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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
22
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
59
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Tate & Lyle
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Regulatory And Integration Hurdles Will Constrain Upside But Spur Revaluation
Key Takeaways Integration challenges, rising compliance costs, and volatile supply chains may delay expected growth and put sustained pressure on margins and earnings momentum. Slower innovation uptake, regulatory risks, and uneven global demand could constrain revenue acceleration and postpone stronger company valuation.
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UK£5.90
FV
9.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Lynas Rare Earths
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Recycling Advances And Harsh Regulations Will Undermine Rare Earth Demand
Key Takeaways Structural demand risks loom as recycling technology and material substitution lower future pricing power and sales growth for core products. Rising resource nationalism, regulatory pressures, and facility concentration threaten profitability through higher costs, operational disruptions, and intense global competition.
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AU$4.90
FV
120.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
40.86%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Getinge
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Rising Tariffs And Regulation Will Squeeze Margins
Key Takeaways Escalating trade tensions and regulatory scrutiny are driving up costs and suppressing revenue growth, challenging profitability and supply chain stability. Market shifts toward value-based procurement and ongoing compliance issues threaten traditional revenue streams, highlighting urgent need for digital transformation and product innovation.
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SEK 165.00
FV
14.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.15%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
NKT
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Rising Competition Will Squeeze Margins Even As Capacity Expansions Offer Slight Relief
Key Takeaways Intensifying competition and increased supplier prequalification are reducing pricing power and squeezing margins, particularly in key European power grid markets. Structural challenges and investment-driven costs are leading to persistent margin pressure, earnings volatility, and uncertainty in long-term revenue visibility.
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DKK 403.00
FV
40.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.74%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Neoenergia
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
High Capital Costs And Regulatory Risks Will Undermine Earnings
Key Takeaways Rising regulatory, ESG, and decarbonization demands will squeeze margins, restrict investment options, and challenge Neoenergia's ability to sustain historical returns. Growing capital and technology investment needs, coupled with regulatory risks and shrinking traditional electricity demand, will exert sustained pressure on earnings and financial flexibility.
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R$24.10
FV
2.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-4.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Nomura Research Institute
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
International Expansion Will Secure Future Revenue Stability
Key Takeaways Strategic international expansion in Vietnam and the U.S. suggests potential for increased revenue and profit from diversified markets. Upward profit forecasts in multiple business units indicate a positive future outlook for earnings and profitability.
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JP¥5.75k
FV
5.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tourmaline Oil
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Montney And Deep Basin Expansions Will Lower Costs And Improve Future Performance
Key Takeaways Expansion in production capacity and strategic hedging are set to drive revenue growth and improve realized prices despite local market fluctuations. Planned infrastructure investments aim to increase condensate production and lower operational costs, enhancing net margins and financial performance.
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CA$76.53
FV
24.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
33.88%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
63
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tech Mahindra
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 42 Analysts
BFSI And Healthcare Expansion Will Unlock Global Opportunities
Key Takeaways Strategic focus on high-growth verticals and geographic expansion is expected to drive revenue growth. AI-driven innovations and operational efficiencies are likely to expand margins and enhance earnings quality.
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₹1.63k
FV
11.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Valmet Oyj
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Digitalization And Regulatory Shifts Will Cripple Traditional Paper Demand
Key Takeaways Ongoing decline in traditional paper and pulp demand, combined with alternative packaging trends, threatens Valmet's core revenue streams and order growth prospects. Regulatory, environmental, and supply chain pressures heighten operational costs and risks, squeezing margins and challenging long-term profitability.
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€19.41
FV
61.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
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