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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
65
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Rockwool
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
High Energy Prices Will Shrink Margins For Stone Wool
Key Takeaways Growing regulatory, cost, and competitive pressures on traditional manufacturing threaten Rockwool's margins, profitability, and long-term market position. Shifts toward alternative materials and stagnant construction activity undermine future revenue growth and challenge the viability of further expansion.
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DKK 249.90
FV
9.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Clean Science and Technology
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Green Chemistry Demand Will Expand Global Specialty Markets
Key Takeaways Rapid adoption of advanced products and expansion into new geographies could drive sharper revenue and margin growth than anticipated, aided by limited competition locally. Focus on sustainability, operational efficiencies, and portfolio diversification positions Clean Science for premium pricing and resilient earnings, limiting industry cycle exposure.
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₹1.78k
FV
32.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Rising Renewables And Regulations Will Challenge Petrochemical Resilience
Key Takeaways Global transition to renewables and regulatory pressure threaten long-term growth, compress margins, and drive up operating costs for PETRONAS Chemicals. Overreliance on aging assets and supply-demand imbalances increase maintenance risks, revenue challenges, and add volatility to future cash flows.
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RM 2.50
FV
52.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-3.24%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Gjensidige Forsikring
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Accelerating Climate Risks And Regulatory Burdens Will Squeeze Margins
Key Takeaways Dependence on mature Nordic markets and rising regulatory scrutiny threaten revenue growth and increase operational costs and complexity. Climate-related claims volatility and technology-driven competition will compress profit margins and require continual investment, challenging long-term profitability.
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NOK 185.00
FV
46.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.68%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Truworths International
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
African Youth And Digital Trends Will Expand Retail Despite Setbacks
Key Takeaways Aggressive international expansion and integration of retail methodologies position Truworths for outperformance in earnings, margins, and market share versus current expectations. Strong youth engagement, advanced analytics, and robust capital allocation build durable competitive advantages and enable transformative growth opportunities in multiple regions.
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R107.00
FV
35.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.19%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Indutrade
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Supply Disruptions And Regulatory Woes Will Yield Modest Relief
Key Takeaways Exposure to European supply chain disruptions, tightening regulations, and wage inflation may limit revenue growth, net margins, and sustainable profit expansion. Intensifying competition, technology shifts, and a shrinking pool of quality acquisitions could threaten market share gains and future earnings momentum.
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SEK 260.00
FV
11.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.33%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Digitalization And Rising EU Hurdles Will Contract Paper Demand
Key Takeaways Ongoing digitalization, alternative materials, and global competition threaten SCA's traditional markets and long-term revenue growth. Environmental regulations and regional risks drive up costs, compress margins, and expose the company to supply chain disruptions.
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SEK 103.28
FV
18.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Helvetia Holding
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Low Interest Rates And Climate Risks Will Strain Profitability
Key Takeaways Prolonged low interest rates, climate risks, and reliance on traditional products threaten profitability and earnings stability. Lagging digital innovation and limited market diversification increase vulnerability to disruption and regional economic shocks.
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CHF 169.00
FV
16.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hindustan Petroleum
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 31 Analysts
Accelerated Climate Shifts Will Erode Traditional Petroleum Demand
Key Takeaways Accelerating energy transition and rising electric vehicle adoption threaten core petroleum demand, risking stranded assets and pressuring long-term revenue growth. Limited diversification, regulatory pressures, and oversupplied markets will reduce profitability and compress returns amid heightened earnings volatility.
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₹275.19
FV
46.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-5.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
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