9x
Fair PE Ratio10.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$23.13
US$22.50
-2.7%
9.2%US$26.00US$19.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$18.23
US$22.50
+23.4%
9.2%US$26.00US$19.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$20.06
US$22.00
+9.7%
9.1%US$26.00US$19.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$18.57
US$22.00
+18.5%
9.1%US$26.00US$19.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$17.81
US$22.00
+23.5%
9.1%US$26.00US$19.00n/a10
May ’25US$16.82
US$22.00
+30.8%
10.0%US$26.00US$18.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$15.86
US$22.44
+41.5%
9.7%US$26.00US$18.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$15.58
US$22.33
+43.3%
9.0%US$25.00US$18.00n/a9
Feb ’25US$15.41
US$23.25
+50.9%
14.4%US$30.00US$18.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$15.46
US$24.00
+55.2%
14.6%US$30.00US$18.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$17.55
US$24.63
+40.3%
13.6%US$30.00US$20.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$14.41
US$26.00
+80.4%
13.8%US$30.00US$18.00n/a7
Oct ’24US$17.04
US$28.14
+65.2%
7.5%US$33.00US$26.00US$22.417
Sep ’24US$19.13
US$28.14
+47.1%
7.5%US$33.00US$26.00US$18.237
Aug ’24US$21.02
US$29.00
+38.0%
7.8%US$33.00US$26.00US$20.067
Jul ’24US$20.33
US$29.71
+46.2%
5.9%US$33.00US$28.00US$18.577
Jun ’24US$19.36
US$30.14
+55.7%
5.4%US$33.00US$28.00US$17.817
May ’24US$21.50
US$30.00
+39.5%
5.0%US$33.00US$28.00US$16.827
Apr ’24US$22.14
US$30.29
+36.8%
3.8%US$32.00US$29.00US$15.867
Mar ’24US$21.49
US$30.57
+42.3%
3.4%US$32.00US$29.00US$15.587
Feb ’24US$23.94
US$30.71
+28.3%
4.2%US$33.00US$29.00US$15.417
Jan ’24US$25.05
US$31.38
+25.2%
6.7%US$36.00US$29.00US$15.468
Dec ’23US$28.60
US$31.25
+9.3%
6.9%US$36.00US$29.00US$17.558
Nov ’23US$26.82
US$31.25
+16.5%
6.9%US$36.00US$29.00US$14.418
Oct ’23US$23.40
US$31.25
+33.5%
6.3%US$36.00US$30.00US$17.048

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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