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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Progress Software
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
ShareFile Integration And SaaS Acquisitions Will Improve Efficiency
Key Takeaways Strategic SaaS acquisitions, like ShareFile, could enhance recurring revenue and revenue stability through increased ARR and operational efficiencies. Focus on AI initiatives and disciplined M&A strategy aims to drive long-term growth in earnings and operational efficiency, benefiting net margins.
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US$70.00
FV
34.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.53%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Provident Financial Services
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Digital Banking And Diverse Lending Will Unlock Value
Key Takeaways Expanding into high-margin loan types and growing fee-based businesses strengthens revenue stability and supports noninterest income growth. Investments in digital banking and strong deposit management boost operational efficiency, positioning the company to benefit from rising interest rates and customer migration to online platforms.
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US$21.75
FV
17.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
65
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
ArcBest
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Sales And AI Investments Will Reshape Freight Operations Amid Challenges
Key Takeaways Investments in technology, digital pricing, and asset-light solutions are driving operational efficiency, higher margins, and positioning ArcBest for future revenue growth. Focus on tailored services, workforce training, and analytics strengthens customer retention and competitiveness as supply chain complexity and e-commerce demand rise.
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US$94.42
FV
25.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
New Fortress Energy
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
FLNG Asset And Brazilian Expansion Will Strengthen Future Business Prospects
Key Takeaways The FLNG asset and core market demand growth are poised to increase revenue, boosting earnings and financial health. Strategic debt reduction and new market opportunities, like power plant projects in Puerto Rico and Brazilian auctions, promise enhanced margins and stable future earnings.
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US$5.42
FV
47.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
16.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
40
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
First Financial Bancorp
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Digital Transformation And Process Redesign Will Increase Operational Efficiency
Key Takeaways Efficiency gains from digital transformation and process improvements are expected to boost margins, lower expenses, and expand customer reach without added branch dependency. Strategic acquisition and demographic-driven expansion into new services position the bank for revenue growth, greater market share, and more stable earnings.
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US$29.25
FV
19.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
19.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Vericel
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
FDA Approvals And Global Expansion Will Advance Adoption Of MACI Arthro And NexoBrid
Key Takeaways FDA approval for MACI Arthro and increasing surgeon adoption signal significant potential for future revenue growth and market expansion. International expansion efforts and reduced capital expenditures aim to enhance scalability, potentially boosting operating cash flow and earnings.
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US$58.13
FV
38.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
25.74%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
LGI Homes
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Sales Training And Community Expansion Will Unlock Housing Market Potential
Key Takeaways Expanding community count and sales training could drive revenue growth through increased sales and improved conversion rates. Strong backlog and entry-level home demand position LGI Homes for sustained long-term revenue growth.
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US$93.33
FV
41.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.62%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
HNI
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Ergonomic Workspaces And Sustainability Will Drive Future Progress
Key Takeaways Innovation in wellness-focused workspace solutions and sustainability initiatives is enhancing HNI's market positioning, enabling premium pricing and long-term revenue growth. Efficiency improvements and broad market reach are supporting higher sales volumes, outperformance of market trends, and resilience against cyclical industry headwinds.
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US$64.75
FV
21.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.61%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Star Bulk Carriers
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Energy-Saving Upgrades And Fleet Renewal Will Improve Efficiency In Dry Bulk Shipping
Key Takeaways Strategic investments in fleet modernization and energy efficiency aim to enhance revenue potential and margins by improving operational capabilities and regulatory compliance. A balanced capital allocation policy could boost earnings per share through share buybacks while promoting growth through dividends and fleet renewal.
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US$20.82
FV
11.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-5.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
81
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
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