Applied Industrial Technologies Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Applied Industrial Technologies is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.8% and 4.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 25.8% in 3 years.
Key information
6.8%
Earnings growth rate
8.01%
EPS growth rate
| Trade Distributors earnings growth | 13.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.9% |
| Future return on equity | 25.75% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 26 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 30
Applied Industrial Technologies: Slowing Growth Cannot Support Rising Valuations Indefinitely
Summary Applied Industrial Technologies has seen it stock price appreciate for years, but there could be trouble lurking underneath due to earnings growth lagging behind. The appreciation in the stock price was backed by strong growth, but lately this growth has slowed down and could slow down further in the short term. AIT may not grow fast enough in the coming years to justify elevated valuations if we go by the financial model used in a recent Investor Presentation. There is reason to think AIT has become overvalued with the way the stock has gone up, which is why I am neutral on AIT with a hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 27
AIT: Fairly Valued As Earnings Strength And Drone JV Shape Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target for Applied Industrial Technologies from $334 to about $351, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, which together support a higher valuation framework. What's in the News for Applied Industrial Technologies Q3 2026 revenue came in at US$1.25b, 5.69% above forecasts, with 7.26% year-over-year growth driven by 6% organic sales growth across segments, according to recent earnings reports.Analysis Article • Jun 18
Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) Stock Looks Slightly Rich After Drone And AI Venture News
Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) has drawn fresh attention after signing a Letter of Intent with ideaForge Technology to pursue a joint venture in drones, AI, and next-generation mobility, alongside recent earnings and analyst commentary. See our latest analysis for Applied Industrial Technologies. Against this backdrop, Applied Industrial Technologies’ recent Letter of Intent in drones and AI comes as the stock shows strong momentum, with a 30.17% year to date share price return and a...Narrative Update • Jun 13
AIT: Guidance Tweaks And Buybacks Will Shape Future Return Profile
Analysts have raised their price target on Applied Industrial Technologies by $4 to $334, citing slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly higher future P/E multiple in their updated valuation work. What's in the News Updated earnings guidance for the fiscal fourth quarter ending June 30, 2026, with EPS projected in a range of $2.85 to $2.96 and total sales growth assumed at 4.5% to 6.0% (company guidance).Narrative Update • May 29
AIT: Guidance And Buybacks Will Shape Measured Long Term Return Profile
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Applied Industrial Technologies at $330 while adjusting assumptions such as the discount rate and future P/E. This has supported a reaffirmed price target that reflects updated views on the stock's long-term risk and valuation profile.Analysis Article • May 01
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:AIT) Price Target To US$330
Investors in Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. ( NYSE:AIT ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.9% to close at...Narrative Update • May 01
AIT: Buybacks And Updated Guidance Will Support Measured Long Term Upside
Analysts have adjusted the price target for Applied Industrial Technologies to $330 from $309.17, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E that together suggest a slightly stronger long term outlook for the business. What's in the News Applied Industrial Technologies issued earnings guidance for the fiscal fourth quarter ending June 30, 2026, with EPS projected between $2.85 and $2.96 and total sales growth in a range of 4.5% to 6.0% (corporate guidance).Narrative Update • Mar 13
AIT: Dividend Hike And Active M&A Plans Will Support Future Upside
Analysts kept their price target for Applied Industrial Technologies steady at $309.17, citing only minor tweaks to underlying model inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, rather than any material shift in their view of the stock. What's in the News Updated fiscal 2026 EPS guidance to a range of $10.45 to $10.75, with assumed sales growth of 5.5% to 7.0% and organic sales growth of 2.5% to 4.0% following first half results (Corporate guidance).Narrative Update • Feb 27
AIT: Dividend Increase And M&A Pipeline Will Shape A Measured Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Applied Industrial Technologies by about $6. This reflects updated assumptions that balance a slightly lower profit margin outlook with modest adjustments to expectations for revenue growth, the discount rate, and the future P/E multiple.Analysis Article • Feb 10
Applied Industrial Technologies (NYSE:AIT) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $0.51
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. ( NYSE:AIT ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last...Analysis Article • Jan 12
Here's Why We Think Applied Industrial Technologies (NYSE:AIT) Is Well Worth Watching
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Analysis Article • Dec 18
Does Applied Industrial Technologies (NYSE:AIT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Nov 26
What Does Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.'s (NYSE:AIT) Share Price Indicate?
While Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. ( NYSE:AIT ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw...Analysis Article • Sep 22
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.'s (NYSE:AIT) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25x Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. ( NYSE:AIT ) may be sending...Narrative Update • Aug 16
Hydradyne And IRIS Acquisitions Will Boost Fluid Power Markets
The consensus analyst price target for Applied Industrial Technologies has increased, primarily reflecting a higher future P/E multiple, raising fair value from $280.71 to $300.83. What's in the News Applied Industrial Technologies provided fiscal 2026 EPS guidance of $10.00 to $10.75, with expected sales growth of 4% to 7% (1% to 4% organic).Analysis Article • Aug 12
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:AIT)?
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. ( NYSE:AIT ) led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past...Analysis Article • Jul 29
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:AIT)
Key Insights Applied Industrial Technologies' estimated fair value is US$230 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Seeking Alpha • Mar 09
Applied Industrial Technologies: Surprisingly Resilient Share Performance
Summary Shares of Applied Industrial Technologies have seen gains despite negative organic growth, as expanding valuation multiples prompt caution on my part. The company's acquisition of Hydradyne is compelling, contributing significantly to sales while Applied maintains modest leverage, but organic growth remains underwhelming. Valued at 23 times earnings, amidst negative organic growth, shares look less attractive compared to better risk-reward opportunities elsewhere. Despite a solid track record and modest net debt, the recent strong price action contrasts with the broader industrial sector's performance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 06
Applied Industrial Technologies: A Disciplined Growth Story
Summary Applied Industrial Technologies leverages M&A for growth, focusing on high-margin segments like flow control and engineered solutions to drive long-term profitability. AIT benefits from reshoring trends and increasing investment into production automation, with 88% of revenue generated in the U.S., positioning it well for future growth. Strong financial performance in FY2023, with 15.8% YoY revenue growth and a 34.3% increase in EPS, highlights effective strategic acquisitions and robust demand. Risks include supplier relationship management and M&A execution, but AIT's disciplined financial strategy and focus on industry consolidation offer promising growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 06
Applied Industrial Technologies Can Continue To Outperform
Summary AIT's organic growth is expected to accelerate due to pent-up demand, reshoring, automation trends, and a strong acquisition pipeline. Margins should improve from operating leverage, productivity initiatives, and focus on high-margin markets, despite recent headwinds from volume deleverage and higher costs. AIT trades at a discount to peers like W.W. Grainger and Fastenal, with potential for upward estimate revisions and continued valuation re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2029 | 5,673 | 500 | 492 | 532 | 1 |
| 6/30/2028 | 5,452 | 475 | 470 | 502 | 4 |
| 6/30/2027 | 5,184 | 441 | 440 | 466 | 8 |
| 6/30/2026 | 4,907 | 405 | 390 | 422 | 8 |
| 3/31/2026 | 4,839 | 404 | 439 | 466 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,754 | 404 | 458 | 488 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,664 | 402 | 455 | 484 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,563 | 393 | 465 | 492 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,499 | 389 | 439 | 465 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,479 | 386 | 401 | 426 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,483 | 384 | 407 | 433 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,479 | 386 | 347 | 371 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,477 | 374 | 409 | 432 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,462 | 374 | 400 | 423 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,446 | 364 | 359 | 384 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,413 | 347 | 317 | 344 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,316 | 334 | 191 | 218 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,165 | 305 | 172 | 195 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,981 | 281 | 145 | 165 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,811 | 257 | 169 | 188 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,645 | 238 | 157 | 172 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,505 | 225 | 149 | 164 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,380 | 163 | 193 | 208 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,236 | 145 | 226 | 242 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 3,065 | 116 | 314 | 330 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,055 | -23 | 335 | 351 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,137 | 20 | 310 | 329 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,246 | 24 | 277 | 297 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,403 | 34 | 250 | 273 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,458 | 133 | N/A | 220 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,465 | 134 | N/A | 219 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,473 | 144 | N/A | 181 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,488 | 145 | N/A | 177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,430 | 165 | N/A | 192 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,257 | 157 | N/A | 150 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,073 | 142 | N/A | 147 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,857 | 154 | N/A | 134 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,709 | 147 | N/A | 140 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,650 | 140 | N/A | 132 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,594 | 134 | N/A | 165 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,546 | 107 | N/A | 149 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,500 | 33 | N/A | 174 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,502 | 33 | N/A | 189 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,519 | 30 | N/A | 162 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,563 | 32 | N/A | 207 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,610 | 105 | N/A | 187 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,691 | 111 | N/A | 188 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AIT's forecast earnings growth (6.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: AIT's earnings (6.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (18.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AIT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: AIT's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AIT's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AIT's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (25.8%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/06 21:42 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Manthey | Baird |
| Andrew Obin | BofA Global Research |
| Sabrina Abrams | BofA Global Research |