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NRG Energy, Inc.NYSE:NRG Stock Report

Market Cap US$29.5b
Share Price
US$152.54
My Fair Value
US$203
24.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y91.0%
7D-12.3%
Portfolio Value
​
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NRG Energy, Inc.

NYSE:NRG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$29.5b

NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Overview

Operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. More details

NRG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends4/6

Rewards

Trading at 50.9% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 16.51% per year

Risk Analysis

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

Profit margins (1.5%) are lower than last year (7%)

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months


NRG Community Fair Values

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See what 69 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

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NRG Energy

Electrification And Decentralized Energy Solutions Will Drive Long-Run Value

Key Takeaways Expansion in data center power agreements, virtual power platforms, and residential VPPs could drive recurring, high-margin revenue growth and increased market share. Supportive policy incentives and grid shifts enhance financing, reduce capital risk, and position NRG for outperformance as electrification and distributed energy trends accelerate.
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US$203.00
FV
24.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
11.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
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2users have followed this narrative
3 days ago author updated this narrative
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NRG Energy

Electrification And Digital Integration Will Shape Future Position

Key Takeaways Strong positioning for long-term recurring revenue growth through data center demand, electrification trends, and premium-margin power agreements. Integration of smart home and virtual power plant technologies is driving higher customer retention, operational efficiency, and incremental revenue opportunities.
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US$174.45
FV
12.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
3.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
38users have followed this narrative
4 days ago author updated this narrative
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NRG Energy

Fossil Portfolios Will Struggle Yet Renewables May Lift Margins

Key Takeaways Expansion into natural gas and reliance on legacy assets increase long-term risk as renewables, distributed energy, and regulatory pressures intensify. Volatile earnings and pressured shareholder returns result from slow data center contract execution, growing competition, and high capital outlays for modernization and acquisitions.
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US$110.28
FV
38.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
0.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
0users have followed this narrative
2 days ago author updated this narrative
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NRG Energy, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for NRG Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$152.54
52 Week HighUS$175.96
52 Week LowUS$76.13
Beta1.14
1 Month Change1.23%
3 Month Change-2.66%
1 Year Change90.99%
3 Year Change261.04%
5 Year Change332.12%
Change since IPO1,484.83%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Is NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) A Risky Investment?

Jul 18
Is NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) A Risky Investment?

NRG Energy: Data Center Boom And Texas Growth Key To Electrify Long-Term Growth

Jul 18

At US$152, Is NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Jun 23
At US$152, Is NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Results: NRG Energy, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

May 15
Results: NRG Energy, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRG) Shares Leap 40% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

May 04
NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRG) Shares Leap 40% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

NRG Energy: Attractively Priced As Demand Ratchets Up

Mar 11

We Like The Quality Of NRG Energy's (NYSE:NRG) Earnings

Mar 10
We Like The Quality Of NRG Energy's (NYSE:NRG) Earnings

Is There Now An Opportunity In NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG)?

Jan 14
Is There Now An Opportunity In NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG)?

NRG Energy: Soaring Consumer Demand Sees Its Upside Potential

Jan 14

NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares

Dec 24
NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares

NRG Energy: Electrifying Growth, But Overvalued

Dec 18

NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Dec 03
NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NRG Energy: I'm Buying The Growth In Texas And Beyond

Nov 09

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG)?

Sep 09
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG)?

NRG Energy: Decent Valuation To Add This Strong Utility Player In Your Portfolio

Sep 04

NRG: Darkhorse AI Energy Play

Aug 27
author-image

Texas Energy Ventures Face Market Fluctuations And Critical Risks

Pursuit of new projects and reliance on volatile power markets may increase NRG Energy's financial unpredictability, affecting cash flows and earnings stability.

NRG Energy: Fundamentals Remain Strong, Staying With The Buy Rating Despite Recent Rally

May 16

NRG Energy, Inc. - Changes Within Has Been Quick And Impressive

Feb 14

NRG Energy: Well-Positioned For Long-Term Growth

Feb 06

Shareholder Returns

NRGUS Electric UtilitiesUS Market
7D-12.3%0.6%2.4%
1Y91.0%14.4%20.2%

Return vs Industry: NRG exceeded the US Electric Utilities industry which returned 14.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: NRG exceeded the US Market which returned 20.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is NRG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
NRG volatility
NRG Average Weekly Movement9.5%
Electric Utilities Industry Average Movement2.6%
Market Average Movement6.5%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market17.6%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: NRG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: NRG's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
198915,637Larry Cobenwww.nrg.com

NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through Texas; East; West/Services/Other; Vivint Smart Home; and Corporate Activities segments. The company produces and sells electricity generated using coal, oil, solar, and battery storage; natural gas; and a cloud-based home platform, including hardware, software, sales, installation, customer service, technical support, and professional monitoring solutions.

NRG Energy, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do NRG Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
NRG fundamental statistics
Market capUS$29.51b
Earnings (TTM)US$455.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$29.37b
64.8x
P/E Ratio
1.0x
P/S Ratio

Is NRG overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
NRG income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$29.37b
Cost of RevenueUS$24.30b
Gross ProfitUS$5.07b
Other ExpensesUS$4.61b
EarningsUS$455.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.35
Gross Margin17.25%
Net Profit Margin1.55%
Debt/Equity Ratio478.0%

How did NRG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.2%
Current Dividend Yield
76%
Payout Ratio

Does NRG pay a reliable dividends?

See NRG dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy NRG by to receive an upcoming dividend?
NRG Energy dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateAug 01 2025
Dividend Pay DateAug 15 2025
Days until Ex dividend10 days
Days until Dividend pay date4 days

Does NRG pay a reliable dividends?

See NRG dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/08/11 07:44
End of Day Share Price 2025/08/08 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NRG Energy, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nicholas CampanellaBarclays
Daniel FordBarclays
James ThalackerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research