Knorr-Bremse Valuation

Is KBX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KBX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KBX (€71.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€120.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KBX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KBX?

Key metric: As KBX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KBX. This is calculated by dividing KBX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KBX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.3x
Earnings€599.93m
Market Cap€11.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KBX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KBX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.8x
8TRA Traton
5.5x8.4%€13.8b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
8.1x11.9%€27.3b
KGX KION GROUP
12.9x17.2%€4.4b
JUN3 Jungheinrich
8.9x6.9%€2.5b
KBX Knorr-Bremse
19.3x10.8%€11.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KBX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the peer average (8.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KBX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
KBX 19.3xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KBX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KBX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KBX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.3x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KBX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KBX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€71.80
€76.91
+7.1%
14.0%€90.00€55.00n/a15
Nov ’25€74.25
€77.27
+4.1%
14.1%€91.50€55.00n/a15
Oct ’25€78.80
€75.97
-3.6%
14.3%€90.00€50.00n/a15
Sep ’25€74.35
€74.97
+0.8%
14.1%€88.00€50.00n/a16
Aug ’25€71.30
€74.78
+4.9%
13.8%€87.00€50.00n/a16
Jul ’25€70.85
€73.84
+4.2%
13.6%€87.00€50.00n/a16
Jun ’25€70.60
€73.84
+4.6%
13.6%€87.00€50.00n/a16
May ’25€69.55
€71.00
+2.1%
13.2%€86.00€48.00n/a16
Apr ’25€70.10
€68.00
-3.0%
12.4%€79.00€46.00n/a16
Mar ’25€66.08
€68.00
+2.9%
12.4%€79.00€46.00n/a16
Feb ’25€58.22
€66.00
+13.4%
13.5%€79.00€45.00n/a16
Jan ’25€58.80
€65.31
+11.1%
14.7%€79.00€45.00n/a16
Dec ’24€57.82
€65.31
+13.0%
14.7%€79.00€45.00n/a16
Nov ’24€52.38
€65.81
+25.6%
14.6%€79.00€45.00€74.2516
Oct ’24€60.18
€67.25
+11.7%
13.4%€79.00€45.00€78.8016
Sep ’24€63.30
€68.56
+8.3%
10.2%€79.00€55.00€74.3516
Aug ’24€63.54
€68.38
+7.6%
9.8%€78.00€55.00€71.3016
Jul ’24€69.98
€68.31
-2.4%
7.9%€78.00€60.00€70.8516
Jun ’24€64.48
€68.06
+5.6%
7.4%€75.00€60.00€70.6016
May ’24€63.44
€66.27
+4.5%
7.5%€75.00€60.00€69.5515
Apr ’24€61.28
€69.07
+12.7%
15.8%€105.00€60.00€70.1015
Mar ’24€65.90
€68.36
+3.7%
17.8%€105.00€53.00€66.0814
Feb ’24€60.86
€64.73
+6.4%
19.5%€105.00€51.00€58.2215
Jan ’24€51.04
€64.00
+25.4%
19.6%€105.00€51.00€58.8015
Dec ’23€55.14
€64.40
+16.8%
19.8%€105.00€51.00€57.8215
Nov ’23€47.10
€64.43
+36.8%
20.8%€105.00€49.00€52.3814

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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