Pilot Valuation

Is 7846 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7846 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7846 (¥5022) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥8963)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7846 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7846?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

7846 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.6x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7846's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7846 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.5x
7994 Okamura
10.5x3.4%JP¥189.7b
7976 Mitsubishi Pencil
12.6x-6.4%JP¥146.3b
7984 Kokuyo
15.2x4.2%JP¥313.4b
7972 Itoki
11.8x16.5%JP¥80.3b
7846 Pilot
14.3x8.6%JP¥193.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7846 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7846's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7846 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the JP Commercial Services industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7846's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7846 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.3x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7846 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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