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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
67
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Divi's Laboratories
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 29 Analysts
Global Regulations And Trade Tensions Will Hamper Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Increased compliance costs and shifting industry trends threaten margins and growth, as evolving pharma demands move away from Divi's core small molecule focus. Heavy reliance on limited products and major overseas customers exposes Divi's to revenue instability, margin pressures, and risks from geopolitical disruptions.
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₹4.63k
FV
40.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Geely Automobile Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 24 Analysts
Rising Tariffs And Supply Chain Woes Will Limit EV Profitability
Key Takeaways Exposure to geopolitical risks and supply chain volatility could severely impact international expansion, revenue stability, and operational consistency. Technological disruption and fierce EV competition may erode market share, compress margins, and outpace Geely's investments in R&D and product innovation.
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HK$16.59
FV
9.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Prada
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Heavy Asia-Pacific Reliance Will Weaken Stability But Offer Cautious Optimism
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on Asia-Pacific and emerging markets exposes Prada to risks from regional economic turbulence and regulatory changes, potentially increasing earnings volatility. High operating costs, rising climate compliance expenses, and threats to brand exclusivity from counterfeits could constrain profitability and limit the benefits of Prada's strategic investments.
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HK$52.45
FV
20.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
SBI Life Insurance
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 33 Analysts
India's Aging Population And Fintech Challengers Will Pressure Margins
Key Takeaways Demographic shifts, disruptive competitors, and evolving consumer preferences threaten long-term premium growth, margins, and the relevance of traditional life insurance products. Heavy reliance on the State Bank of India network creates concentration risk, making SBI Life vulnerable to partner underperformance or regulatory changes.
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₹1.51k
FV
21.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hugo Boss
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Digital Commerce And Asia's Middle Class Will Transform Luxury Retail
Key Takeaways Brand repositioning, celebrity partnerships, and digital innovation are driving stronger-than-expected revenue growth and premiumization across expanded global markets. Leaner supply chains, cost efficiencies, and geographic diversification position Hugo Boss for improved profitability and stability despite macroeconomic uncertainties.
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€60.18
FV
32.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Kelsian Group
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
US And UK Urbanization Will Expand Low-Emission Transit
Key Takeaways Structural margin improvements and strategic cost initiatives position Kelsian for sustained profitability outperformance relative to consensus expectations. Global decarbonization trends and urbanization drive long-term contract growth, expanding stable revenues and supporting ambitious international expansion.
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AU$5.60
FV
34.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.57%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Mattr
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Modern Manufacturing And Energy Transition Will Create New Opportunities
Key Takeaways Rapid operational efficiency gains and post-tariff recovery in U.S. manufacturing are poised to fuel margin expansion and outpace conservative analyst expectations. Strategic positioning in electrification, nuclear, and energy transition markets, coupled with rising demand for composite solutions, is set to drive superior revenue and margin growth.
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CA$18.00
FV
32.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Evolution
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Tightening Regulation And Tech Disruption Will Shrink Market Opportunity
Key Takeaways Stricter regulations and rising anti-gambling sentiment in key markets are shrinking Evolution's addressable market, limiting revenue growth and long-term earnings visibility. Increased competition, technological disruption, and adoption of responsible gaming tools are driving up costs, compressing margins, and challenging Evolution's ability to differentiate its offerings.
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SEK 617.21
FV
39.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.63%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Aperam
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Decarbonization And Circular Economy Will Support Global Demand
Key Takeaways Aperam's unique supply chain integration, recycling focus, and regional leadership position it to outpace industry growth, capture market share, and sustain premium pricing as demand shifts to green materials. Strategic moves in specialty and defense alloys, as well as regulatory advantages in low-carbon steel, are set to drive transformative changes in revenue mix and profit margins.
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€37.00
FV
32.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
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