Padini Holdings Berhad

KLSE:PADINI Stock Report

Market Cap: RM 2.3b

Padini Holdings Berhad Valuation

Is PADINI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PADINI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PADINI (MYR3.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MYR4.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PADINI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PADINI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PADINI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.8x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PADINI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PADINI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.5x
BONIA Bonia Corporation Berhad
9.2x14.2%RM 311.5m
CRG Carlo Rino Group Berhad
11.1xn/aRM 213.5m
TGL Teo Guan Lee Corporation Berhad
9.5xn/aRM 101.8m
BAUTO Bermaz Auto Berhad
8.2x0.4%RM 2.6b
PADINI Padini Holdings Berhad
16x11.0%RM 2.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PADINI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PADINI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.2%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.2%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PADINI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the Asian Specialty Retail industry average (17.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PADINI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PADINI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PADINI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PADINI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRM 3.56
RM 3.68
+3.5%
9.9%RM 4.30RM 3.24n/a9
Sep ’25RM 3.35
RM 3.68
+9.9%
9.9%RM 4.30RM 3.24n/a9
Aug ’25RM 3.39
RM 4.02
+18.6%
8.7%RM 4.70RM 3.62n/a9
Jul ’25RM 3.65
RM 4.02
+10.2%
8.7%RM 4.70RM 3.62n/a9
Jun ’25RM 3.78
RM 3.97
+5.1%
9.5%RM 4.70RM 3.60n/a9
May ’25RM 3.58
RM 3.70
+3.4%
8.2%RM 4.40RM 3.20n/a9
Apr ’25RM 3.45
RM 3.70
+7.2%
8.2%RM 4.40RM 3.20n/a9
Mar ’25RM 3.41
RM 3.74
+9.8%
8.4%RM 4.40RM 3.20n/a9
Feb ’25RM 3.55
RM 3.92
+10.5%
10.8%RM 4.68RM 3.20n/a9
Jan ’25RM 3.51
RM 3.92
+11.7%
10.8%RM 4.68RM 3.20n/a9
Dec ’24RM 3.64
RM 3.92
+7.7%
10.8%RM 4.68RM 3.20n/a9
Nov ’24RM 3.90
RM 4.93
+26.3%
7.9%RM 5.70RM 4.50n/a9
Oct ’24RM 3.95
RM 5.05
+28.0%
8.2%RM 5.70RM 4.60RM 3.609
Sep ’24RM 3.93
RM 5.05
+28.6%
8.2%RM 5.70RM 4.60RM 3.359
Aug ’24RM 4.00
RM 5.06
+26.6%
9.4%RM 5.80RM 4.40RM 3.399
Jul ’24RM 3.88
RM 5.06
+30.5%
9.4%RM 5.80RM 4.40RM 3.659
Jun ’24RM 3.71
RM 5.06
+36.4%
9.4%RM 5.80RM 4.40RM 3.789
May ’24RM 4.05
RM 4.95
+22.1%
9.7%RM 6.00RM 4.40RM 3.589
Apr ’24RM 3.99
RM 4.95
+24.0%
9.7%RM 6.00RM 4.40RM 3.459
Mar ’24RM 3.78
RM 4.91
+30.0%
10.7%RM 6.00RM 4.10RM 3.419
Feb ’24RM 3.65
RM 4.06
+11.2%
9.7%RM 4.80RM 3.50RM 3.559
Jan ’24RM 3.35
RM 4.06
+21.2%
9.7%RM 4.80RM 3.50RM 3.519
Dec ’23RM 3.38
RM 4.06
+20.1%
9.7%RM 4.80RM 3.50RM 3.649
Nov ’23RM 3.50
RM 3.85
+10.0%
10.8%RM 4.40RM 3.00RM 3.909
Oct ’23RM 3.15
RM 3.85
+22.3%
10.8%RM 4.40RM 3.00RM 3.959

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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