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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
41
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
23.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
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ArcBest
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Automation, Regulation And Reshoring Will Dismantle Freight Dominance
Key Takeaways Automation and new logistics technologies threaten ArcBest's traditional business model by enabling customers to bypass third-party providers and intensifying industry competition. Rising regulatory, labor, and modernization costs combined with shifting manufacturing patterns may suppress profitability, margin expansion, and long-term growth prospects.
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US$72.00
FV
0.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
CVR Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Global Energy Transition Will Strain Aging Refining Assets
Key Takeaways Stricter energy transition policies and limited diversification expose the company to shrinking fuel demand, market share loss, and long-term earnings instability. Reliance on older assets, heightened regulatory risks, and ESG trends increase operating costs, limit financing options, and threaten profitability and liquidity.
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US$19.00
FV
42.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.39%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
LGI Homes
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Structural Challenges Will Erode Future Housing Profitability
Key Takeaways Shrinking affordability and intensified regulatory pressures are expected to weigh on unit sales, margins, and long-term growth in LGI Homes' core markets. Heavy reliance on first-time buyers and concentrated geographic exposure heighten risks from economic downturns, credit tightening, and regional oversupply.
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US$47.00
FV
39.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.63%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Progress Software
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Cloud Migration Risks Will Erode Margins Yet Prompt Renewal
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on acquisitions and legacy products exposes Progress Software to margin pressures, integration challenges, and risks from shifting enterprise technology trends. Cloud migration, competition from hyperscale vendors, and customer consolidation threaten recurring revenue streams and future top-line growth.
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US$57.00
FV
19.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
International Seaways
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Global Decarbonization Will Crush Oil Transport Margins
Key Takeaways Shifting energy demand, regulatory costs, and fleet modernization needs are likely to erode profitability and constrain returns to shareholders. Market oversupply and reliance on volatile spot rates threaten revenue stability and long-term margin preservation.
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US$44.00
FV
5.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
UFP Technologies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Intuitive And Stryker Dependence Will Strain Operations But Stabilize
Key Takeaways High customer concentration and operational disruptions create revenue volatility and margin pressure, especially if major clients or production efficiency are negatively impacted. Reliance on acquisitions and shifting trade dynamics heighten integration risks and long-term cost pressures, potentially diluting earnings and straining the balance sheet.
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US$289.00
FV
24.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.82%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Marriott Vacations Worldwide
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Aging Demographics And Climate Risks Will Imperil The Hospitality Market
Key Takeaways Demographic shifts and changing consumer preferences threaten long-term timeshare sales growth and recurring revenues. Rising competition, climate risks, and escalating operating costs put sustained pressure on margins and earnings potential.
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US$64.00
FV
17.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
19.91%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Criteo
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Stricter Privacy Laws And Rising Costs Will Undermine Ad Targeting
Key Takeaways Shifting privacy regulations and platform restrictions are diminishing Criteo's targeting capabilities, causing declining revenue and eroding its competitive position. Intensifying competition from tech giants and rising operational costs challenge market share, margins, and earnings stability.
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US$25.00
FV
5.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-17.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Crescent Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Stricter Climate Policies Will Burden Oil Operations Yet Support Resilience
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on acquisitions and commodity price exposure makes earnings and cash flow vulnerable to market volatility and scarcity of attractive assets. Climate regulations, investor scrutiny, and the energy transition could raise compliance costs, restrict funding, and pressure long-term margins and growth opportunities.
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US$10.00
FV
5.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-0.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
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