Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Merck’s 2026 narrative is a high-stakes drama centered on Keytruda , the world’s top-selling cancer drug. For years, the market has treated Merck like a "one-trick pony" due to the looming 2028 "patent cliff," where Keytruda will lose its legal protection and face generic competition.Read more
Recommendation: I remain sidelined, NEUTRAL (HOLD );— Slight bearish tilt Rating agencies' views reinforce a mixed picture: post-acquisition upgrades (Fitch to 'B+' IDR with 'BB' notes, Moody's to B2 stable, Morningstar DBRS to B(high) positive trend, S&P to 'B-' stable) reflect improved scale, synergy potential, and deleveraging path, with projected adjusted EBITDA margins largely resilient at 37-38% (S&P over 2025-2027), ~38% (Morningstar DBRS), and above 35% (Fitch pre-revision emphasis on margin expansion via integration). However, Fitch revised its outlook to Negative in December 2025 due to "material exposure to increased UK taxation," which will result in lower-than-previously-expected EBITDA (though not quantified as a sharp margin drop—management mitigated the 2026 impact to ~4% via €84M offsets, revising FY2026 EBITDA guidance to €420-440M from prior higher targets).Read more
In a nutshell: Hims & Hers’ recent investments are overlooked by investors, but they signal strongly revenue growth is not slowing down. The Starting Point Some analysts have low estimates for future revenue growth (approx.Read more

DMCI Holdings, Inc. is a diversified engineering conglomerate in the Philippines, engaged in construction, real estate, energy, mining, and water services.Read more
Palantir’s journey into 2026 is the story of a "Black Box" defense contractor that successfully transformed into the central nervous system of the global enterprise. Once whispered about in the halls of intelligence agencies, the company’s Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) has moved from secretive government basements to the front lines of heavy industry and sovereign AI alliances.Read more
Stripping away the seemingly "boring" exterior of rubber compounding and looking at the company’s true nature: an extremely disciplined M&A machine with a relentless focus on operational excellence 1. The Narrative: "The Consolidation Engine" Niche Dominance: Hexpol doesn't compete on price for bulk products.Read more

Credit Corp Group Limited ASX: CCP Market Cap: AU$923.0m Weighted Average Number of Shares: 80.37m The Business CCP’s main business is acquiring portfolios of bad debts from financial institutions and collecting on them for profit. As the original lenders write off these debts, the portfolios are generally bought at a discount.Read more

O Futuro da Pfizer (PFE): Uma Narrativa de Transição e Resiliência No final de 2025, a Pfizer Inc. (PFE) encontra-se em um momento pivotal de sua história.Read more

Investment thesis Apple is a mature but exceptionally durable compounder. While iPhone unit growth is structurally limited, Apple’s ecosystem, pricing power, and expanding high-margin Services segment support steady revenue growth and faster earnings and free cash flow growth.Read more




