Ares Commercial Real Estate Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Ares Commercial Real Estate is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 174.2% and 16.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 123.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 2.4% in 3 years.
Key information
174.2%
Earnings growth rate
123.8%
EPS growth rate
| Mortgage REITs earnings growth | 56.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | 16.7% |
| Future return on equity | 2.4% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 20 Sep 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Ares Commercial Real Estate: 14% Undercovered Yield, But There Is Hope
Sep 13Ares Commercial: Another Big Loan Goes On Non-Accrual
Aug 08Ares Commercial Real Estate: 14% Yield Might Be Sustainable
May 19Ares Commercial: Another Distribution Cut Highly Probable In 1 Year
Apr 14Ares Commercial Real Estate: The Safest Dividend Is The One That's Just Been Cut (Upgrade)
Mar 14Ares Commercial: Dividend Cut, What Now?
Feb 26Ares Commercial: Dividend Cut Highly Probable In 2024
Feb 14Ares Commercial Real Estate: Still Threatened By Declining Asset Values (Rating Downgrade)
Feb 07Ares Commercial Real Estate: Dividend Cut Potentially Incoming In 2024 (Rating Downgrade)
Jan 03Ares Commercial: You've Been Warned About This 13.4% Yield
Dec 0314%-Yielding Ares Commercial Real Estate: We're Beyond The Sweet Spot
Nov 14A Defensive Dividend That Pays A Massive 13% Yield: Ares Commercial RE
Oct 02Ares Commercial Real Estate: Enticing 12.6% Yield, But No Longer A Buy (Downgrade)
Sep 2514%-Yielding Ares Commercial Real Estate: The Market Is Way Too Pessimistic
Aug 23Ares Commercial: High Dividends Don't Lie And The Worst Is Likely Over
Jul 22Ares Commercial Real Estate: A Risky 14% Yield
Jun 04Ares Commercial Real Estate: 12% Yield And High Margin Of Safety
Feb 22Ares Commercial Real Estate Non-GAAP EPS of $0.44 beats by $0.07, revenue of $30.4M beats by $3.04M
Feb 15Ares Commercial Real Estate: High Dividend Yield, Still Undervalued
Feb 09Ares Commercial: I Am Getting A 12.5% Yield On My Last Purchase
Jan 08Ares Commercial At 13% Yield Is A Gift
Jan 02Ares Commercial Stock: 11% Dividend Yield And 16% Discount To Book Value
Nov 09Ares Commercial Real Estate Q3 2022 Earnings Preview
Nov 01Ares Commercial: I Am Buying This Fat 13.1% Yield
Oct 13Ares Commercial: A 10% Yield You Won't Want To Miss
Sep 15Ares Commercial: 9.8% Yield, Robust Portfolio Growth, 0.93x Book Value
Aug 24Ares Commercial Real Estate Q2 2022 Earnings Preview
Jul 28Ares Commercial: 9.3% Yield And Discount To Book Value
Jun 14Ares Commercial: 8.6% Dividend Yield That Can Rise With Rates
May 17Ares Commercial: Kick Back And Watch The Dividends Roll In
Apr 09Ares Commercial: I Reach For Higher Yield When It Reaches For Me
Jan 25Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 85 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2025 | 70 | 31 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2024 | 68 | -9 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 6/30/2024 | 51 | -49 | 44 | 44 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 37 | -45 | 47 | 47 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1 | -39 | 47 | 47 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 42 | 3 | 52 | 52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 29 | -5 | 51 | 51 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 42 | 7 | 52 | 52 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 60 | 30 | 57 | 57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 78 | 44 | 60 | 60 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 91 | 53 | 58 | 58 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 100 | 61 | 55 | 55 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 102 | 60 | 48 | 48 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 94 | 58 | 39 | 39 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 97 | 63 | 37 | 37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 91 | 55 | 33 | 33 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 63 | 22 | 32 | 32 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 59 | 17 | 30 | 30 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 56 | 11 | 30 | 30 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 56 | 11 | 34 | 34 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 77 | 37 | 32 | 32 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 70 | 37 | 36 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 64 | 38 | 37 | 37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 56 | 38 | 36 | 36 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 55 | 39 | 39 | 39 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 52 | 35 | 36 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 52 | 36 | 36 | 36 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 49 | 33 | N/A | 35 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 46 | 30 | N/A | 31 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 48 | 32 | N/A | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 45 | 28 | N/A | -8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 45 | 27 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 45 | 26 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 45 | 25 | N/A | 73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 45 | 25 | N/A | 87 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 47 | 26 | N/A | 169 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 50 | 27 | N/A | 277 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 60 | 29 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 63 | 27 | N/A | 42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 69 | 27 | N/A | -105 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 38 | 23 | N/A | -217 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 63 | 19 | N/A | 7 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 60 | 22 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 47 | 18 | N/A | 32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 35 | 14 | N/A | 25 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ACRE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.5%).
Earnings vs Market: ACRE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: ACRE is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ACRE's revenue (16.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ACRE's revenue (16.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ACRE's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (2.4%).