T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TROW Stock Report

Market Cap: US$20.2b

T. Rowe Price Group Valuation

Is TROW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TROW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$158.57
Fair Value
42.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TROW ($91.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($158.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TROW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TROW?

Key metric: As TROW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TROW. This is calculated by dividing TROW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TROW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.3x
EarningsUS$1.96b
Market CapUS$20.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TROW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TROW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
NTRS Northern Trust
8.8x-12.2%US$19.0b
STT State Street
9.7x4.3%US$25.8b
BEN Franklin Resources
28.4x20.6%US$10.5b
SEIC SEI Investments
16.6x5.5%US$10.0b
TROW T. Rowe Price Group
10.3x3.5%US$20.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TROW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TROW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

19 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
4.1xn/aUS$2.27b
CET Central Securities
4.5xn/aUS$1.30b
ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals
2.5xn/aUS$548.02m
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
TROW 10.3xIndustry Avg. 25.3xNo. of Companies73PE020406080100+
19 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TROW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (25.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TROW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TROW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.3x
Fair PE Ratio14.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TROW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TROW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$91.65
US$93.00
+1.5%
12.4%US$125.00US$78.00n/a13
Apr ’26US$92.27
US$109.00
+18.1%
8.0%US$125.00US$90.00n/a13
Mar ’26US$105.72
US$110.50
+4.5%
8.0%US$125.00US$90.00n/a14
Feb ’26US$116.92
US$113.36
-3.0%
8.3%US$126.00US$91.00n/a14
Jan ’26US$113.09
US$115.79
+2.4%
8.6%US$132.00US$92.00n/a14
Dec ’25US$123.84
US$114.14
-7.8%
6.2%US$129.00US$105.00n/a14
Nov ’25US$112.06
US$112.93
+0.8%
5.5%US$127.00US$102.00n/a14
Oct ’25US$107.11
US$111.79
+4.4%
7.1%US$125.00US$99.00n/a14
Sep ’25US$106.04
US$113.54
+7.1%
6.8%US$125.00US$99.00n/a13
Aug ’25US$112.03
US$115.58
+3.2%
6.3%US$125.00US$101.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$113.85
US$116.08
+2.0%
6.9%US$125.00US$101.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$117.83
US$115.33
-2.1%
7.3%US$125.00US$101.00n/a12
May ’25US$110.30
US$114.83
+4.1%
6.8%US$125.00US$101.00US$88.1212
Apr ’25US$120.30
US$105.77
-12.1%
6.4%US$115.00US$92.00US$92.2713
Mar ’25US$113.48
US$104.85
-7.6%
6.4%US$115.00US$92.00US$105.7213
Feb ’25US$109.87
US$100.92
-8.1%
6.3%US$110.00US$90.00US$116.9213
Jan ’25US$107.69
US$94.29
-12.4%
7.7%US$102.00US$79.00US$113.0912
Dec ’24US$102.45
US$91.50
-10.7%
6.6%US$101.00US$79.00US$123.8412
Nov ’24US$90.97
US$91.83
+0.9%
8.7%US$110.00US$80.00US$112.0612
Oct ’24US$104.87
US$107.25
+2.3%
11.3%US$123.00US$83.00US$107.1112
Sep ’24US$112.90
US$107.75
-4.6%
11.2%US$123.00US$83.00US$106.0412
Aug ’24US$121.09
US$106.50
-12.0%
10.8%US$123.00US$83.00US$112.0312
Jul ’24US$112.02
US$95.08
-15.1%
11.6%US$110.00US$73.00US$113.8513
Jun ’24US$108.38
US$95.08
-12.3%
11.6%US$110.00US$73.00US$117.8313
May ’24US$111.31
US$94.15
-15.4%
15.3%US$115.00US$67.00US$110.3013
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
US$93.00
Fair Value
1.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/04 14:50
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen BiggarArgus Research Company
Roger FreemanBarclays
Benjamin BudishBarclays