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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
27.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
43.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
41.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
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Palomar Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Acquisition Of First Indemnity Of America Will Open New Market Opportunities
Key Takeaways Strategic acquisitions and market entry, like the surety market, are set to drive long-term growth, positively impacting revenue and earnings. Reduction in reinsurance costs and strategic risk retention aim to enhance earnings and improve underwriting profitability.
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US$182.83
FV
28.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
25.15%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Oriental Land
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Fantasy Springs And Urban Asia Will Expand Park Appeal
Key Takeaways Management's strategic moves and technology upgrades are set to enable higher attendance, spending, and margin expansion beyond market expectations. Oriental Land's integrated model and pricing power position it for resilient, compounding growth fueled by booming Asian tourism and premium experiences.
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JP¥5.42k
FV
42.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
UFP Technologies
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Safe Patient Handling Expansion And Dominican Production Will Advance MedTech
Key Takeaways Expansion in the safe patient handling space and Dominican operations is expected to boost revenue and margins through efficiency and shared savings. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships in MedTech are set to enhance earnings and market presence, with a focus on robotic surgery and customer relationships.
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US$311.00
FV
21.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
People's Insurance Company (Group) of China
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Digital Transformation And China's Rising Middle Class Will Spur Opportunity
Key Takeaways Proprietary AI and digital initiatives are expected to boost efficiency, claims automation, and product customization, driving substantial outperformance in margins and revenue. Strategic global expansion, leadership in health and NEV insurance, and regulatory agility position PICC to capture outsized growth as insurance demand rises.
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HK$6.68
FV
5.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.99%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Advantest
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
AI Adoption And 3Nm Complexity Will Shape Testing Markets
Key Takeaways Accelerating AI, advanced packaging, and custom ASIC adoption could push tester demand and margins beyond current expectations, with recurring service agreements lifting profitability. Strategic moves into automation and new markets create diversified revenue streams, reducing cyclicality and supporting sustained, long-term growth and technological leadership.
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JP¥15.55k
FV
33.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
29.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Gulfport Energy
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Liquids Focus And Cost Reductions Will Lead To Improved 2025 Prospects
Key Takeaways Gulfport Energy plans to boost liquids production and optimize costs to improve margins and enhance cash flow despite maintaining stable overall production. Strategic hedging and stock repurchases aim to stabilize cash flow and potentially boost EPS, leveraging volatile market conditions for growth.
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US$226.64
FV
25.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
22.82%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Lloyds Banking Group
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Digital Banking And UK Demographics Will Fuel Enduring Lending Opportunities
Key Takeaways Lloyds is positioned for lasting revenue and earnings growth via retail franchise strength, digital innovation, and fee-based income diversification. Structural advantages in UK mortgages and wealth management, along with cost efficiencies, support margin expansion and superior profitability.
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UK£1.00
FV
21.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.41%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Four Corners Property Trust
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Diversification Into Medical And Automotive Sectors Will Support Future Earnings Stability
Key Takeaways Improved cost of capital and substantial liquidity position FCPT for favorable acquisitions and enhanced earnings growth opportunities. Diversification into stable sectors like medical and automotive alongside restaurant assets may maintain or increase net margins.
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US$29.88
FV
12.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.95%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Haleon
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Aging Global Demand And Digital Reach Will Drive Consumer Healthcare
Key Takeaways Global expansion, innovation, and strong brand positioning are expected to drive multiyear revenue growth and margin improvement beyond current market expectations. Operational efficiencies, digital strategies, and China integration are likely to enhance profitability, free cash flow, and competitive advantage over the long term.
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UK£5.03
FV
27.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.38%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
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