Flowers Foods (FLO) Stock Overview
Produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 5/6 |
FLO Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 89 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$16.12
FV
52.0% undervalued intrinsic discount1.15%
Revenue growth p.a.
4.4k
users have viewed this narrative6users have liked this narrative
2users have commented on this narrative
36users have followed this narrative
Flowers Foods, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$7.74 |
| 52 Week High | US$16.85 |
| 52 Week Low | US$6.80 |
| Beta | 0.40 |
| 1 Month Change | 1.18% |
| 3 Month Change | -12.05% |
| 1 Year Change | -52.40% |
| 3 Year Change | -68.74% |
| 5 Year Change | -67.15% |
| Change since IPO | 17,281.15% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 20
Flowers Foods: The Deal Behind Its First Dividend Cut In 24 Years
Summary Flowers Foods (FLO) faces headwinds after a $846.2M debt-financed acquisition and a recent dividend cut, challenging its historical stability. FLO's valuation is pressured by sector-wide derating tied to interest rates and internal factors, notably the costly Simple Mills acquisition. The dividend cut, ending a 24-year growth streak, signals diminished income appeal and has driven away income-focused investors. I rate FLO a hold, with fair value in the $8.35–10.57 range on $465–495M EBITDA at 7.5–8x, reflecting current business fundamentals. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 22
FLO: Index Shift And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Stability
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Flowers Foods to $9.00 from $10.67, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions, softer revenue growth estimates, modestly lower profit margin expectations, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Flowers Foods Flowers Foods confirmed earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, with expected net sales of approximately US$5.163b to US$5.267b and net income per diluted share of US$0.71 to US$0.81.
Narrative Update • Jun 06
FLO: Brand Relaunch And Margin Focus Will Shape A Fair Outlook
Analysts have reduced their price targets on Flowers Foods, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions, softer revenue growth expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by a modestly stronger profit margin outlook. Together, these factors point to a more conservative valuation in dollar terms.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 20
Flowers Foods: The Deal Behind Its First Dividend Cut In 24 Years
Summary Flowers Foods (FLO) faces headwinds after a $846.2M debt-financed acquisition and a recent dividend cut, challenging its historical stability. FLO's valuation is pressured by sector-wide derating tied to interest rates and internal factors, notably the costly Simple Mills acquisition. The dividend cut, ending a 24-year growth streak, signals diminished income appeal and has driven away income-focused investors. I rate FLO a hold, with fair value in the $8.35–10.57 range on $465–495M EBITDA at 7.5–8x, reflecting current business fundamentals. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 22
FLO: Index Shift And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Stability
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Flowers Foods to $9.00 from $10.67, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions, softer revenue growth estimates, modestly lower profit margin expectations, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Flowers Foods Flowers Foods confirmed earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, with expected net sales of approximately US$5.163b to US$5.267b and net income per diluted share of US$0.71 to US$0.81.Narrative Update • Jun 06
FLO: Brand Relaunch And Margin Focus Will Shape A Fair Outlook
Analysts have reduced their price targets on Flowers Foods, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions, softer revenue growth expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by a modestly stronger profit margin outlook. Together, these factors point to a more conservative valuation in dollar terms.Narrative Update • May 15
FLO: Softer Revenue Assumptions And Margin Uplift Will Shape Fair Outlook
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target on Flowers Foods, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, modestly softer revenue growth expectations, a small improvement in projected profit margins, and a steadier forward P/E outlook on the stock. What's in the News From October 5, 2025 to January 3, 2026, Flowers Foods did not repurchase any shares under its existing buyback program, with 0 shares repurchased for US$0 million in this period (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 29
FLO: Impairment Charge And Weaker Sales Outlook Will Pressure Earnings
Analysts have made a modest trim to their price target on Flowers Foods, reflecting slightly lower discount rate assumptions, a small adjustment to expected revenue trends, a minor uptick in projected profit margins, and a marginally reduced future P/E estimate. What's in the News Flowers Foods reported impairment of intangible assets of $135,981,000 for the 13-week period ended January 3, 2026, which directly affects reported earnings for that quarter (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 14
FLO: Impairment And Softer Outlook Will Pressure Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Flowers Foods from $10.00 to $7.00, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions, softer revenue growth expectations, a modestly higher profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple in their updated price target work. What's in the News Flowers Foods updated its outlook for the 52-week fiscal 2026, guiding to net sales of approximately US$5.163b to US$5.267b, which it describes as a 1.8% decline to a 0.2% change compared to the prior year (Corporate guidance).Narrative Update • Mar 31
FLO: Updated Guidance And Impairment Reset Will Support Long Term Earnings Stability
Analysts have reduced their price target on Flowers Foods from $13.17 to $10.67, citing updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Flowers Foods reported impairment of intangible assets of $135,981,000 for the 13-week period ended January 3, 2026, which directly affects reported earnings quality and book value (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 17
FLO: Impairment Charge And Guidance Reset Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have lifted their price target on Flowers Foods to $10.00 from $10.00, reflecting updated views on a slightly higher discount rate, softer revenue growth and margin expectations, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Flowers Foods reported an impairment of intangible assets of $135,981,000 for the 13-week period ended January 3, 2026, which is a non cash charge that affects reported earnings but not cash flow in that quarter (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 03
FLO: Lower Fair Value And Impairment Will Support Bullish Forward Returns
Analysts now see fair value for Flowers Foods at $14.00, down from $17.00. They cite updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that together suggest a more tempered outlook for the shares.Narrative Update • Feb 17
FLO: Intangible Impairment And Sales Outlook Will Support Bullish Long-Term Case
Analysts have maintained their $17.00 price target on Flowers Foods, citing updated assumptions that now include a modestly higher discount rate, flat revenue expectations, lower profit margin forecasts, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Flowers Foods reported an impairment of intangible assets of $135,981,000 for the 13 week period ended January 3, 2026, which is a non cash charge tied to the value of certain acquired or existing intangible assets (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 03
FLO: Updated Guidance And Acquisition Synergies Will Support Long Term Earnings Stability
Analysts have nudged their price target on Flowers Foods higher to about US$13.17 from roughly US$12.71, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Flowers Foods reported that from July 13, 2025 to October 4, 2025 it repurchased 0 shares for US$0 million, and stated that it has completed a total buyback of 73,300,000 shares for US$761.5 million under the program announced on December 19, 2002 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 20
FLO: Future Earnings Guidance Will Support Bullish Long-Term Opportunity
Analysts have reduced their price target on Flowers Foods from US$20.00 to US$17.00. They attribute the change to updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, slightly different revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Jan 05
FLO: Updated Outlook Will Balance New CFO Transition And Acquisition Integration
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Flowers Foods from US$12.00 to US$10.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Flowers Foods reported that from July 13, 2025 to October 4, 2025, it repurchased 0 shares for US$0 million, while completing a long running buyback totaling 73,300,000 shares, or 32.72%, for US$761.5 million under the program announced on December 19, 2002 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 14
FLO: Upcoming CFO Transition Will Support Long Term Earnings Stability
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Flowers Foods, citing a slightly higher assumed discount rate, stable revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple that together support a valuation of approximately $12.71 per share. What's in the News Completed a long-running share repurchase program, buying back a total of 73.3 million shares for $761.5 million since the buyback was announced in 2002 (company filing) Updated fiscal 2025 guidance, now expecting net sales of approximately $5.254 billion to $5.306 billion, reflecting 2.9% to 4.0% growth, with a partial-year Simple Mills contribution of $221 million to $223 million and EPS of $0.85 to $0.91 (company guidance) Provided guidance that, excluding the Simple Mills acquisition, net sales are projected between $5.033 billion and $5.083 billion, a decline of 1.4% to 0.4% year over year, slightly improved from prior expectations (company guidance) Announced the planned retirement of long-serving CFO Steve Kinsey at the end of 2025, with a formal search underway for his successor and Kinsey expected to remain in an advisory role during the transition (company announcement) Named D.Narrative Update • Nov 28
FLO: Upcoming CFO Transition And Acquisition Will Support Continued Stability
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Flowers Foods to $12.71, citing ongoing stable revenue growth and consistent profit margins as key factors in their revised outlook. What's in the News Flowers Foods revised its earnings guidance for the 53-week Fiscal 2025, expecting net sales of $5.254 billion to $5.306 billion.Analysis Article • Nov 17
Flowers Foods (NYSE:FLO) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.2475
Flowers Foods, Inc.'s ( NYSE:FLO ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.2475 per share on 12th of December...Narrative Update • Nov 14
FLO: Leadership Transition Will Drive Long-Term Performance And Stability
Analysts have revised their price target for Flowers Foods downward from $15.14 to $12.71, citing softer expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a slightly higher discount rate impacting future valuations. What's in the News Flowers Foods, Inc.Narrative Update • Oct 31
FLO: CFO Transition And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Flowers Foods by $0.14 to $15.14. They cited minor downward revisions in long-term profit margin estimates, even though revenue growth projections remain steady.Analysis Article • Oct 30
Weekly Picks: 🤝 Alphabet's Anthropic Deal And 2 More Picks
This week’s picks cover: Why Alphabet’s Anthropic deal could justify a re-rating higher, how Flower Foods' turnaround plans support the >7% dividend yield, and why TMX Group is a reliable high-quality compounder at a fair price.
New Narrative • Oct 22
Flowers Foods Pays A Fair Price For Health
Our initial price target for Flower Foods is set at $16.12. As Flower Foods has been crippled with poor earnings and higher margins, a spark in M&A will push the company out of constant stagnation.Narrative Update • Oct 16
Low-Carb Trends And Retail Shifts Will Erode Margins
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Flowers Foods from $15.71 to $15.29, citing softer anticipated revenue growth and a modest reduction in projected profit margins. What's in the News Chief Financial Officer Steve Kinsey will retire at the end of 2025 after 36 years with Flowers Foods.Analysis Article • Aug 29
Flowers Foods (NYSE:FLO) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.2475
Flowers Foods, Inc. ( NYSE:FLO ) will pay a dividend of $0.2475 on the 19th of September. This means the annual payment...Narrative Update • Aug 19
Expanding Dave's Killer Bread And Simple Mills Will Capitalize On Shifting Consumer Preferences
The notable downward revision in Flowers Foods’ price target reflects reduced confidence in both revenue growth and profitability outlook, leading to a new consensus fair value of $16.29. What's in the News Flowers Foods lowered its earnings guidance for Fiscal 2025, with expected net sales now at $5.239 billion to $5.308 billion, below prior estimates.Analysis Article • Jul 08
Are Investors Undervaluing Flowers Foods, Inc. (NYSE:FLO) By 48%?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Flowers Foods fair value estimate is US$30.36 Flowers Foods...Analysis Article • Jun 17
Little Excitement Around Flowers Foods, Inc.'s (NYSE:FLO) Earnings
Flowers Foods, Inc.'s ( NYSE:FLO ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.8x might make it look like a buy right now...Analysis Article • May 27
We Think Flowers Foods' (NYSE:FLO) Solid Earnings Are Understated
Flowers Foods, Inc.'s ( NYSE:FLO ) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over...Analysis Article • May 25
Flowers Foods (NYSE:FLO) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Flowers Foods, Inc. ( NYSE:FLO ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 3.1% on the 19th...Analysis Article • May 16
We Think Shareholders Are Less Likely To Approve A Pay Rise For Flowers Foods, Inc.'s (NYSE:FLO) CEO For Now
Key Insights Flowers Foods' Annual General Meeting to take place on 22nd of May CEO A. McMullian's total compensation...Seeking Alpha • Apr 22
Flowers Foods, Inc: Transition Toward Better-For-You Offerings Amid Core Category Weakness
Summary Flowers Foods faces near-term challenges in white bread and sweet baked goods, but growth in better-for-you brands like Dave’s Killer Bread offers support. Higher Selling, Distribution & Administrative expenses and volume deleverage are expected to pressure margins, justifying a Hold rating until growth clarity improves. The acquisition of Simple Mills and focus on organic, healthy options align with evolving consumer preferences, potentially offsetting core brand volume declines. Ongoing weakness in the company’s mainstream product categories leads me to take a cautious stance, supporting a Hold rating on the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 29
Flowers Foods, Inc. (NYSE:FLO) Shares Could Be 42% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Flowers Foods fair value estimate is US$32.81 Current share...Analysis Article • Mar 11
Is Flowers Foods (NYSE:FLO) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Feb 21
Flowers Foods (NYSE:FLO) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.24
The board of Flowers Foods, Inc. ( NYSE:FLO ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.24 per share on the 14th...Shareholder Returns
| FLO | US Food | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -8.8% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 1Y | -52.4% | -7.0% | 15.1% |
Return vs Industry: FLO underperformed the US Food industry which returned -7% over the past year.
Return vs Market: FLO underperformed the US Market which returned 15.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| FLO volatility | |
|---|---|
| FLO Average Weekly Movement | 7.1% |
| Food Industry Average Movement | 5.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: FLO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: FLO's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1919 | 10,300 | A. McMullian | www.flowersfoods.com |
Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States. The company’s principal products include fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, tortillas, baking mixes, and frozen breads and rolls as well as snack items including bars, cakes, cookies, and crackers. The company offers its products under the Nature’s Own, DKB, Canyon Bakehouse, Simple Mills, Wonder, and Tastykake brand names.
Flowers Foods, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| FLO fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$1.64b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$72.88m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$5.27b |
22.5x
P/E Ratio0.3x
P/S RatioIs FLO overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| FLO income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$5.27b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$2.70b |
| Gross Profit | US$2.57b |
| Other Expenses | US$2.50b |
| Earnings | US$72.88m |
Last Reported Earnings
Apr 25, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.34 |
| Gross Margin | 48.72% |
| Net Profit Margin | 1.38% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 132.9% |
How did FLO perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
12.8%
Current Dividend Yield287%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/24 04:37 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/24 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/04/25 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/03 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Flowers Foods, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Donald McLee | Berenberg |
| Amit Sharma | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Kenneth Zaslow | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |