D-Wave Quantum Inc.

NasdaqGS:QBTS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.1b

D-Wave Quantum Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

D-Wave Quantum is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.3% and 44.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 32% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -13.5% in 3 years.

Key information

23.3%

Earnings growth rate

31.96%

EPS growth rate

Software earnings growth20.1%
Revenue growth rate44.7%
Future return on equity-13.48%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated03 Aug 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article May 15

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) After Its First-Quarter Results

D-Wave Quantum Inc. ( NYSE:QBTS ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jul 28

QBTS: Government Support And AT&T Expansion Will Drive Future Quantum Adoption

Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for D-Wave Quantum to about $25.09 from $26.35, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate and lower profit margin assumptions, even as they incorporated expectations for very large revenue growth and a reduced future P/E multiple supported by recent sector-wide Buy ratings and refreshed price targets in the $29 to $45 range. Analyst Commentary Recent research on D-Wave Quantum points to strong interest in quantum computing, with several firms assigning Buy ratings and setting price targets between $29 and $45.
Seeking Alpha Jul 27

D-Wave Quantum: A Lagging Roadmap And Overvalued Stock

Summary D-Wave Quantum Inc. remains overvalued, with revenue lagging peers and a delayed technology roadmap. QBTS faces heightened risk from reliance on SkyWater, now subject to IonQ's acquisition, potentially deprioritizing D-Wave's annealing program. Despite a strong cash position ($588M), QBTS's projected 2026 revenue of $35M implies a lofty 171x P/S multiple, well above competitors. I assign a fair value of $9.5 per share—implying 40% downside—given weak sales momentum and inferior strategic positioning. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jul 10

QBTS: Government Quantum Initiatives Will Support Dual Platform Roadmap Execution

The analyst fair value estimate for D-Wave Quantum has been adjusted from $48.00 to $45.00 as analysts balance stronger long-term growth assumptions with updated discount rates and recent Street research citing supportive government actions, higher price targets from several firms, and clear demand signals tempered by mixed quarterly results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around D-Wave Quantum points to a mix of supportive sector news, updated price targets, and fresh views on its product roadmap.
Narrative Update Jun 26

QBTS: Federal Quantum Funding Will Support Dual-Platform Roadmap Execution

The analyst price target for D-Wave Quantum has moved upward toward $40, with analysts citing clearer government support for quantum computing, stronger commercial engagement, and a more defined gate-model roadmap as key reasons for the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research on D-Wave Quantum highlights a mix of optimism around government support, commercial traction, and the gate-model roadmap, alongside some caution on execution and valuation risk.
Analysis Article Jun 18

D Wave Quantum (QBTS) Stock Could Be 39.3% Undervalued After CHIPS Act Support

D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) is back in focus after the U.S. government outlined up to $100 million in CHIPS Act support, the company detailed a 2032 100-logical-qubit roadmap, and several Wall Street analysts turned more optimistic. See our latest analysis for D-Wave Quantum. D-Wave Quantum’s share price has swung sharply around this news, with a 1 month share price return of 35.73% and a 3 month share price return of 56.96%. The stock is still down 12.23% year to date, while a 1 year total...
Analysis Article May 15

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) After Its First-Quarter Results

D-Wave Quantum Inc. ( NYSE:QBTS ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...
Seeking Alpha Apr 27

D-Wave Quantum: A Speculative Bet On The Quantum Wave

Summary Investing in D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS) requires belief in quantum computing's potential and a long-term outlook due to high volatility and speculations. Quantum computing is in its early stages, akin to investing in the 1990s internet infrastructure, with significant risks and potential for transformative impact across industries. QBTS stands out with its quantum annealing tech, but faces competition and risks from evolving gate-based quantum algorithms and high speculative valuation. Consider QBTS as a speculative bet with potential; better to wait for price corrections around earnings for a more favorable entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 25

D-Wave: Too Complex, Too Uncertain, Just Avoid

Summary D-Wave Quantum's recent breakthrough in annealing quantum computing led to a 27% stock price jump, but I recommend selling due to high risks and uncertain profitability. The company's valuation is extremely high, with a price-to-sales ratio of 182, not suitable for investment. Technological breakthroughs, research funding, and industry growth are potential risks to my bearish thesis, but I assign a low probability to D-Wave's success. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 17

D-Wave Quantum: A Hot Stock, But I'll Pass

Summary I love the idea of quantum computing space, but D-Wave Quantum Inc.’s revenue visibility is too uncertain for my investment style. Paying 75x forward sales is a tough pill to swallow, especially when growth isn’t guaranteed. While D-Wave has a strong cash position, I question the sustainability of its recent momentum. I’ll be watching QBTS stock from the sidelines but need more consistent growth before jumping in. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 10

D-Wave: I No Longer See An Asymmetric Risk/Reward Bet

Summary I believe D-Wave thrived in a bull market, but the current macro environment no longer supports high-risk, high-beta plays. I believe D-Wave's stock moves more on external factors than on company achievements, as seen in weak reactions to major announcements like the first-ever HPC customer. I see paying 9.5x book value for a cash-burning company with $178M in reserves as unsustainable, especially in a tightening market. This year, I foresee a shift from speculative tech stocks to consumer defensives as inflation concerns and GDP slowdown reshape investor priorities. Given D-Wave’s 4.1 beta and broader market trends, I anticipate a significant decline, potentially into the $2–$3 range, before it finds a bottom. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 24

D-Wave Quantum: Another Rally To Sell

Summary D-Wave Quantum's stock has soared recently, but the business prospects haven't improved proportionally, leading to a bearish investment thesis. Despite having advanced quantum technology, D-Wave faces stiff competition from tech giants like Microsoft, limiting its market potential and revenue growth. The company raised significant cash through ATM offerings, but it remains far from achieving meaningful revenues, with 2025 estimates at just $16 million. Investors should consider cashing out during the rally, as D-Wave's high valuation and competition risk make it a less attractive long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 22

D-Wave Quantum: Large TAM And First-Mover Advantage

Summary D-Wave Quantum, the first commercial quantum computing company, serves over 130 clients, including major firms like Mastercard and Lockheed Martin, with strong growth momentum. The company has a large and rapidly growing TAM, with significant potential in quantum hardware, software, and services, driven by its full stack offerings. Despite recent stock volatility due to comments from NVIDIA and Meta CEOs, QBTS CEO asserts the company is commercially ahead of competitors. Given the high volatility, I recommend a Hold rating on QBTS, awaiting more clarity on the commercialization roadmap before making a buying decision. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:QBTS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028144-175-157-13210
12/31/202786-176-156-15116
12/31/202643-138-140-13716
3/31/202612-368-103-98N/A
12/31/202525-355-76-72N/A
9/30/202524-399-55-52N/A
6/30/202522-282-53-51N/A
3/31/202521-132-52-50N/A
12/31/20249-144-45-43N/A
9/30/20249-74-61-59N/A
6/30/202410-67-60-58N/A
3/31/202410-76-60-59N/A
12/31/20239-83-61-61N/A
9/30/20238-84-57-57N/A
6/30/20237-79-53-53N/A
3/31/20237-66-50-49N/A
12/31/20227-54-46-45N/A
9/30/20227-50-42-42N/A
6/30/20227-43-37-36N/A
3/31/20227-34-35-33N/A
12/31/20216-32-37-35N/A
12/31/20205-10-30-29N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: QBTS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: QBTS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: QBTS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: QBTS's revenue (44.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: QBTS's revenue (44.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: QBTS is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/08/05 21:33
End of Day Share Price 2026/08/05 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

D-Wave Quantum Inc. is covered by 20 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David WilliamsBenchmark Company
Gary MobleyBenchmark Company
Craig EllisB. Riley Securities, Inc.