Polaris Renewable Energy Inc.

TSX:PIF Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$257.7m

Polaris Renewable Energy Valuation

Is PIF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PIF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PIF (CA$12.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$26.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PIF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PIF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PIF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.7x
PEG Ratio2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PIF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PIF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.5x
WEB Westbridge Renewable Energy
2.7xn/aCA$86.2m
RNW TransAlta Renewables
42.2x46.4%CA$3.3b
BLX Boralex
38.1x16.7%CA$3.6b
NPI Northland Power
87.1x13.3%CA$5.7b
PIF Polaris Renewable Energy
24.5x11.4%CA$257.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PIF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the peer average (42.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PIF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Renewable Energy Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-23.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-23.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PIF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the North American Renewable Energy industry average (19.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PIF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PIF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.5x
Fair PE Ratio24.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PIF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PIF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$12.23
CA$22.65
+85.2%
19.1%CA$32.02CA$19.01n/a6
Sep ’25CA$12.12
CA$22.65
+86.8%
19.1%CA$32.02CA$19.01n/a6
Aug ’25CA$12.64
CA$22.76
+80.1%
19.5%CA$32.44CA$19.12n/a6
Jul ’25CA$12.82
CA$22.50
+75.5%
19.8%CA$32.13CA$19.05n/a6
Jun ’25CA$13.80
CA$22.74
+64.8%
19.5%CA$31.99CA$18.97n/a6
May ’25CA$11.65
CA$22.65
+94.4%
19.3%CA$31.56CA$18.91n/a6
Apr ’25CA$11.73
CA$22.99
+96.0%
16.4%CA$30.97CA$19.98n/a6
Mar ’25CA$11.71
CA$22.99
+96.3%
16.4%CA$30.97CA$19.98n/a6
Feb ’25CA$13.80
CA$25.07
+81.7%
20.0%CA$34.28CA$19.89n/a5
Jan ’25CA$13.23
CA$25.38
+91.8%
20.9%CA$35.00CA$19.82n/a5
Dec ’24CA$12.98
CA$25.38
+95.5%
20.9%CA$35.00CA$19.82n/a5
Nov ’24CA$13.29
CA$26.91
+102.5%
27.1%CA$40.73CA$20.30n/a5
Oct ’24CA$14.18
CA$26.90
+89.7%
23.2%CA$40.09CA$20.04CA$12.566
Sep ’24CA$14.96
CA$26.90
+79.8%
23.2%CA$40.09CA$20.04CA$12.126
Aug ’24CA$14.43
CA$26.43
+83.2%
24.4%CA$40.03CA$19.47CA$12.646
Jul ’24CA$14.25
CA$26.99
+89.4%
23.8%CA$40.62CA$20.06CA$12.826
Jun ’24CA$14.14
CA$26.99
+90.9%
23.8%CA$40.62CA$20.06CA$13.806
May ’24CA$13.31
CA$26.79
+101.3%
23.2%CA$40.07CA$20.39CA$11.656
Apr ’24CA$13.32
CA$26.93
+102.2%
23.6%CA$40.39CA$20.02CA$11.736
Mar ’24CA$13.56
CA$26.84
+98.0%
22.7%CA$39.96CA$20.98CA$11.716
Feb ’24CA$14.36
CA$26.66
+85.6%
22.5%CA$39.63CA$21.00CA$13.806
Jan ’24CA$14.07
CA$27.01
+92.0%
22.7%CA$40.21CA$21.11CA$13.236
Dec ’23CA$14.81
CA$27.01
+82.4%
22.7%CA$40.21CA$21.11CA$12.986
Nov ’23CA$16.75
CA$29.38
+75.4%
23.7%CA$41.57CA$20.80CA$13.295
Oct ’23CA$16.26
CA$29.81
+83.3%
23.4%CA$41.78CA$20.90CA$14.185

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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