Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.

NYSE:BWMX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.9b

Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de Valuation

Is BWMX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BWMX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BWMX ($12) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($2.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BWMX is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BWMX?

Key metric: As BWMX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BWMX. This is calculated by dividing BWMX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BWMX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio88.4x
EarningsMex$885.40m
Market CapMex$78.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BWMX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BWMX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43x
FND Floor & Decor Holdings
56.8x17.6%US$10.7b
TTSH Tile Shop Holdings
78xn/aUS$279.1m
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings
26.4x16.8%US$4.1b
URBN Urban Outfitters
11x6.4%US$3.5b
BWMX Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de
88.4x36.4%US$3.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BWMX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88.4x) compared to the peer average (43x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BWMX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2xn/aUS$14.40m
SSOK Sunstock
2.3xn/aUS$771.79k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.09xn/aUS$192.03k
CONN.Q Conn's
n/an/aUS$2.49k
BWMX 88.4xIndustry Avg. 16.7xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BWMX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88.4x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BWMX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BWMX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio88.4x
Fair PE Ratio24x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BWMX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BWMX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.00
US$20.51
+70.9%
12.1%US$23.00US$18.02n/a2
Nov ’25US$12.62
US$20.14
+59.6%
11.2%US$22.40US$17.88n/a2
Oct ’25US$13.11
US$20.64
+57.4%
9.3%US$22.55US$18.73n/a2
Sep ’25US$13.57
US$20.84
+53.5%
7.1%US$22.32US$19.35n/a2
Aug ’25US$14.58
US$21.17
+45.2%
5.3%US$22.29US$20.04n/a2
Jul ’25US$13.85
US$21.23
+53.3%
6.1%US$22.53US$19.93n/a2
Jun ’25US$16.66
US$21.24
+27.5%
5.6%US$22.43US$20.04n/a2
May ’25US$16.89
US$21.35
+26.4%
6.3%US$22.70US$20.01n/a2
Apr ’25US$19.50
US$21.33
+9.4%
5.3%US$22.45US$20.20n/a2
Mar ’25US$18.50
US$21.29
+15.1%
5.9%US$22.55US$20.03n/a2
Feb ’25US$14.02
US$16.87
+20.3%
0.5%US$16.95US$16.79n/a2
Jan ’25US$13.94
US$16.82
+20.7%
1.0%US$16.99US$16.65n/a2
Dec ’24US$13.87
US$16.74
+20.7%
1.5%US$17.00US$16.48n/a2
Nov ’24US$12.17
US$16.50
+35.6%
3.0%US$16.99US$16.01US$12.622
Oct ’24US$16.29
US$16.60
+1.9%
2.5%US$17.01US$16.19US$13.112
Sep ’24US$17.80
US$16.85
-5.3%
1.1%US$17.03US$16.67US$13.572
Aug ’24US$14.06
US$16.95
+20.6%
0.2%US$16.98US$16.92US$14.582
Jul ’24US$12.93
US$15.85
+22.6%
5.2%US$16.68US$15.02US$13.852
Jun ’24US$11.81
US$15.58
+32.0%
3.6%US$16.15US$15.02US$16.662
May ’24US$12.30
US$15.54
+26.3%
3.0%US$16.01US$15.07US$16.892
Apr ’24US$11.90
US$14.19
+19.2%
6.0%US$15.04US$13.33US$19.502
Mar ’24US$10.05
US$14.03
+39.6%
7.2%US$15.04US$13.02US$18.502
Feb ’24US$8.60
US$14.47
+68.2%
4.3%US$15.09US$13.85US$14.022
Jan ’24US$6.42
US$14.08
+119.2%
5.9%US$14.90US$13.25US$13.942
Dec ’23US$6.76
US$14.23
+110.5%
5.4%US$15.00US$13.46US$13.872
Nov ’23US$7.25
US$14.01
+93.3%
7.1%US$15.01US$13.01US$12.172

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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