Walmart Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Walmart is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.1% and 3.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.8% in 3 years.

Key information

9.1%

Earnings growth rate

9.7%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth9.7%
Revenue growth rate3.9%
Future return on equity21.8%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated22 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Walmart Inc. Just Recorded A 6.8% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Nov 22
Walmart Inc. Just Recorded A 6.8% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Recent updates

Walmart: Are Shares A Buy Before Q1 Results?

Apr 24

Here's Why Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Apr 08
Here's Why Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Walmart: Reality Check After The Disappointing Guidance (Rating Downgrade)

Mar 23

Walmart Earnings Preview: 'Alternative Revenue Streams' And E-Commerce Will Eventually Boost Margins

Feb 17

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Walmart (NYSE:WMT)

Feb 10
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Walmart (NYSE:WMT)

Walmart: A Great Business Isn't Always A Great Investment

Feb 03

Walmart: Only One Question, Can It Justify A 40x Multiple?

Jan 01

Walmart: Time To Reassess Your Investment Strategy

Dec 11
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Narrative update from Goran Damchevski

Dec 04Despite the large spike, Walmart’s new market value can be justified by their increased growth and profitability expectations.

Walmart: Time To Take Some Profit (Rating Downgrade)

Dec 01

Walmart Inc. Just Recorded A 6.8% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Nov 22
Walmart Inc. Just Recorded A 6.8% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Walmart Earnings Summary: The 'Flywheel' Levers Are Beginning To Turn

Nov 21

Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

Nov 12
Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

Think Twice Before Selling Walmart

Nov 10

We Think Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Oct 30
We Think Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

The Return Trends At Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Look Promising

Oct 16
The Return Trends At Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Look Promising

Walmart: Margin Expansion And Digitalization Support Long-Term Returns

Oct 10

Should You Be Adding Walmart (NYSE:WMT) To Your Watchlist Today?

Oct 03
Should You Be Adding Walmart (NYSE:WMT) To Your Watchlist Today?

Walmart: E-Commerce And Marketplace Will Determine The Future; Initiate With 'Buy'

Sep 10
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Narrative update from Stjepan Kalinic

Sep 10Walmart achieved its highest U.S. net sales and operating income in two years during Q2 2024, reflecting strong consumer demand and effective pricing strategies.
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Elevating eCommerce And AI Innovations Boosts Sales And Membership Growth

Sep 02 Strategic use of eCommerce and technology, like generative AI, is set to enhance customer experiences and drive significant growth in eCommerce sales and net margins.

Walmart: Simply Too Expensive (Rating Downgrade)

Aug 29
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Narrative update from Goran Damchevski

Aug 28Revenue grew 4.8% to $169.3B, with a contribution from the e-comm business which grew 21%. The increased sales were driven by increased unit volume and transaction counts. Interestingly, the company s

Walmart: Q2 Shows How Company Leverages GenAI To Stay Ahead

Aug 20

Walmart Earnings Preview: E-Commerce And New Biz Ventures Could Be More Lucrative Than Thought

Aug 12

Walmart Q2 Preview: Road To Accelerated Margin Expansion Points To A Shiny Future

Aug 03

We Think Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Jul 25
We Think Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Walmart Inc.'s (NYSE:WMT) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Jul 12
Walmart Inc.'s (NYSE:WMT) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Walmart: Searching For The Right Multiple Going Forward

Jul 03

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:WMT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
1/31/2028768,11525,83420,65443,58815
1/31/2027733,94123,37316,61940,10828
1/31/2026702,01921,00613,90637,22430
1/31/2025680,98519,43612,66036,443N/A
10/31/2024673,81919,67617,00239,630N/A
7/31/2024665,03515,55211,98533,882N/A
4/30/2024657,33218,94214,48935,342N/A
1/31/2024648,12515,51115,12035,726N/A
10/31/2023638,78516,29212,68732,157N/A
7/31/2023630,79414,04119,22137,802N/A
4/30/2023622,02111,29919,48537,232N/A
1/31/2023611,28911,68011,98428,841N/A
10/31/2022600,1128,9677,00923,588N/A
7/31/2022587,82413,8705,41920,998N/A
4/30/2022576,01312,9973,13417,565N/A
1/31/2022572,75413,67311,07524,181N/A
10/31/2021571,9628,02017,07129,485N/A
7/31/2021566,14510,05017,82729,541N/A
4/30/2021562,83912,25021,18931,915N/A
1/31/2021559,15113,51025,81036,074N/A
10/31/2020548,74319,74224,21833,596N/A
7/31/2020542,02617,89523,62333,026N/A
4/30/2020534,66115,02918,45728,709N/A
1/31/2020523,96414,88114,55025,255N/A
10/31/2019521,08614,42713,88924,984N/A
7/31/2019517,98912,84916,91027,843N/A
4/30/2019515,6408,37815,42426,155N/A
1/31/2019514,4056,67017,40927,753N/A
10/31/2018511,8795,158N/A28,585N/A
7/31/2018510,1645,197N/A28,072N/A
4/30/2018505,4918,957N/A28,113N/A
1/31/2018500,3439,862N/A28,337N/A
10/31/2017495,01211,444N/A28,952N/A
7/31/2017490,01212,729N/A28,102N/A
4/30/2017487,51113,603N/A30,865N/A
1/31/2017485,87313,643N/A31,673N/A
10/31/2016484,60414,460N/A32,165N/A
7/31/2016483,83314,730N/A32,218N/A
4/30/2016483,20814,432N/A29,136N/A
1/31/2016482,13014,694N/A27,552N/A
10/31/2015484,02815,086N/A28,099N/A
7/31/2015485,62115,493N/A26,766N/A
4/30/2015485,51715,841N/A27,071N/A
1/31/2015485,65116,078N/A28,564N/A
10/31/2014483,79215,437N/A25,407N/A
7/31/2014480,47915,449N/A23,906N/A
4/30/2014477,18415,685N/A24,302N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: WMT's forecast earnings growth (9.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: WMT's earnings (9.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: WMT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: WMT's revenue (3.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: WMT's revenue (3.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: WMT's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.8%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/24 21:47
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/24 00:00
Earnings2025/01/31
Annual Earnings2025/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Walmart Inc. is covered by 84 analysts. 30 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Peter BenedictBaird