MercadoLibre Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
MercadoLibre is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 22.2% and 17.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 22.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 41.1% in 3 years.
Key information
22.2%
Earnings growth rate
22.85%
EPS growth rate
Multiline Retail earnings growth | 14.7% |
Revenue growth rate | 17.2% |
Future return on equity | 41.10% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 14 May 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
MercadoLibre, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MELI) 25% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
May 13MercadoLibre: LatAm Fintech Flywheel Accelerates
May 05Is MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) Potentially Undervalued?
Apr 30MercadoLibre: Near Its Lowest Valuation Ever
Mar 25MercadoLibre: Strong Growth Potential At A Cheap Valuation
Mar 16With EPS Growth And More, MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI) Makes An Interesting Case
Mar 04MercadoLibre Q4 Earnings: Where Margins Take Center Stage
Feb 21These 4 Measures Indicate That MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Feb 03MercadoLibre: Strong 2025 Growth Expected, Shares Hit Key Support
Feb 03With MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For
Jan 21MercadoLibre: Numerous Macro Headwinds (Rating Downgrade)
Jan 16MercadoLibre: A Top E-Commerce Play For 2025 And Beyond
Jan 02The Trend Of High Returns At MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI) Has Us Very Interested
Dec 25MercadoLibre: More Undervalued Than You Think
Dec 24MercadoLibre Stock Is Shooting To The Moon
Dec 13Do MercadoLibre's (NASDAQ:MELI) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
Nov 28MercadoLibre: Buy The Unwarranted Pullback, Credit Growth Headwinds Are Temporary
Nov 21MercadoLibre: Recent Dip Adds Margin Of Safety
Nov 08The Price Is Right For MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI)
Oct 20MercadoLibre: Back To Its Margin Expansion And Hyper Growth Path (Rating Upgrade)
Oct 08Emerging As A Financial Powerhouse In Latin America With Decisive Growth And Innovation Initiatives
Sep 24 Strategic investments and marketing in key markets like Brazil and Mexico, alongside enhancements in user experience and logistics, are poised to significantly boost revenue.MercadoLibre: Vast Ecosystem And Enticing Valuation
Sep 23Why MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) Could Be Worth Watching
Sep 22These 4 Measures Indicate That MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI) Is Using Debt Safely
Sep 09MercadoLibre Is Still One Of The Best Growth Plays Out There
Sep 05Calculating The Fair Value Of MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI)
Aug 28MercadoLibre: Riding A Supersonic Growth Wave
Aug 19MercadoLibre: Like A Boss
Aug 04Should You Be Adding MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI) To Your Watchlist Today?
Jul 18MercadoLibre: It May Be Just The Beginning Of A Great Rally
Jul 08Why We Like The Returns At MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI)
Jul 04Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI)?
Jun 20Harding Loevner - MercadoLibre: Alternative Payment Systems Boosts Core Offering
Jun 12MercadoLibre: Entry Price Prohibitive In The Near Term (Rating Downgrade)
Jun 06We Think MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
May 24MercadoLibre Stock Is A Growth Beast At A Reasonable Price
May 22MercadoLibre: Another Staggering Quarter
May 04MercadoLibre: Best Quarter In Recent Memory
Apr 18MercadoLibre: LatAm's E-Commerce Juggernaut Ready To Rip Higher (Upgrade)
Apr 08MercadoLibre: An Attractively Valued Alternative To E-Commerce Giant Amazon
Mar 07MercadoLibre Q4: Long-Term Upside But Be Patient
Feb 27MercadoLibre: Clear Trajectory To Quadruple EPS By 2028
Feb 14MercadoLibre: Can It Double Revenues Every Three Years As It Transforms A Continent?
Jan 15Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2027 | 39,803 | 4,424 | 8,667 | 11,117 | 18 |
12/31/2026 | 32,856 | 3,330 | 5,053 | 8,405 | 24 |
12/31/2025 | 26,494 | 2,524 | 8,744 | 7,223 | 23 |
3/31/2025 | 22,379 | 2,061 | 6,453 | 7,437 | N/A |
12/31/2024 | 20,777 | 1,911 | 7,058 | 7,918 | N/A |
9/30/2024 | 19,127 | 1,437 | 6,187 | 6,922 | N/A |
6/30/2024 | 17,742 | 1,399 | 5,625 | 6,263 | N/A |
3/31/2024 | 16,254 | 1,130 | 5,225 | 5,793 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 15,107 | 987 | 4,631 | 5,140 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 13,700 | 987 | 4,313 | 4,754 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 12,463 | 757 | 4,116 | 4,537 | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 11,475 | 618 | 3,625 | 4,032 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 10,780 | 482 | 2,485 | 2,940 | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 9,665 | 271 | 1,601 | 2,099 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 8,833 | 237 | 1,077 | 1,640 | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 7,939 | 182 | 372 | 997 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 7,069 | 83 | 356 | 965 | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 6,266 | 78 | -21 | 521 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 5,524 | -3 | 182 | 617 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 4,699 | -16 | 680 | 1,003 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 3,974 | -4 | 935 | 1,182 | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 3,320 | -8 | 808 | 1,004 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 2,808 | -169 | 689 | 850 | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 2,475 | -209 | 78 | 227 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 2,296 | -181 | 314 | 451 | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 2,050 | -128 | 279 | 408 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 1,802 | 9 | 167 | 290 | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 1,592 | -18 | 299 | 406 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 1,440 | -37 | N/A | 231 | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 1,370 | -102 | N/A | 223 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 1,319 | -64 | N/A | 150 | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 1,268 | -48 | N/A | 127 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 1,217 | 14 | N/A | 269 | N/A |
9/30/2017 | 1,115 | 133 | N/A | 285 | N/A |
6/30/2017 | 1,041 | 144 | N/A | 372 | N/A |
3/31/2017 | 956 | 155 | N/A | 307 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 844 | 136 | N/A | 190 | N/A |
9/30/2016 | 769 | 124 | N/A | 258 | N/A |
6/30/2016 | 707 | 131 | N/A | 169 | N/A |
3/31/2016 | 661 | 134 | N/A | 171 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 652 | 106 | N/A | 221 | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 632 | 101 | N/A | 170 | N/A |
6/30/2015 | 612 | 89 | N/A | 206 | N/A |
3/31/2015 | 589 | 44 | N/A | 207 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 557 | 72 | N/A | 197 | N/A |
9/30/2014 | 530 | 79 | N/A | 158 | N/A |
6/30/2014 | 505 | 75 | N/A | 171 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: MELI's forecast earnings growth (22.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).
Earnings vs Market: MELI's earnings (22.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: MELI's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: MELI's revenue (17.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: MELI's revenue (17.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: MELI's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (41.1%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2025/05/18 01:00 |
End of Day Share Price | 2025/05/16 00:00 |
Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
MercadoLibre, Inc. is covered by 50 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
---|---|
Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |
Trevor Young | Barclays |
Yanfang Jiang | Benchmark Company |