Argan (AGX) Stock Overview
Through its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, maintenance, project development, and technical consulting services to the power generation market in the United States, Republic of Ireland, and the United Kingdom. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 6/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
AGX Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 227 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$284.68
FV
126.4% overvalued intrinsic discount13.31%
Revenue growth p.a.
2.2k
users have viewed this narrative7users have liked this narrative
3users have commented on this narrative
25users have followed this narrative
Argan, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$644.64 |
| 52 Week High | US$748.50 |
| 52 Week Low | US$184.35 |
| Beta | 0.61 |
| 1 Month Change | 4.75% |
| 3 Month Change | 47.31% |
| 1 Year Change | 227.28% |
| 3 Year Change | 1,443.68% |
| 5 Year Change | 1,197.58% |
| Change since IPO | 699.47% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 14
AGX: AI Power Demand Hype Will Likely Outrun Execution Risks
Argan's analyst price target has been lifted by $169 overall, as analysts point to recent upgrades, higher targets from multiple firms and expectations that growing AI and data center power demand could support the company's longer term earnings profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are pointing to a series of higher price targets, including increases of $50 and $119, as a sign that the recent upgrades are being backed by higher valuation frameworks rather than small, incremental tweaks.Seeking Alpha • May 02
Argan: Expanding Margins And A $2.9 Billion Backlog Justify A Strong Buy
Summary Argan is rated 'Strong Buy' as macro trends in AI and data center demand drive a robust $2.9B backlog, up from $1.4B YoY. AGX's revenue growth slowed to 12.7% YoY in Q4 2026, but I expect reacceleration as the backlog converts to revenue over the next 3+ years. Despite a 69x P/E, AGX's projected 32% revenue growth and margin expansion to 20%+ justify a fair market cap 34–88% above current levels. Key risks include macroeconomic shifts impacting AI spend and potential delays in backlog conversion, but management’s track record supports confidence. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • May 14
AGX: AI Power Demand Hype Will Likely Outrun Execution Risks
Argan's analyst price target has been lifted by $169 overall, as analysts point to recent upgrades, higher targets from multiple firms and expectations that growing AI and data center power demand could support the company's longer term earnings profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are pointing to a series of higher price targets, including increases of $50 and $119, as a sign that the recent upgrades are being backed by higher valuation frameworks rather than small, incremental tweaks.Seeking Alpha • May 02
Argan: Expanding Margins And A $2.9 Billion Backlog Justify A Strong Buy
Summary Argan is rated 'Strong Buy' as macro trends in AI and data center demand drive a robust $2.9B backlog, up from $1.4B YoY. AGX's revenue growth slowed to 12.7% YoY in Q4 2026, but I expect reacceleration as the backlog converts to revenue over the next 3+ years. Despite a 69x P/E, AGX's projected 32% revenue growth and margin expansion to 20%+ justify a fair market cap 34–88% above current levels. Key risks include macroeconomic shifts impacting AI spend and potential delays in backlog conversion, but management’s track record supports confidence. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 26
AGX: AI Power Demand Tailwinds Will Likely Overpromise Versus Execution
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their average Argan price target by roughly $170, pointing to recent target hikes from Lake Street and Goldman Sachs and citing renewed interest following JPMorgan's upgrade and expectations that growing AI and data center power demand could support the company's project pipeline. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Argan highlights both optimism and caution, with price target changes and rating moves framing how different analysts are weighing the stock's risk and reward trade off.
New Narrative • Apr 11
AI Power Demand Will Drive Riskier Gas Projects And Weaker Margins Ahead
Catalysts About Argan Argan provides engineering, procurement and construction services for large power generation, industrial and teledata projects, with a heavy focus on complex natural gas facilities. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Apr 10
AGX: AI Power Demand Tailwinds Will Likely Prove Overdiscounted
Analyst fair value estimates for Argan have been reset higher from $373.80 to $473.20. The shift is tied to updated views on revenue growth, profitability and valuation following recent price target increases and upgrades from several firms that highlight potential benefits from rising power demand linked to AI and data centers.
New Narrative • Mar 28
Electrification And Aging Power Infrastructure Will Support Long Term Earnings Strength
Catalysts About Argan Argan provides engineering, procurement and construction services for large, complex power generation, industrial and data infrastructure projects across its Power, Industrial and Teledata segments. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 27
AGX: AI Power Demand And Index Additions Will Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update on Argan The analyst price target for Argan now sits at $425, with analysts pointing to potential benefits from rising power demand tied to AI and data centers. This increased demand could accelerate the need for firm generation capacity.Narrative Update • Mar 11
AGX: AI Power Demand Reliance Will Sustain Excessive Optimism
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Argan from $361.0 to $373.8, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside fresh Street research that highlights potential benefits from rising power demand tied to AI and data centers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research frames Argan as a company with clear exposure to rising power demand tied to AI and data centers, but also as a name where investors need to weigh execution risk and valuation discipline.
New Narrative • Mar 03
Argan Inc. (AGX): The Energy Transition Architect – Scaling Gas and Renewables with a $3 Billion Backlog in 2026.
Argan Inc. (AGX) is currently positioned as a critical infrastructure engine in the power generation sector, trading at $439.59 as of the March 3, 2026, close.Narrative Update • Feb 25
AGX: Completed Buyback And M&A Hunt Will Sustain Excessive Optimism
Analysts have kept Argan's price target steady at $361.00, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and future P/E. This reflects updated assumptions rather than a change in the overall view.Narrative Update • Feb 10
AGX: Buybacks And M&A Pipeline Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Argan steady at US$361.00, with only marginal tweaks to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. This reflects a reaffirmed view rather than a material shift in outlook.Narrative Update • Jan 27
AGX: Texas Gas Power Backlog And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update on Argan Analysts have lifted their price target for Argan to $397, citing fresh Buy initiations and upgrades that describe the company as a pure-play way to gain exposure to combined cycle gas power generation and a growing backlog of gas-fired projects in Texas. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Argan focuses on its role as a pure-play contractor tied to combined cycle and gas-fired power projects, particularly in Texas, and what that could mean for execution risk and valuation if the current project pipeline plays out as expected.Analysis Article • Jan 17
Optimistic Investors Push Argan, Inc. (NYSE:AGX) Shares Up 29% But Growth Is Lacking
Argan, Inc. ( NYSE:AGX ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month...Narrative Update • Jan 11
AGX: AI-Fueled Gas Power Backlog Will Drive Future Earnings Potential
Analysts have nudged their price expectations for Argan higher, with the average target rising from $361 to $397 as they highlight the company’s pure play exposure to combined cycle gas power generation, growing gas-fired project backlog, and what they see as strong earnings potential tied to AI driven power demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research takes a mostly constructive view on Argan, with analysts focusing on its exposure to combined cycle gas power projects and the role of its Gemma Power Systems unit in supplying new gas-fired capacity tied to growing power needs, including AI related demand.Narrative Update • Dec 26
AGX: AI-Driven Gas Projects Will Support Backlog While Execution Risks Will Persist
Analysts have modestly raised their blended price target on Argan to $369 from $361, as they factor in accelerating gas-fired power project awards, a strengthening multi-year backlog in combined cycle generation, and greater earnings leverage from the AI-driven power demand cycle. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that Argan is increasingly viewed as a direct, pure-play way to participate in the combined cycle gas power buildout, which they see as a multi-year structural growth theme supported by rising AI-related electricity demand.Narrative Update • Dec 11
AGX: AI-Driven Gas Projects Will Support Backlog While Execution Risks Persist
Analysts have raised their price target on Argan to $361 from $295.75, citing the company’s unique leverage to growing combined cycle gas power generation demand, a deepening multi-year backlog, and expanding gas turbine pricing tailwinds that support a higher future earnings multiple, despite slightly tempered growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that Argan’s role as a pure play contractor on combined cycle gas projects positions the company as a direct beneficiary of structurally higher power demand, particularly from artificial intelligence data centers.Narrative Update • Nov 27
AGX: Record Project Backlog Will Raise Risks From Construction Delays Ahead
Argan's analyst price target has risen substantially to $295.75 from $262.00. Analysts expect stronger backlog growth, margin expansion, and a leading role in gas power generation project activity to drive significant value for shareholders.Analysis Article • Nov 22
Optimistic Investors Push Argan, Inc. (NYSE:AGX) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking
Argan, Inc. ( NYSE:AGX ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last...Narrative Update • Nov 11
AGX: Rising Backlog Exposure Will Heighten Risks From Project Delays Ahead
Analysts have maintained Argan's fair value estimate at $262. This decision reflects continued industry optimism and increased project activity, supported by rising backlogs and margin expectations despite a modest uptick in the discount rate.Narrative Update • Oct 27
Power Demand Cycle And Project Backlog Will Drive Multi-Year Expansion
Argan's analyst price target has risen significantly, with projections now at $315 from the prior $220. Analysts cite surging demand for AI-driven power infrastructure and robust project backlogs as key factors supporting a more optimistic outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 13
North American Grid Modernization And AI Demand Will Drive Projects
Argan's analyst price target has been raised from $230.33 to $262.00 per share. Analysts cite record project backlogs, improving margins, and robust demand from accelerating power infrastructure investment as key drivers for the upward revision.Analysis Article • Oct 08
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Argan, Inc. (NYSE:AGX) After Shares Rise 27%
The Argan, Inc. ( NYSE:AGX ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. The...Narrative Update • Sep 06
Texas Gas And Illinois Solar Projects Will Expand Capacity
Analysts raised Argan’s price target to $230.33, citing stronger-than-expected Q2 margins, an improving operating environment, and supportive demand outlook. Analyst Commentary Better-than-expected Q2 margins delivered by the company.Analysis Article • Jul 15
Are Argan, Inc. (NYSE:AGX) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Argan's estimated fair value is US$177 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Argan is estimated to be...Analysis Article • Jun 28
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Argan (NYSE:AGX) Presents An Opportunity
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Analysis Article • Jun 10
Weekly Picks: 📊 OXY's Diversification Strategy, AGX's Tailwinds, and SAP's Valuation Risks
This week's picks cover: Occidental’s 10 year vision to become an energy powerhouse, why Argan’s success will come from its tailwinds and management team, plus, why SAP’s price today may not be the best entry point.Analysis Article • Jun 10
OXY's
This week's picks cover: Occidental’s 10 year vision to become an energy powerhouse, why Argan’s success will come from its tailwinds and management team, and why SAP’s price today may not be the best entry point.
New Narrative • Jun 05
Argan's Revenue Set to Soar with a 13.31% Growth in the Coming Decade
Material and Labor InflationConstruction material costs (steel, concrete, lumber) have risen 15–20% since 2020 due to supply chain disruptions and tariffs. For AGX, which relies on these inputs for poAnalysis Article • May 27
Market Participants Recognise Argan, Inc.'s (NYSE:AGX) Earnings Pushing Shares 34% Higher
Despite an already strong run, Argan, Inc. ( NYSE:AGX ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last...Analysis Article • May 22
We Like Argan's (NYSE:AGX) Returns And Here's How They're Trending
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will...Seeking Alpha • Apr 18
Argan: Don't Be Fooled Into Buying This Dip
Summary Argan stock survived a 45% steep drop into the abyss, and has recovered admirably from its March lows. AGX's growth prospects are driven by electricity demand from AI data centers, manufacturing reshoring, and renewable energy. However, Trump's tariffs policy whiplash has threatened to scupper its bullish thesis, while navigating tremendous uncertainties in infra spending outlook. AGX's valuation multiples seem primed for a deeper compression if its growth outlook were to falter amidst tougher economic conditions or trade tensions. I argue why this isn't the type of dips I will buy into, and urge investors to consider sitting this one out. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| AGX | US Construction | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -13.0% | -8.9% | -0.8% |
| 1Y | 227.3% | 104.6% | 27.1% |
Return vs Industry: AGX exceeded the US Construction industry which returned 104.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: AGX exceeded the US Market which returned 27.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| AGX volatility | |
|---|---|
| AGX Average Weekly Movement | 13.4% |
| Construction Industry Average Movement | 8.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: AGX's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: AGX's weekly volatility (13%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1961 | 1,409 | David Watson | www.arganinc.com |
Argan, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, maintenance, project development, and technical consulting services to the power generation market in the United States, Republic of Ireland, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Power, Industrial, and Teledata. Its Power segment offers engineering, procurement, and construction, as well as designing, building, and commissioning of large-scale energy projects; and design, construction, project management, start-up, and operation, as well as provides technical consulting services; and turbine, boiler, and large rotating equipment.
Argan, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| AGX fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$8.80b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$137.77m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$944.61m |
65.3x
P/E Ratio9.5x
P/S RatioIs AGX overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| AGX income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$944.61m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$752.73m |
| Gross Profit | US$191.88m |
| Other Expenses | US$54.10m |
| Earnings | US$137.77m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jan 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Jun 04, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 9.87 |
| Gross Margin | 20.31% |
| Net Profit Margin | 14.59% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0% |
How did AGX perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
0.3%
Current Dividend Yield17%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/21 11:13 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Argan, Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Moore | CJS Securities, Inc. |
| Sergey Glinyanov | Freedom Broker |
| Drew Chamberlain | J.P. Morgan |