Meridian Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Meridian is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 32.9% and 14.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 32.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.4% in 3 years.

Key information

32.9%

Earnings growth rate

32.6%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.7%
Revenue growth rate	14.2%
Future return on equity	12.4%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Meridian Bank GAAP EPS of $0.96 beats by $0.03, revenue of $27.95M misses by $2.68M

Aug 01

Meridian Corporation: Heavy Reliance On Mortgage Banking Income To Hurt Earnings This Year

Apr 19

Meridian Corp.: More Growth Ahead

Jan 13

Meridian Corp.: Earnings Trend To Depend On Mortgage Banking Normalization

Sep 02

Meridian's (NASDAQ:MRBK) Dividend Will Be US$0.13

Jul 30

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:MRBK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	132	25	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2025	118	20	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2024	107	15	N/A	N/A	2
9/30/2024	92	11	17	18	N/A
6/30/2024	91	11	6	9	N/A
3/31/2024	93	12	25	29	N/A
12/31/2023	94	13	17	19	N/A
9/30/2023	99	17	30	32	N/A
6/30/2023	102	19	35	37	N/A
3/31/2023	104	20	64	67	N/A
12/31/2022	109	22	82	85	N/A
9/30/2022	117	25	96	102	N/A
6/30/2022	127	29	90	95	N/A
3/31/2022	137	31	104	109	N/A
12/31/2021	150	36	160	165	N/A
9/30/2021	160	37	128	130	N/A
6/30/2021	160	37	25	27	N/A
3/31/2021	152	34	-34	-33	N/A
12/31/2020	128	26	-159	-158	N/A
9/30/2020	104	21	-145	-144	N/A
6/30/2020	83	15	-65	-64	N/A
3/31/2020	71	11	-57	-56	N/A
12/31/2019	68	10	21	22	N/A
9/30/2019	64	10	5	6	N/A
6/30/2019	64	9	23	23	N/A
3/31/2019	64	9	20	20	N/A
12/31/2018	63	8	9	11	N/A
9/30/2018	64	6	1	4	N/A
3/31/2018	64	3	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	63	2	N/A	10	N/A
12/31/2016	67	4	N/A	52	N/A
12/31/2015	58	5	N/A	-34	N/A
12/31/2014	44	4	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2013	41	4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MRBK's forecast earnings growth (32.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: MRBK's earnings (32.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MRBK's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MRBK's revenue (14.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MRBK's revenue (14.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MRBK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/23 10:58
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Meridian Corporation is covered by 5 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Elliott Gunther	D.A. Davidson & Co.
null null	D.A. Davidson & Co.
Manuel Navas	D.A. Davidson & Co.

Meridian Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 13% to US$18.00

Price target increased by 10% to US$16.00

Price target increased by 7.7% to US$14.00

Price target decreased by 7.5% to US$12.33

Price target increased by 14% to US$13.33

Price target decreased by 17% to US$12.33

Recent updates

Price target increased by 13% to US$18.00

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Price target increased by 10% to US$16.00

Meridian (NASDAQ:MRBK) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.125

Third quarter dividend of US$0.13 announced

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Meridian Corporation Reports Net Charge Offs for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2024

Meridian Corporation: Rate Cuts To Boost Mortgage Banking Income

Price target increased by 7.7% to US$14.00

Second quarter dividend of US$0.13 announced

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Meridian Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on August 19, 2024

Meridian Corporation: Patience Is Required

First quarter dividend of US$0.13 announced

First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Meridian Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend of $0.125 Per Common Share, Payable May 20, 2024

New minor risk - Market cap size

Meridian Bank Announces Appointment of Patrick Hart as Senior Vice President, Commercial Lending

Meridian: High Dividend Yield With A Positive Earnings Outlook (Rating Upgrade)

Meridian Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.13 per share at 4.4% yield

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.13 announced

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Meridian Corporation Reports Net-Charge-Offs for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.13 per share at 4.9% yield

Price target decreased by 7.5% to US$12.33

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Meridian Corporation Reports Net Charge-Offs for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2023

Meridian Bank Announces Executive Changes

Meridian Bank Announces Announces Executive Changes

Price target increased by 14% to US$13.33

Upcoming dividend of US$0.13 per share at 4.0% yield

Meridian Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on August 21, 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Independent Director recently bought US$86k worth of stock

Price target decreased by 17% to US$12.33

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21%

Price target decreased by 7.4% to US$16.67

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Independent Director recently bought US$82k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Executive VP exercised options to buy US$95k worth of stock.

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Meridian Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on February 21, 2023

Insufficient new directors

Meridian (NASDAQ:MRBK) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.20

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Meridian Corporation Declares A Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable November 21, 2022

Meridian Corporation and Meridian Bank Announce Appointment of Christine M. Helmig to Board of Directors

Meridian Corporation Announces Executive Changes

Independent Director recently bought US$156k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Meridian Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on August 22, 2022

Meridian Bank GAAP EPS of $0.96 beats by $0.03, revenue of $27.95M misses by $2.68M

Meridian Corporation Announces the Death of Board Member Kenneth H. Slack

Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share

Meridian Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on May 23, 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Insufficient new directors

Meridian Corporation: Heavy Reliance On Mortgage Banking Income To Hurt Earnings This Year

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Executive VP exercised options to buy US$191k worth of stock.