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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
27.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
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0
users have commented on this narrative
11
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New
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ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
25.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
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New
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Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
5.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
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Xenia Hotels & Resorts
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Sunbelt Risks And Subdued Travel Will Hinder Hotel Prospects
Key Takeaways Shifts in travel behavior, alternative lodging growth, and economic volatility threaten demand, pricing, and earnings for Xenia’s urban and luxury hotel portfolio. Rising climate risks, insurance, and renovation costs will reduce margins, elevate capital expenditure needs, and constrain long-term cash flow and returns.
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US$12.00
FV
4.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
20 days ago
author updated this narrative
Revolve Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
China Tariffs And Rising Costs Will Strain Margins
Key Takeaways Structural cost pressures from tariffs, inflation, and rising logistics expenses are reducing profitability, with margin compression expected to continue over the next several years. Weakening consumer sentiment, reliance on influencers, and escalating competition threaten revenue growth and risk market share losses as customer acquisition becomes less effective and costlier.
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US$17.00
FV
12.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.16%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
20 days ago
author updated this narrative
Diebold Nixdorf
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Rising Digital Payments Will Undermine ATMs Yet Spur Software
Key Takeaways Sustained digital payment adoption and cashless trends threaten long-term demand for Diebold Nixdorf’s physical products and limit new market growth potential. Transition toward software and services is promising but faces execution and scaling risks amid mounting competition and external cost pressures.
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US$60.00
FV
0.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
20 days ago
author updated this narrative
Dine Brands Global
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Shifting Consumer Tastes And Rising Costs Will Challenge Legacy Outlets
Key Takeaways Shifting consumer preferences and increased competition are undermining Dine Brands' legacy brands, threatening same-store sales and long-term revenue growth. Rising labor, real estate, and operational costs are compressing margins and weakening franchisee and company profitability.
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US$21.00
FV
0.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.28%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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20 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ambac Financial Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Rising Liabilities Will Hamper US Insurance Recovery Although Resilience Emerges
Key Takeaways Persistent legacy liabilities, litigation, and climate-related risks threaten to limit profitability despite technology-driven underwriting and data analytics improvements. New fintech and blockchain competition, along with industry consolidation, could erode market share and curb the benefits of modernization and ESG initiatives.
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US$10.00
FV
24.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.91%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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20 days ago
author updated this narrative
Guild Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Rising Home Prices And Fintech Competition Will Squeeze Margins
Key Takeaways Overdependence on purchase mortgages and exposure to market headwinds threaten Guild's origination volumes, earnings, and long-term growth prospects. Rising competition, higher fixed costs, and regulatory pressures could erode margins and make it difficult for Guild to sustain profitability.
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US$15.00
FV
33.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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20 days ago
author updated this narrative
Embecta
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Legacy Diabetes Devices Will Curb Progress Though Emerging Markets Help
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on legacy insulin delivery and slow innovation make Embecta vulnerable to technological disruption, persistent competition, and pricing pressures globally. High debt and regulatory challenges limit investment and operational agility, threatening future growth and profitability despite near-term cost controls.
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US$12.00
FV
6.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.035%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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20 days ago
author updated this narrative
Brookline Bancorp
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Regional Exposures Will Threaten Stability While Integration Offers Hope
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on a concentrated geographic footprint and specialized loan types exposes the bank to regional downturns and continued earnings volatility. Integration risks, rising compliance costs, and fierce competition threaten efficiency gains and margin improvement despite digital initiatives and industry consolidation opportunities.
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US$12.00
FV
15.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
79.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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20 days ago
author updated this narrative
Orion
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Aging Infrastructure And Rising Compliance Demands Will Thwart Prospects
Key Takeaways Heavy capital requirements, regulatory compliance costs, and raw material volatility are putting sustained pressure on profitability, margins, and cash flow. Overexposure to the tire and automotive sector, coupled with rising competition and regulatory risks, threatens long-term revenue growth and market share.
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US$10.00
FV
2.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.35%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
20 days ago
author updated this narrative
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