Certara, Inc.

NasdaqGS:CERT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

Certara Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Certara is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.2% and 7.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.2% in 3 years.

Key information

16.2%

Earnings growth rate

11.10%

EPS growth rate

Healthcare Services earnings growth19.1%
Revenue growth rate7.9%
Future return on equity7.18%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated29 Sep 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

A Look At The Fair Value Of Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)

Sep 04
A Look At The Fair Value Of Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Certara's (NASDAQ:CERT) Earnings

Aug 14
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Certara's (NASDAQ:CERT) Earnings

Some Investors May Be Worried About Certara's (NASDAQ:CERT) Returns On Capital

Aug 08
Some Investors May Be Worried About Certara's (NASDAQ:CERT) Returns On Capital

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)

Jul 18
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)

Is Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Using Too Much Debt?

Jun 27
Is Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Using Too Much Debt?
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FDA Phaseout And AI Integration Will Expand Biosimulation Demand

Regulatory shifts and long-term outsourcing trends are boosting demand for Certara's biosimulation and data-driven modeling solutions, supporting recurring revenue growth and market expansion.

Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

May 07
Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) 32% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Apr 15
Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) 32% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Buy Certara After The FDA Announcement

Apr 11

Why Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Could Be Worth Watching

Mar 29
Why Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Could Be Worth Watching

Here's Why Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Feb 27
Here's Why Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Jan 11
Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Is Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Worth US$10.9 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Dec 19
Is Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Worth US$10.9 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Nov 15
Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Is Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Potentially Undervalued?

Oct 24
Is Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Potentially Undervalued?

Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Sep 20
Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Certara: Still Awaiting Consistent Growth

Sep 16

Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Shares Could Be 35% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Aug 31
Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Shares Could Be 35% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

There's Reason For Concern Over Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) Price

Jul 18
There's Reason For Concern Over Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) Price

Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Jun 13
Certara (NASDAQ:CERT) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

When Should You Buy Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)?

Apr 11
When Should You Buy Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)?

Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Mar 21
Certara, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CERT) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Certara (NASDAQ:CERT)

Feb 17
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Certara (NASDAQ:CERT)

Certara: Applied BioMath Acquisition And Simcyp Launch Should Drive Growth

Jan 30

Calculating The Fair Value Of Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)

Dec 07
Calculating The Fair Value Of Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)

Oct 31
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)

Is It Time To Consider Buying Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)?

Sep 17
Is It Time To Consider Buying Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT)?

An Intrinsic Calculation For Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Suggests It's 29% Undervalued

Aug 30
An Intrinsic Calculation For Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT) Suggests It's 29% Undervalued

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:CERT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20274991109N/A4
12/31/2026455988N/A11
12/31/2025422079N/A11
6/30/2025406877102N/A
3/31/2025394-37094N/A
12/31/2024385-125980N/A
9/30/2024373-313554N/A
6/30/2024364-795169N/A
3/31/2024361-616177N/A
12/31/2023354-556783N/A
9/30/2023353-348195N/A
6/30/2023352197487N/A
3/31/2023344148093N/A
12/31/2022336158093N/A
9/30/2022324-46678N/A
6/30/2022314-106374N/A
3/31/2022301-125565N/A
12/31/2021286-135160N/A
9/30/2021275-584452N/A
6/30/2021262-554048N/A
3/31/2021253-493441N/A
12/31/2020244-493745N/A
9/30/2020233-14554N/A
6/30/202022613141N/A
3/31/2020215-53040N/A
12/31/2019209-92938N/A
12/31/2018164-33N/A12N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CERT's forecast earnings growth (16.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.1%).

Earnings vs Market: CERT's earnings (16.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CERT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CERT's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CERT's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CERT's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/01 15:13
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/01 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Certara, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Joseph VruwinkBaird
Luke SergottBarclays
Andrew MossBofA Global Research