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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
25.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
New
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ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
25.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
New
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Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
5.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
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Universal Music Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
AI Disruption And Shifting Trends Will Erode Catalog Value
Key Takeaways AI-driven music and fragmented digital consumption threaten UMG's catalog value, market share, and streaming revenues by empowering cheaper, independent, and synthetic alternatives. Shifting consumer preferences and rising internal costs are diminishing UMG's pricing power and profitability while exposing vulnerabilities from overreliance on superstar-driven content.
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€22.00
FV
10.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Eroding Demand And Rising Costs Will Threaten Legacy Systems
Key Takeaways Declining demand for fossil fuel-based products, stricter regulations, and competition from low-cost manufacturers threaten revenue, margins, and market share. Restructuring actions, trade barriers, and geopolitical shifts increase costs, limit exports, and delay sustainable earnings growth.
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JP¥2.65k
FV
49.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.92%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Deutsche Post
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Trade Tensions And Regulatory Shifts Will Strain Margins
Key Takeaways Trade tensions, regulatory shifts, and declining shipment volumes put sustained pressure on revenue, margins, and earnings growth amid weakening global demand. Rising sustainability costs and competition from disruptors are expected to erode market share and constrain Deutsche Post's ability to expand margins and cash flow.
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€34.00
FV
22.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
BAE Systems
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Government Spending Cuts And Rising Costs Will Undermine Revenues
Key Takeaways Shifting defense budgets, increased ESG scrutiny, and procurement localization threaten revenue stability, financing access, and international market opportunities. Heavy dependence on major government contracts and technology adaptation risks leave earnings exposed to contract changes and competitive disruption.
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UK£14.30
FV
20.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.56%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Volkswagen
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Regulatory Burdens And Mobility Shifts Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Accelerating shift to mobility-as-a-service and heightened competition in EVs threaten Volkswagen's core business, margins, and long-term revenue growth. Rising compliance and electrification costs, along with geopolitical risks, pressure net income and competitiveness against global peers.
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€90.00
FV
8.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
NetEase
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 22 Analysts
China's Gaming Crackdown And Geopolitical Decoupling Will Dampen Prospects
Key Takeaways Regulatory pressures and demographic shifts in China threaten NetEase's revenue growth and reduce its long-term market potential. Heavy dependence on top games and tough global competition expose earnings to volatility and increased costs.
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HK$159.81
FV
27.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.31%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Industrial Bank
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Digital Disruption And Fintech Rivalries Will Erode Legacy Banking Models
Key Takeaways Rapid fintech disruption, demographic challenges, and exposure to risky sectors threaten Industrial Bank's revenue growth, loan quality, and overall earnings stability. Lagging digital transformation and tightening regulations may increase operational and compliance costs, further constraining profitability and long-term competitiveness.
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CN¥18.89
FV
21.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden)
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Advances In Recycling And High Debt Will Hinder Mining Sustainability
Key Takeaways Shifting global policies, technological disruption, and ESG pressures threaten Ma'aden's long-term profitability by reducing demand and increasing costs. Expansion-driven debt and operational complexity may compress margins and heighten financial risk if project returns are delayed or markets turn unfavorable.
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ر.س33.70
FV
54.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.81%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Wesfarmers
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
E-commerce Decline And Margin Squeeze Will Hinder Growth Despite Digitization
Key Takeaways Rising digital disruption and demographic shifts threaten to reduce retail revenues and limit long-term growth across Wesfarmers' core businesses. Sustained investment needs and intense competition are set to pressure margins, cash flow, and overall profitability, with international diversification efforts offering limited near-term relief.
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AU$58.00
FV
53.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.33%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
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