Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's revenue is forecast to decline at 5.9% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 110.2% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 87.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.6% in 3 years.
Key information
110.2%
Earnings growth rate
87.8%
EPS growth rate
| Mortgage REITs earnings growth | 57.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | -5.9% |
| Future return on equity | 8.6% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 12 Sep 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Apollo Commercial: Distribution Cut, New Yield 10.3%
Sep 17Hold Fast To This 13% Income Generator: Apollo Commercial
Aug 27Apollo Commercial: Risky 14% Yield
Aug 19Apollo Commercial: Comparing 13% Yielder Versus Peers
Jul 18Apollo Commercial: Margin Of Safety Has Disappeared (Rating Downgrade)
May 06Apollo Commercial: This 13% May Look Riskier Than It Is
Feb 23Apollo Commercial: Solid Dividend Coverage Turns This CRE Trust Into A Buy (Upgrade)
Dec 16Apollo Commercial: This 13.4% Yield Looks Better Now (Upgrade)
Oct 03Apollo Commercial: Has Been Over-Punished
Sep 21With EPS Growth And More, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (NYSE:ARI) Makes An Interesting Case
Jul 12
Earn 12% By Owning The Lender Not The Lendee: Apollo Commercial RE
Jul 10Here's Why Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (NYSE:ARI) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Apr 06Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Q4 2022 Earnings Preview
Feb 07Apollo Commercial: Near Fair Value With A High Yield, Key Technical Level In Play
Feb 01Apollo Commercial Real Estate originates $3.7B of mortgages in 2022
Jan 12Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance declares $0.35 dividend
Dec 13Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Q3 2022 Earnings Preview
Oct 23Apollo Commercial: A Value Trap
Oct 07Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance declares $0.35 dividend
Sep 13Apollo Commercial: I'm Happy About Increasing Interest Rates
Sep 06Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance closes 2 financing facilities
Aug 04Apollo Commercial: This 11.3% Yielding Mortgage Trust May See A Dividend Cut
Jun 09Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance: Challenges And Prospects
May 17Rate Hike Blues? Fight Back With A 10.8% Yield: Apollo Commercial RE
Mar 01Apollo Commercial: External And Internal Difficulties But A 10.56% Yield
Dec 23Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 165 | 115 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2024 | 194 | -145 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 6/30/2024 | 176 | 7 | 217 | 217 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 135 | -112 | 216 | 216 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 285 | 42 | 274 | 274 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 267 | -9 | 286 | 286 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 312 | 128 | 328 | 328 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 358 | 282 | 328 | 328 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 321 | 249 | 268 | 268 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 323 | 290 | 260 | 260 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 264 | 167 | 178 | 178 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 292 | 164 | 205 | 205 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 319 | 207 | 199 | 199 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 341 | 206 | 216 | 216 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 344 | 195 | 232 | 232 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 330 | 188 | 154 | 154 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 114 | 1 | 164 | 164 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 113 | 37 | 198 | 198 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 78 | 16 | 217 | 217 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 73 | 16 | 270 | 270 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 300 | 208 | 273 | 273 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 272 | 186 | 233 | 233 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 310 | 215 | 204 | 204 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 289 | 207 | 235 | 235 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 269 | 189 | 266 | 266 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 276 | 178 | 263 | 263 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 269 | 179 | 255 | 255 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 261 | 158 | N/A | 218 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 255 | 153 | N/A | 155 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 240 | 169 | N/A | 153 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 222 | 173 | N/A | 145 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 197 | 150 | N/A | 131 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 186 | 125 | N/A | 124 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 175 | 97 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 161 | 60 | N/A | 93 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 162 | 79 | N/A | 84 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 143 | 90 | N/A | 88 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 127 | 89 | N/A | 89 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 115 | 83 | N/A | 80 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 106 | 83 | N/A | 73 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 97 | 75 | N/A | 67 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 90 | 69 | N/A | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 82 | 62 | N/A | 50 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 75 | 50 | N/A | 45 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 73 | 44 | N/A | 46 | N/A |
| 9/30/2013 | 65 | 37 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ARI's forecast earnings growth (110.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).
Earnings vs Market: ARI's earnings (110.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ARI's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ARI's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-5.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ARI's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.9% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ARI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.6%).